Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for JULIO-20
Off-shore

Impact

Tropical Cyclone JULIO-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 65 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (09 Sep 21:00 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 50 km/h 0.2 m 157 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 65 km/h 0.2 m 315 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

65 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 07 Sep 2020 00:00 UTC (Overall situation)

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 05 Sep 2020 18:00 50 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 06 Sep 2020 00:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 06 Sep 2020 06:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 06 Sep 2020 12:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 06 Sep 2020 18:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 07 Sep 2020 00:00 50 - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h





Rain exposed population

Estimations based on the bulletin of 07 Sep 2020 00:00 UTC (Overall situation)
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmMexico548544 
50-100 mmMexico28031871 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 05 Sep 2020 18:00 107 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 06 Sep 2020 00:00 96 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 06 Sep 2020 06:00 189 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 4 06 Sep 2020 12:00 79 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 06 Sep 2020 18:00 41 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 07 Sep 2020 00:00 157 5 thousand
- - - - Mexico




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Atanacio, Mexico. This height is estimated for 09 Sep 2020 21:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Calculation based on the bulletin of 07 Sep 2020 00:00 UTC (Overall situation)
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
09 Sep 2020 21:00 Atanacio Mexico  0.2
09 Sep 2020 21:00 El Paredoncito Mexico  0.2
09 Sep 2020 21:00 Borabampo Mexico  0.2
09 Sep 2020 20:45 San Jose Mexico  0.1
09 Sep 2020 20:45 Las Bocas Mexico  0.1
09 Sep 2020 20:30 Camahuiroa Mexico  0.1
09 Sep 2020 20:30 San Bruno Mexico  0.1
06 Sep 2020 02:45 Salinas Mexico  0.1
06 Sep 2020 02:45 Buen Pais Mexico  0.1
06 Sep 2020 02:45 Alvarado Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2020 13:00 San Juan de la Costa Mexico  0.1
09 Sep 2020 20:30 San Bruno Mexico  0.1
09 Sep 2020 20:30 Loreto Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2020 20:00 Mulege Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2020 20:00 Los Dolores Mexico  0.1
06 Sep 2020 03:00 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2020 14:00 Datilito Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2020 14:00 La Paz Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2020 14:00 Rosario Mexico  0.1
09 Sep 2020 20:45 Ligui Mexico  0.1
09 Sep 2020 20:45 Tripui Mexico  0.1
09 Sep 2020 20:45 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.1
09 Sep 2020 20:45 San Juanico Mexico  0.1
09 Sep 2020 20:30 San Ignacio Mexico  0.1
05 Sep 2020 23:15 Anton Lizardo Mexico  0.1
09 Sep 2020 21:00 San Cosme Mexico  0.1
09 Sep 2020 04:15 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.1
09 Sep 2020 04:15 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.1
09 Sep 2020 04:30 Buenaventura Mexico  0.1
09 Sep 2020 04:30 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.1
09 Sep 2020 20:45 El Aquajito Mexico  0.1
09 Sep 2020 22:30 Cachoana Mexico  0.1
09 Sep 2020 20:15 Santa Marta Mexico  0.1
09 Sep 2020 04:15 Queretaro Mexico  0.1
09 Sep 2020 04:45 San Juanico Mexico  0.1
09 Sep 2020 04:45 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.1
09 Sep 2020 20:45 Los Burros Mexico  0.1
09 Sep 2020 20:30 Tambobiche Mexico  0.1

Calculation folder at this link