Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for NISARGA-20
in India
Impact Single TC
HWRF
Impact all weather systems in the area
.

Impact

Tropical Cyclone NISARGA-20 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries India
Exposed population 30 thousand in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 133 km/h
Maximum storm surge 1.0 m (03 Jun 07:15 UTC)
Vulnerability High (India)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 108 km/h 0.5 m 199 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 133 km/h 1.0 m 367 mm 1.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

133 km/h

Up to 30 thousand in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)



Wind exposed population

Estimations based on the bulletin of 03 Jun 2020 12:00 UTC (Overall situation)
CategoryCountryPopulation 
CAT. 1India26036 
Tropical StormIndia58420344 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 02 Jun 2020 18:00 126 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 2 03 Jun 2020 00:00 115 -
- - - - - India
ORANGE 3 03 Jun 2020 06:00 133 30 thousand
- - - - India
GREEN 4 03 Jun 2020 12:00 108 -
- - - - - India




Impact estimation for the next 72h





Rain exposed population

Estimations based on the bulletin of 03 Jun 2020 12:00 UTC (Overall situation)
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmIndia115722 
100-250 mmIndia9247651 
50-100 mmIndia55931626 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 02 Jun 2020 18:00 378 9 thousand
- - - - India
Blue 2 03 Jun 2020 00:00 243 130 thousand
- - - - India
Blue 3 03 Jun 2020 06:00 168 970 thousand
- - - - India
Blue 4 03 Jun 2020 12:00 199 2.4 million
- - - - India




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

1 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  1.0m in Anjanwel, India. This height is estimated for 03 Jun 2020 07:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Calculation based on the bulletin of 03 Jun 2020 12:00 UTC (Overall situation)
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
03 Jun 2020 07:15 Anjanwel India  1.0
03 Jun 2020 07:15 Kelshi India  0.9
03 Jun 2020 07:15 Bankot India  0.9
03 Jun 2020 07:15 Guhagar India  0.9
03 Jun 2020 07:00 Boria India  0.9
03 Jun 2020 07:00 Srivardhan India  0.8
03 Jun 2020 07:15 Jaigarh India  0.7
03 Jun 2020 07:45 Mirya India  0.7
03 Jun 2020 07:45 Ratnagiri India  0.7
03 Jun 2020 09:45 Murud India  0.6
03 Jun 2020 09:45 Agar Panchaitan India  0.6
03 Jun 2020 07:45 Purnagad India  0.5
03 Jun 2020 08:15 Purangad India  0.5
04 Jun 2020 21:00 Wadgam India  0.5
04 Jun 2020 21:00 Kambhat India  0.5
04 Jun 2020 21:00 Kavi India  0.5
04 Jun 2020 21:00 Sarod India  0.5
04 Jun 2020 20:30 Asarsa India  0.5
04 Jun 2020 19:45 Harinagar India  0.4
04 Jun 2020 19:45 Tankari India  0.4
04 Jun 2020 19:45 Muler India  0.4
03 Jun 2020 16:00 New Kandla India  0.4
03 Jun 2020 16:00 Navlakhi India  0.4
03 Jun 2020 07:45 Adiura India  0.4
03 Jun 2020 09:30 Alibag India  0.4
03 Jun 2020 09:30 Revadanda India  0.4
04 Jun 2020 19:45 Dahej India  0.4
04 Jun 2020 19:45 Ghogha India  0.4
03 Jun 2020 08:00 Vijayadurg India  0.4
03 Jun 2020 15:45 Jodiya India  0.4
03 Jun 2020 15:45 Tuna India  0.4
03 Jun 2020 13:45 Mumbai India  0.4
03 Jun 2020 13:45 Asumumbay India  0.4
03 Jun 2020 13:45 Mandve India  0.4
03 Jun 2020 13:45 Uran India  0.4
03 Jun 2020 13:45 Trombay India  0.4
04 Jun 2020 18:45 Bhagva India  0.3
04 Jun 2020 18:45 Olpad India  0.3
03 Jun 2020 15:45 Jambura India  0.3
03 Jun 2020 08:30 Pural India  0.3
04 Jun 2020 19:15 Damka India  0.3
03 Jun 2020 08:15 Devgarh India  0.3
02 Jun 2020 21:00 Jaffna Sri Lanka  0.3
02 Jun 2020 21:00 Idaikkadu Sri Lanka  0.3
02 Jun 2020 21:00 Kavutarimunai Sri Lanka  0.3
02 Jun 2020 21:00 Pooneryn Sri Lanka  0.3
03 Jun 2020 16:45 Anjuna India  0.3
03 Jun 2020 16:45 Marmagao India  0.3
03 Jun 2020 16:45 Vasco Da Gama India  0.3
03 Jun 2020 16:45 Panaji India  0.3
03 Jun 2020 16:45 Agacaim India  0.3
03 Jun 2020 16:45 Madgaon India  0.3
02 Jun 2020 20:45 Kiranchi Sri Lanka  0.3
02 Jun 2020 20:45 Nawaladi Sri Lanka  0.3
03 Jun 2020 08:15 Achra India  0.3
02 Jun 2020 20:30 Kurichchikadu Sri Lanka  0.3
02 Jun 2020 20:30 Kayts Sri Lanka  0.3
02 Jun 2020 20:30 Kankesanturai Sri Lanka  0.3
04 Jun 2020 02:30 Gadechi India  0.3
04 Jun 2020 02:30 Okha India  0.3
04 Jun 2020 02:30 Aramda India  0.3
04 Jun 2020 23:00 Kotada India  0.3
03 Jun 2020 02:00 Malvan India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 15:30 Mundra India  0.2
04 Jun 2020 22:45 Surat India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 01:45 Gokarn India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 01:45 Kumta India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 14:45 Sika India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 01:30 Bhatkal India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 01:30 Bainduru India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 01:30 Chittadi India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 15:00 Jhankhar India  0.2
04 Jun 2020 21:15 Udvada India  0.2
04 Jun 2020 21:15 Dharasana India  0.2
04 Jun 2020 21:15 Valsad India  0.2
04 Jun 2020 21:15 Bilimora India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 19:00 Akri India  0.2
02 Jun 2020 20:30 Vengurla India  0.2
02 Jun 2020 20:30 Terekhol India  0.2
04 Jun 2020 22:15 Jalalpur India  0.2
04 Jun 2020 22:15 Mahuver India  0.2
02 Jun 2020 20:30 Chopdem India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 14:15 Chudeswar India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 14:15 Salaya India  0.2
04 Jun 2020 22:15 Nausari India  0.2
04 Jun 2020 22:15 Navsari India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 01:30 Honavar India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 01:30 Manki India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 01:30 Mavalli India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 21:15 Palghar India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 21:15 Mahim India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 21:15 Nalasopara India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 21:15 Agashi India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 21:15 Vasai India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 21:15 Navghar India  0.2
04 Jun 2020 21:00 Daman India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 01:45 Belekeri India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 01:45 Ankola India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 01:30 Shirali India  0.2
04 Jun 2020 22:45 Mahuva India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 15:00 Navinal India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 01:15 Sadashivgarh India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 01:15 Karwar India  0.2
02 Jun 2020 20:45 Advota India  0.2
02 Jun 2020 20:45 Chaudi India  0.2
02 Jun 2020 20:45 Majali India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 11:45 Malan Pakistan  0.2
03 Jun 2020 06:30 Kundapura India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 06:30 Udipi India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 04:30 Ormara Raik Pakistan  0.2
03 Jun 2020 04:30 Ormara Pakistan  0.2
03 Jun 2020 17:15 Pasni Pakistan  0.2
03 Jun 2020 17:15 Miski Pakistan  0.2
03 Jun 2020 17:00 Bambu Khan Pakistan  0.2
03 Jun 2020 17:15 Jhol Pakistan  0.2
03 Jun 2020 17:15 Keti Pakistan  0.2
03 Jun 2020 12:30 Malad India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 17:15 Rumra Pakistan  0.2
03 Jun 2020 03:30 Balaru Pakistan  0.2
03 Jun 2020 18:15 Bada Pakistan  0.2
03 Jun 2020 18:15 Cheru Pakistan  0.2
03 Jun 2020 18:15 Sonmiani Pakistan  0.2
03 Jun 2020 18:30 Suthri India  0.2
04 Jun 2020 22:30 Kathiwadar Bandar India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 15:00 Bhadia India  0.2
04 Jun 2020 21:15 Umbargam India  0.2
04 Jun 2020 21:15 Maroli India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 11:45 Brar Pakistan  0.2
04 Jun 2020 20:45 Bordi India  0.2
02 Jun 2020 22:15 Naka Kharari Pakistan  0.2
02 Jun 2020 22:15 Gadani Pakistan  0.2
03 Jun 2020 17:30 Goth Lashkari Pakistan  0.2
04 Jun 2020 20:00 Tarapur India  0.2
04 Jun 2020 20:00 Malyan India  0.2
04 Jun 2020 20:00 Boisar India  0.2
04 Jun 2020 20:00 Sakhare India  0.2
04 Jun 2020 20:45 Gholvad India  0.2
04 Jun 2020 22:45 Jafarabad India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 18:45 Mandvi India  0.2
04 Jun 2020 20:15 Shirgaon India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 21:30 Ghuar Mota India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 17:15 Isa Pakistan  0.2
06 Jun 2020 06:15 Goth Jumo Pakistan  0.1
03 Jun 2020 17:00 Ras Muari Pakistan  0.1
03 Jun 2020 17:00 Goth Haji Muhammad Pakistan  0.1
03 Jun 2020 17:00 Kalat Pakistan  0.1
03 Jun 2020 18:00 Nizampatam India  0.1
03 Jun 2020 18:15 Kottapalem India  0.1
03 Jun 2020 18:15 Lankavanidibba India  0.1
03 Jun 2020 16:00 Dongri India  0.1
03 Jun 2020 16:00 Mira Bhayandar India  0.1
04 Jun 2020 23:30 Dharabandar India  0.1
04 Jun 2020 23:30 Rohisa India  0.1
03 Jun 2020 06:15 Mulki India  0.1
03 Jun 2020 12:00 Dwarka India  0.1
05 Jun 2020 00:00 Delvada India  0.1
05 Jun 2020 00:00 Nawabandar India  0.1
05 Jun 2020 20:00 Porbandar India  0.1
05 Jun 2020 20:00 Adodar India  0.1
05 Jun 2020 20:00 Ratia India  0.1
05 Jun 2020 20:00 Gorser India  0.1
03 Jun 2020 10:15 Vatturupallepalem India  0.1
03 Jun 2020 13:45 Kottapatnam India  0.1
05 Jun 2020 00:00 Dangarvadi India  0.1
03 Jun 2020 13:45 Peddapatnam India  0.1
03 Jun 2020 13:30 Gollapalem India  0.1
05 Jun 2020 20:00 Shil India  0.1
06 Jun 2020 04:15 Miyani India  0.1

Calculation folder at this link