Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for NISARGA-20
in India
Impact Single TC
ECMWF
Impact all weather systems in the area
.

Impact

Tropical Cyclone NISARGA-20 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries India
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 101 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.9 m (03 Jun 06:30 UTC)
Vulnerability High (India)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 50 km/h 0.5 m 302 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 101 km/h 0.9 m 448 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

101 km/h

Up to 8.2 million can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population

Estimations based on the bulletin of 04 Jun 2020 00:00 UTC (Overall situation)
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormIndia8180357 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 02 Jun 2020 00:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 02 Jun 2020 12:00 90 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 3 03 Jun 2020 00:00 101 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 4 03 Jun 2020 12:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 04 Jun 2020 00:00 50 - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h





Rain exposed population

Estimations based on the bulletin of 04 Jun 2020 00:00 UTC (Overall situation)
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmIndia780640 
100-250 mmIndia89433881 
50-100 mmIndia80956570 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 02 Jun 2020 00:00 333 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 02 Jun 2020 12:00 262 -
- - - - - India
Blue 3 03 Jun 2020 00:00 173 15.6 million
- - - - India
Blue 4 03 Jun 2020 12:00 149 460 thousand
- - - - India
Blue 5 04 Jun 2020 00:00 302 15.7 million
- - - India




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.9 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.9m in Bankot, India. This height is estimated for 03 Jun 2020 06:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Calculation based on the bulletin of 04 Jun 2020 00:00 UTC (Overall situation)
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
03 Jun 2020 06:30 Bankot India  0.9
03 Jun 2020 06:30 Kelshi India  0.9
03 Jun 2020 05:30 Boria India  0.8
03 Jun 2020 05:30 Guhagar India  0.8
03 Jun 2020 05:30 Anjanwel India  0.8
03 Jun 2020 06:15 Srivardhan India  0.8
03 Jun 2020 11:30 Mumbai India  0.7
03 Jun 2020 11:30 Asumumbay India  0.7
03 Jun 2020 11:30 Mandve India  0.7
03 Jun 2020 11:30 Uran India  0.7
03 Jun 2020 11:30 Trombay India  0.7
03 Jun 2020 05:30 Jaigarh India  0.7
03 Jun 2020 09:45 Alibag India  0.7
03 Jun 2020 09:45 Revadanda India  0.7
03 Jun 2020 06:30 Agar Panchaitan India  0.7
03 Jun 2020 07:30 Murud India  0.7
03 Jun 2020 05:45 Mirya India  0.6
03 Jun 2020 05:45 Ratnagiri India  0.6
03 Jun 2020 05:15 Purangad India  0.5
03 Jun 2020 05:15 Purnagad India  0.5
06 Jun 2020 17:30 Kambhat India  0.5
06 Jun 2020 17:30 Kavi India  0.5
06 Jun 2020 17:30 Sarod India  0.5
06 Jun 2020 17:30 Wadgam India  0.5
03 Jun 2020 10:15 Malad India  0.5
03 Jun 2020 05:15 Adiura India  0.4
06 Jun 2020 16:15 Asarsa India  0.4
03 Jun 2020 05:15 Vijayadurg India  0.4
06 Jun 2020 16:00 Harinagar India  0.4
06 Jun 2020 16:00 Tankari India  0.4
06 Jun 2020 16:00 Muler India  0.4
03 Jun 2020 13:00 Palghar India  0.4
03 Jun 2020 13:00 Mahim India  0.4
03 Jun 2020 13:00 Nalasopara India  0.4
03 Jun 2020 13:00 Agashi India  0.4
03 Jun 2020 13:00 Vasai India  0.4
03 Jun 2020 13:00 Navghar India  0.4
06 Jun 2020 15:45 Dahej India  0.4
03 Jun 2020 10:45 Dongri India  0.4
03 Jun 2020 10:45 Mira Bhayandar India  0.4
06 Jun 2020 15:15 Ghogha India  0.3
03 Jun 2020 05:00 Pural India  0.3
03 Jun 2020 05:00 Devgarh India  0.3
06 Jun 2020 14:15 Bhagva India  0.3
06 Jun 2020 14:15 Olpad India  0.3
05 Jun 2020 22:30 Ghuar Mota India  0.3
02 Jun 2020 06:00 Anjuna India  0.3
02 Jun 2020 06:00 Marmagao India  0.3
02 Jun 2020 06:00 Vasco Da Gama India  0.3
02 Jun 2020 06:00 Panaji India  0.3
02 Jun 2020 06:00 Agacaim India  0.3
02 Jun 2020 06:00 Madgaon India  0.3
06 Jun 2020 14:00 Damka India  0.3
03 Jun 2020 04:45 Achra India  0.3
03 Jun 2020 02:00 Malvan India  0.3
03 Jun 2020 23:15 Daman India  0.3
03 Jun 2020 23:15 Udvada India  0.3
03 Jun 2020 23:15 Dharasana India  0.3
03 Jun 2020 23:15 Valsad India  0.3
03 Jun 2020 23:30 Bilimora India  0.3
06 Jun 2020 12:45 Surat India  0.3
03 Jun 2020 12:30 Shirgaon India  0.3
03 Jun 2020 23:30 Umbargam India  0.3
03 Jun 2020 23:30 Maroli India  0.3
03 Jun 2020 23:45 Nausari India  0.2
02 Jun 2020 22:15 Vengurla India  0.2
06 Jun 2020 13:15 Jalalpur India  0.2
06 Jun 2020 13:15 Mahuver India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 12:30 Boisar India  0.2
06 Jun 2020 13:15 Navsari India  0.2
02 Jun 2020 02:30 Advota India  0.2
02 Jun 2020 02:30 Chaudi India  0.2
02 Jun 2020 02:30 Majali India  0.2
02 Jun 2020 02:30 Sadashivgarh India  0.2
02 Jun 2020 02:30 Karwar India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 23:30 Bordi India  0.2
05 Jun 2020 21:00 Akri India  0.2
02 Jun 2020 22:15 Terekhol India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 12:30 Tarapur India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 12:30 Sakhare India  0.2
06 Jun 2020 21:00 Mahuva India  0.2
06 Jun 2020 21:00 Kotada India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 23:15 Gholvad India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 23:15 Malyan India  0.2
06 Jun 2020 20:45 Kathiwadar Bandar India  0.2
05 Jun 2020 04:30 New Kandla India  0.2
05 Jun 2020 04:30 Navlakhi India  0.2
05 Jun 2020 18:00 Tuna India  0.2
02 Jun 2020 22:30 Chopdem India  0.2
05 Jun 2020 18:15 Jodiya India  0.2
02 Jun 2020 07:45 Gokarn India  0.2
02 Jun 2020 07:45 Kumta India  0.2
05 Jun 2020 17:45 Jambura India  0.2
05 Jun 2020 21:15 Gadechi India  0.2
05 Jun 2020 21:15 Okha India  0.2
05 Jun 2020 21:15 Aramda India  0.2
02 Jun 2020 03:15 Jaffna Sri Lanka  0.2
02 Jun 2020 03:15 Idaikkadu Sri Lanka  0.2
02 Jun 2020 03:15 Kavutarimunai Sri Lanka  0.2
02 Jun 2020 03:15 Pooneryn Sri Lanka  0.2
02 Jun 2020 02:30 Belekeri India  0.2
02 Jun 2020 02:30 Ankola India  0.2
05 Jun 2020 17:45 Mundra India  0.2
06 Jun 2020 20:30 Jafarabad India  0.2
02 Jun 2020 12:00 Ormara Pakistan  0.2
02 Jun 2020 12:00 Balaru Pakistan  0.2
02 Jun 2020 03:45 Kurichchikadu Sri Lanka  0.2
02 Jun 2020 03:45 Kayts Sri Lanka  0.2
02 Jun 2020 03:45 Kankesanturai Sri Lanka  0.2
05 Jun 2020 18:15 Navinal India  0.2
05 Jun 2020 17:15 Sika India  0.2
02 Jun 2020 07:15 Shirali India  0.2
02 Jun 2020 07:15 Bhatkal India  0.2
02 Jun 2020 07:15 Bainduru India  0.2
02 Jun 2020 07:15 Chittadi India  0.2
02 Jun 2020 12:00 Ormara Raik Pakistan  0.2
05 Jun 2020 19:15 Bhadia India  0.2
05 Jun 2020 19:15 Mandvi India  0.2
05 Jun 2020 19:15 Suthri India  0.2
06 Jun 2020 16:30 Bada Pakistan  0.2
06 Jun 2020 16:30 Cheru Pakistan  0.2
06 Jun 2020 16:30 Sonmiani Pakistan  0.2
02 Jun 2020 12:30 Kundapura India  0.2
02 Jun 2020 12:30 Udipi India  0.2
05 Jun 2020 03:00 Chudeswar India  0.2
05 Jun 2020 03:00 Salaya India  0.2
05 Jun 2020 03:00 Jhankhar India  0.2
06 Jun 2020 23:30 Bambu Khan Pakistan  0.2
06 Jun 2020 23:30 Goth Jumo Pakistan  0.2
02 Jun 2020 02:45 Honavar India  0.2
02 Jun 2020 02:45 Manki India  0.2
02 Jun 2020 02:45 Mavalli India  0.2
02 Jun 2020 03:00 Nawaladi Sri Lanka  0.2
02 Jun 2020 12:00 Malan Pakistan  0.2
02 Jun 2020 03:00 Kiranchi Sri Lanka  0.2
06 Jun 2020 11:00 Dharabandar India  0.2
06 Jun 2020 11:00 Rohisa India  0.2
06 Jun 2020 20:00 Jhol Pakistan  0.2
06 Jun 2020 20:00 Keti Pakistan  0.2
02 Jun 2020 12:00 Mulki India  0.2
06 Jun 2020 11:00 Delvada India  0.1
06 Jun 2020 11:00 Nawabandar India  0.1
04 Jun 2020 10:15 Mangrol India  0.1
04 Jun 2020 10:15 Chorwad India  0.1
04 Jun 2020 10:15 Veraval India  0.1
04 Jun 2020 10:15 Somnath India  0.1
06 Jun 2020 15:30 Brar Pakistan  0.1
03 Jun 2020 14:15 Pasni Pakistan  0.1
03 Jun 2020 14:15 Miski Pakistan  0.1
04 Jun 2020 10:15 Sutrapada India  0.1
04 Jun 2020 21:15 Porbandar India  0.1
04 Jun 2020 21:15 Adodar India  0.1
04 Jun 2020 04:15 Dangarvadi India  0.1
05 Jun 2020 01:00 Ratia India  0.1
04 Jun 2020 18:15 Gorser India  0.1
06 Jun 2020 16:15 Naka Kharari Pakistan  0.1
04 Jun 2020 10:00 Lodhwa India  0.1
04 Jun 2020 10:15 Kodinar India  0.1
04 Jun 2020 10:15 Kotra Nes India  0.1
04 Jun 2020 18:00 Shil India  0.1
05 Jun 2020 18:00 Dwarka India  0.1
03 Jun 2020 14:00 Rumra Pakistan  0.1
06 Jun 2020 15:45 Gadani Pakistan  0.1
05 Jun 2020 01:00 Miyani India  0.1
06 Jun 2020 15:30 Goth Lashkari Pakistan  0.1
06 Jun 2020 20:00 Isa Pakistan  0.1
05 Jun 2020 01:00 Lamba India  0.1
06 Jun 2020 15:15 Ras Muari Pakistan  0.1
06 Jun 2020 15:15 Goth Haji Muhammad Pakistan  0.1
04 Jun 2020 23:45 Bhogat India  0.1
05 Jun 2020 18:00 Madhi India  0.1
04 Jun 2020 12:45 Nizampatam India  0.1
04 Jun 2020 12:45 Kottapalem India  0.1
04 Jun 2020 12:45 Lankavanidibba India  0.1
02 Jun 2020 08:30 Bekal India  0.1
02 Jun 2020 08:30 Nileshwar India  0.1
02 Jun 2020 08:30 Chervattur India  0.1
02 Jun 2020 08:30 Trikkaripur India  0.1
03 Jun 2020 14:15 Kalat Pakistan  0.1
02 Jun 2020 11:45 Mangaluru India  0.1
02 Jun 2020 08:30 Kasaragod India  0.1

Calculation folder at this link