Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for CRISTOBAL-20
in United States, Mexico, Canada, Belize, Guatemala
02 Jun 2020 06 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone CRISTOBAL-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries Mexico
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 86 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (02 Jun 06:45 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Guatemala)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 86 km/h 0.3 m 226 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 101 km/h 1.3 m 835 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

101 km/h

Up to 660 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 02 Jun 2020 06:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormMexico658,815 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 01 Jun 2020 18:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 02 Jun 2020 00:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 02 Jun 2020 06:00 122 -
- - - - - Mexico
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 02 Jun 2020 06:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
more than 1000 mmMexico5,534 
750-1000 mmMexico198,639 
500-750 mmMexico, Guatemala633,174
+
Mexico632,023 
Guatemala1,151 
250-500 mmMexico, Guatemala1,630,696
+
Mexico1,616,859 
Guatemala13,837 
100-250 mmMexico, Guatemala5,579,684
+
Mexico4,852,215 
Guatemala727,469 
50-100 mmMexico, Guatemala4,108,463
+
Mexico1,838,667 
Guatemala2,269,796 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 01 Jun 2020 18:00 245 20 thousand
- - - - Mexico, Guatemala
Blue 2 02 Jun 2020 00:00 150 Few people
- - - - Mexico, Guatemala
Blue 3 02 Jun 2020 06:00 1400 8 million
Mexico, Guatemala




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Corozal, Belize. This height is estimated for 02 Jun 2020 06:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 02 Jun 2020 06:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
02 Jun 2020 06:45 Corozal Belize  0.3
02 Jun 2020 06:45 Chetumal Mexico  0.3
02 Jun 2020 06:45 Calderita Mexico  0.3
02 Jun 2020 06:45 Santeneja Belize  0.3
02 Jun 2020 06:00 Chunox Belize  0.3
02 Jun 2020 10:15 Calderas Mexico  0.2
02 Jun 2020 06:00 Dos Hermanas Mexico  0.2
02 Jun 2020 11:15 San Pedro Mexico  0.2
02 Jun 2020 10:00 Monte de Oro Mexico  0.2
02 Jun 2020 10:00 Francisco I. Madero Mexico  0.2
02 Jun 2020 08:45 Anton Lizardo Mexico  0.2
02 Jun 2020 08:45 Salinas Mexico  0.2
02 Jun 2020 08:45 Buen Pais Mexico  0.2
02 Jun 2020 09:45 Hidalgo Mexico  0.2
02 Jun 2020 06:45 Gales Point Belize  0.2
02 Jun 2020 06:45 Mullins Belize  0.2
02 Jun 2020 06:45 Ferguson Bank Belize  0.2
02 Jun 2020 07:15 Belize City Belize  0.2
02 Jun 2020 06:15 Alvarado Mexico  0.2
02 Jun 2020 10:45 Surf United States  0.2
02 Jun 2020 10:45 Panacea United States  0.2
02 Jun 2020 10:45 Medart United States  0.2
02 Jun 2020 10:45 Sun N Sand Beaches United States  0.2
02 Jun 2020 10:45 Skipper United States  0.2
02 Jun 2020 10:45 Live Oak Island United States  0.2
02 Jun 2020 10:45 Wakulla Beach United States  0.2
02 Jun 2020 10:45 Saint Marks United States  0.2
02 Jun 2020 10:45 Port Leon United States  0.2
02 Jun 2020 09:30 Ciudad del Carmen Mexico  0.2
02 Jun 2020 09:15 Boca Nueva Mexico  0.2
02 Jun 2020 07:30 Franklin United States  0.2
02 Jun 2020 07:30 Apalachicola United States  0.2
02 Jun 2020 07:30 Eastpoint United States  0.2
02 Jun 2020 07:30 Yent Place United States  0.2
02 Jun 2020 12:00 Ranas Mexico  0.2
02 Jun 2020 12:00 Vigia Chico Mexico  0.2
02 Jun 2020 11:45 Coatzacoalcos Mexico  0.2
02 Jun 2020 11:45 Tonala Mexico  0.2
02 Jun 2020 07:45 Xcalak Mexico  0.2
02 Jun 2020 10:15 Chiltepec Mexico  0.2
02 Jun 2020 09:45 Paso Real Mexico  0.2
02 Jun 2020 10:45 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
02 Jun 2020 06:45 Carrabelle United States  0.2
02 Jun 2020 06:45 Lanark Village United States  0.2
02 Jun 2020 06:45 Big Blackjack Landing United States  0.2
02 Jun 2020 07:15 Alabama Wharf Belize  0.2
02 Jun 2020 07:15 Maya Beach Belize  0.2
02 Jun 2020 11:00 Sabancuy Mexico  0.2
02 Jun 2020 06:30 Indian Pass United States  0.2
02 Jun 2020 06:30 Thirteen Mile United States  0.2
02 Jun 2020 06:30 Odena United States  0.2
02 Jun 2020 06:30 Eleven Mile United States  0.2
02 Jun 2020 06:30 Nine Mile United States  0.2
02 Jun 2020 06:30 Tilton United States  0.2
02 Jun 2020 07:00 Freetown Area Belize  0.2
02 Jun 2020 08:15 Buena Vista Guatemala  0.2
02 Jun 2020 08:15 Livingston Guatemala  0.2
02 Jun 2020 08:15 Macho Creek Guatemala  0.2
02 Jun 2020 08:15 Puerto Santo Tomas de Castilla Guatemala  0.2
02 Jun 2020 08:15 Punta Manabique Guatemala  0.2
02 Jun 2020 08:15 Puerto Barrios Guatemala  0.2
02 Jun 2020 08:15 Cambalache Guatemala  0.2
02 Jun 2020 08:15 Piedra Parada Guatemala  0.2
02 Jun 2020 08:15 Corozo Guatemala  0.2
02 Jun 2020 08:15 La Graciosa Guatemala  0.2
02 Jun 2020 08:15 Machacal Guatemala  0.2
02 Jun 2020 09:15 Las Barrillas Mexico  0.2
02 Jun 2020 08:45 Bacalar Chico Belize  0.2
02 Jun 2020 07:45 Corozo Guatemala  0.2
02 Jun 2020 07:45 Cabeza de Vaca Guatemala  0.2
02 Jun 2020 07:45 Baranca Belize  0.2
02 Jun 2020 07:45 San Juan Guatemala  0.2
02 Jun 2020 07:45 Cocoli Guatemala  0.2
02 Jun 2020 08:30 Cattle Landing Belize  0.1
02 Jun 2020 08:30 New Haven Belize  0.1
02 Jun 2020 07:30 Barra Kruta Honduras  0.1
02 Jun 2020 07:30 Kanko Honduras  0.1
02 Jun 2020 07:30 Raya Honduras  0.1
02 Jun 2020 07:30 Clubki Honduras  0.1
02 Jun 2020 07:30 Irlaya Honduras  0.1
02 Jun 2020 07:30 Cabo Gracias a Dios Honduras  0.1
02 Jun 2020 06:45 Commerce Bight Village Belize  0.1
02 Jun 2020 06:45 Stann Creek Town Belize  0.1
02 Jun 2020 09:30 Tecolutla Mexico  0.1
02 Jun 2020 09:30 La Guadalupe Mexico  0.1
02 Jun 2020 09:30 Monte Gordo Mexico  0.1
02 Jun 2020 07:30 Cabo Gracias Viejo Nicaragua  0.1
02 Jun 2020 09:30 Sanchez Magallanes Mexico  0.1
02 Jun 2020 09:30 Tupilco Mexico  0.1
02 Jun 2020 06:00 San Pedro Belize  0.1
02 Jun 2020 11:30 Conejo Mexico  0.1
02 Jun 2020 09:45 Hyde Park United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 09:45 Newport United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 09:45 Plum Orchard United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 12:00 Limera Honduras  0.1
02 Jun 2020 12:00 Balfate Honduras  0.1
02 Jun 2020 12:00 Rio Esteban Honduras  0.1
02 Jun 2020 12:00 Miranda Honduras  0.1
02 Jun 2020 12:00 Betulia Honduras  0.1
02 Jun 2020 10:00 El Tular Mexico  0.1
02 Jun 2020 10:00 Cabo Rojito Mexico  0.1
02 Jun 2020 06:15 Colorado Honduras  0.1
02 Jun 2020 06:15 Bella Vista Honduras  0.1
02 Jun 2020 06:15 Cuero Honduras  0.1
02 Jun 2020 06:15 Boca del Toro Honduras  0.1
02 Jun 2020 11:30 Noham Mexico  0.1
02 Jun 2020 09:15 Laja Mexico  0.1
02 Jun 2020 08:45 Majahual Mexico  0.1
02 Jun 2020 07:45 Santa Rosa Aguan Honduras  0.1
02 Jun 2020 07:45 Limon Honduras  0.1
02 Jun 2020 09:00 San Francisco del Mar Guatemala  0.1
02 Jun 2020 09:45 Veracruz Mexico  0.1
02 Jun 2020 08:30 El Porvenir Honduras  0.1
02 Jun 2020 12:00 Montepio Mexico  0.1
02 Jun 2020 09:45 Monkey River Belize  0.1
02 Jun 2020 11:45 Porfirio Diaz Mexico  0.1
02 Jun 2020 11:45 Chenkan Mexico  0.1
02 Jun 2020 08:45 Tenixtepec Mexico  0.1
02 Jun 2020 06:15 Gulf Resort Beach United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 06:15 Lullwater Beach United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 06:15 West Bay United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 06:15 Bahama Beach United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 06:15 Gulf Beach United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 06:15 Panama City Beach United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 06:15 Edgewater Gulf Beach United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 06:15 Long Beach Resort United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 06:15 Gulf Lagoon Beach United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 06:15 Biltmore Beach United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 06:15 Lower Grand Lagoon United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 06:15 Upper Grand Lagoon United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 06:15 Magnolia Beach United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 06:15 Pretty Bayou United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 06:15 Baker United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 06:15 Lynn Haven United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 06:15 Beacon Beach United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 06:15 Cove United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 06:15 Southport United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 06:15 Cromanton United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 06:15 Hiland Park United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 06:15 Cedar Grove United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 06:15 San Blas United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 06:15 Springfield United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 06:15 Panama City United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 06:15 Parker United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 06:15 Tyndall AFB United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 06:15 Resota Beach United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 06:15 College Station United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 06:15 Old Callaway United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 06:15 Callaway United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 10:15 Hacienda Santa Elena Costa Rica  0.1
02 Jun 2020 10:15 El Ostional Nicaragua  0.1
02 Jun 2020 10:15 El Jobo Costa Rica  0.1
02 Jun 2020 10:15 Hacienda Murcielago Costa Rica  0.1
02 Jun 2020 10:15 Cuatro Caminos Nicaragua  0.1
02 Jun 2020 10:15 Murcielago Costa Rica  0.1
02 Jun 2020 10:15 Puerto Soleo Costa Rica  0.1
02 Jun 2020 11:45 Port Saint Joe United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 11:45 Milltown United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 11:45 Oak Grove United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 11:45 Ward Ridge United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 11:45 McNeils United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 10:00 Chinquapin United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 12:00 Guasimal Cuba  0.1
02 Jun 2020 09:00 Puerto Madero Mexico  0.1
02 Jun 2020 08:30 La Ceiba Honduras  0.1
02 Jun 2020 07:00 Colonia Simon Bolivar Mexico  0.1
02 Jun 2020 07:00 Ejido Lavaderos Mexico  0.1
02 Jun 2020 07:00 El Porvenir Mexico  0.1
02 Jun 2020 09:00 Dekle Beach United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 09:00 Keaton Beach United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 09:00 Fish Creek United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 06:00 Davis Beach United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 06:00 Allanton United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 06:00 Wetappo United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 06:00 Mexico Beach United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 06:00 Overstreet United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 06:00 Beacon Hill United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 06:00 Highland View United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 09:45 Ursulo Galvan Mexico  0.1
02 Jun 2020 09:45 Salmoral Mexico  0.1
02 Jun 2020 09:00 Mandalay United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 10:00 Chacmuchuch Mexico  0.1
02 Jun 2020 10:00 Cancun Mexico  0.1
02 Jun 2020 10:00 Puerto Juarez Mexico  0.1
02 Jun 2020 09:30 Santa Fe Honduras  0.1
02 Jun 2020 09:30 Puerto Castilla Honduras  0.1
02 Jun 2020 09:30 Pital Honduras  0.1
02 Jun 2020 09:30 Empalme Honduras  0.1
02 Jun 2020 09:30 Trujillo Honduras  0.1
02 Jun 2020 09:30 Barranco Blanco Honduras  0.1
02 Jun 2020 09:30 Boqueron Mexico  0.1
02 Jun 2020 09:30 Pasito de la Senora Mexico  0.1
02 Jun 2020 06:45 Mims United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 06:45 Hoskins United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 06:45 Peterson Landing United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 06:45 Port Morris United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 06:45 Red Fish Cove United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 06:45 Bay Harbor United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 06:45 Sea Isle United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 06:45 Jamaica Beach United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 09:00 Barra del Motagua Guatemala  0.1
02 Jun 2020 09:00 Cuyamel Honduras  0.1
02 Jun 2020 09:00 La Esperanza Honduras  0.1
02 Jun 2020 09:00 Veracruz Honduras  0.1
02 Jun 2020 09:00 Chachaguala Honduras  0.1
02 Jun 2020 09:00 Omoa Honduras  0.1
02 Jun 2020 07:15 Port Lavaca United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 07:15 Alamo Beach United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 07:15 Point Comfort United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 07:15 Magnolia Beach United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 07:15 Indianola United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 07:15 Olivia United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 07:15 Weedhaven United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 07:15 Port Alto United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 07:15 Port O'Connor United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 07:15 Carancahua United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 07:15 El Campo Club Community United States  0.1
02 Jun 2020 12:00 Hoquel Mexico  0.1
02 Jun 2020 12:00 Champoton Mexico  0.1