Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for AMANDA-20
in Guatemala, Mexico, El Salvador,

Impact

Tropical Cyclone AMANDA-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 65 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (04 Jun 05:00 UTC)
Vulnerability High (El Salvador)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 65 km/h 0.2 m 679 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 65 km/h 0.2 m 719 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

65 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 01 Jun 2020 12:00 UTC (Overall situation)

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 30 May 2020 18:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 31 May 2020 00:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 31 May 2020 06:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 31 May 2020 12:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 31 May 2020 18:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 01 Jun 2020 00:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 01 Jun 2020 06:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 01 Jun 2020 12:00 65 - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h





Rain exposed population

Estimations based on the bulletin of 01 Jun 2020 12:00 UTC (Overall situation)
LevelCountryPopulation 
500-750 mmMexico63300 
250-500 mmMexico, Belize, Guatemala, El Salvador8159612
+
Mexico2360040 
Belize19829 
Guatemala1864558 
El Salvador3915185 
100-250 mmMexico, Belize, Guatemala, Honduras, El Salvador, Nicaragua, Costa Rica26242105
+
Mexico7358262 
Belize265845 
Guatemala11562366 
Honduras1275863 
Nicaragua577642 
El Salvador2210327 
Costa Rica2991800 
50-100 mmMexico, Guatemala, Belize, Honduras, Nicaragua, Costa Rica13710426
+
Mexico1512456 
Belize55170 
Guatemala1220159 
Honduras5800764 
Nicaragua4715417 
Costa Rica406460 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 30 May 2020 18:00 101 -
- - - - - Guatemala, El Salvador, Honduras
Blue 2 31 May 2020 00:00 125 920 thousand
- - - - Mexico, Guatemala, El Salvador
Blue 3 31 May 2020 06:00 110 170 thousand
- - - - Mexico, Guatemala, Honduras, El Salvador
Blue 4 31 May 2020 12:00 85 -
- - - - - Mexico, Guatemala, Honduras, El Salvador
Blue 5 31 May 2020 18:00 89 -
- - - - - Guatemala, Honduras, El Salvador
Blue 6 01 Jun 2020 00:00 89 -
- - - - - Mexico, Guatemala
Blue 7 01 Jun 2020 06:00 94 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 8 01 Jun 2020 12:00 679 13.5 million
- - Mexico, Belize, Guatemala, Honduras, Nicaragua, El Salvador, Costa Rica




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Corozal, Belize. This height is estimated for 04 Jun 2020 05:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Calculation based on the bulletin of 01 Jun 2020 12:00 UTC (Overall situation)
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
04 Jun 2020 05:00 Corozal Belize  0.2
04 Jun 2020 05:00 Chunox Belize  0.2
04 Jun 2020 05:00 Chetumal Mexico  0.2
04 Jun 2020 05:00 Calderita Mexico  0.2
31 May 2020 04:30 El Carmen Nicaragua  0.2
31 May 2020 04:30 El Tanque Nicaragua  0.2
31 May 2020 04:30 Las Pozas Nicaragua  0.2
31 May 2020 04:30 La Chacara Nicaragua  0.2
31 May 2020 04:30 El Capulin Nicaragua  0.2
31 May 2020 04:30 Condega Honduras  0.2
31 May 2020 04:30 Cedeno Honduras  0.2
31 May 2020 04:30 Albania Honduras  0.2
03 Jun 2020 10:15 Dos Hermanas Mexico  0.2
03 Jun 2020 10:15 Calderas Mexico  0.2
03 Jun 2020 09:45 Santeneja Belize  0.2
30 May 2020 23:00 Hacienda Santa Elena Costa Rica  0.2
30 May 2020 23:00 Escameca Nicaragua  0.2
30 May 2020 23:00 El Ostional Nicaragua  0.2
30 May 2020 23:00 El Jobo Costa Rica  0.2
30 May 2020 23:00 Hacienda Murcielago Costa Rica  0.2
30 May 2020 23:00 Cuatro Caminos Nicaragua  0.2
30 May 2020 23:00 Murcielago Costa Rica  0.2
30 May 2020 23:00 Puerto Soleo Costa Rica  0.2
02 Jun 2020 05:45 Ferguson Bank Belize  0.1
02 Jun 2020 05:45 Belize City Belize  0.1
31 May 2020 10:00 Barra de la Gabina Guatemala  0.1
31 May 2020 10:00 Las Champas Guatemala  0.1
31 May 2020 10:00 Barra de Santiago El Salvador  0.1
03 Jun 2020 16:15 Arista Mexico  0.1
03 Jun 2020 16:15 Buenavista Mexico  0.1
03 Jun 2020 06:00 Solo Dios Mexico  0.1
30 May 2020 21:15 Gales Point Belize  0.1
30 May 2020 21:15 Mullins Belize  0.1
03 Jun 2020 10:00 Boqueron Mexico  0.1
31 May 2020 13:30 La Verde Guatemala  0.1
31 May 2020 13:30 El Tulate Guatemala  0.1
31 May 2020 13:30 Tahuesco Guatemala  0.1
31 May 2020 13:30 Nueva Venecia Guatemala  0.1
03 Jun 2020 10:00 Pasito de la Senora Mexico  0.1
03 Jun 2020 16:00 Cachimba Mexico  0.1
03 Jun 2020 06:15 Huajapan Mexico  0.1
03 Jun 2020 06:15 El Roble Mexico  0.1
30 May 2020 22:45 La Herradura El Salvador  0.1
30 May 2020 22:45 El Zapote El Salvador  0.1
30 May 2020 20:45 Stann Creek Town Belize  0.1
30 May 2020 22:45 Cangrejera El Salvador  0.1
30 May 2020 22:45 Canton Pimiental El Salvador  0.1
31 May 2020 10:00 Astillero Guatemala  0.1
31 May 2020 10:00 San Pedro Guatemala  0.1
04 Jun 2020 07:00 Xcalak Mexico  0.1
31 May 2020 09:45 Buenos Aires El Salvador  0.1
31 May 2020 09:45 Metalio El Salvador  0.1
31 May 2020 09:45 Acajutla El Salvador  0.1
31 May 2020 09:45 Los Cobanos El Salvador  0.1

Calculation folder at this link