Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for AMANDA-20
in Guatemala, Mexico, El Salvador,
Impact Single TC
HWRF
ECMWF
Impact all weather systems in the area
.

Impact

Tropical Cyclone AMANDA-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 76 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (31 May 19:15 UTC)
Vulnerability High (El Salvador)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 76 km/h 0.2 m 460 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 76 km/h 0.2 m 748 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

76 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 01 Jun 2020 12:00 UTC (Overall situation)

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 30 May 2020 00:00 47 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 30 May 2020 12:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 31 May 2020 00:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 31 May 2020 12:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 01 Jun 2020 00:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 01 Jun 2020 12:00 76 - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h





Rain exposed population

Estimations based on the bulletin of 01 Jun 2020 12:00 UTC (Overall situation)
LevelCountryPopulation 
500-750 mmMexico, El Salvador1665240
+
Mexico1635574 
El Salvador29666 
250-500 mmMexico, Belize, Guatemala, El Salvador, Honduras, Nicaragua7696044
+
Mexico2165755 
Belize1789 
Guatemala2089974 
Honduras192720 
Nicaragua40077 
El Salvador3205729 
100-250 mmMexico, Belize, Guatemala, Honduras, El Salvador, Nicaragua, Costa Rica32241175
+
Mexico8331296 
Belize270106 
Guatemala10725367 
Honduras3279458 
Nicaragua4521864 
El Salvador2890117 
Costa Rica2222967 
50-100 mmMexico, Belize, Guatemala, Honduras, Nicaragua, Costa Rica8737977
+
Mexico1728952 
Belize68835 
Guatemala1668642 
Honduras3945683 
Nicaragua1019936 
Costa Rica305929 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 30 May 2020 00:00 117 6 thousand
- - - - Mexico, Guatemala, Honduras, El Salvador, Nicaragua, Costa Rica
Blue 2 30 May 2020 12:00 152 730 thousand
- - - - Mexico, El Salvador, Nicaragua
Blue 3 31 May 2020 00:00 405 1.2 million
- - - Mexico, Guatemala, El Salvador
Blue 4 31 May 2020 12:00 293 940 thousand
- - - - Mexico, Belize, Guatemala, Honduras, El Salvador, Nicaragua, Costa Rica
Blue 5 01 Jun 2020 00:00 184 80 thousand
- - - - Mexico, Belize, Guatemala, Honduras, El Salvador, Nicaragua, Costa Rica
Blue 6 01 Jun 2020 12:00 460 13.1 million
- - - Mexico, Belize, Guatemala, Honduras, El Salvador, Nicaragua, Costa Rica




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in El Carmen, Nicaragua. This height is estimated for 31 May 2020 19:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Calculation based on the bulletin of 01 Jun 2020 12:00 UTC (Overall situation)
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
31 May 2020 19:15 El Carmen Nicaragua  0.2
31 May 2020 19:15 El Tanque Nicaragua  0.2
31 May 2020 19:15 Las Pozas Nicaragua  0.2
31 May 2020 19:15 La Chacara Nicaragua  0.2
31 May 2020 19:15 El Capulin Nicaragua  0.2
31 May 2020 19:15 Condega Honduras  0.2
31 May 2020 19:15 Cedeno Honduras  0.2
31 May 2020 19:15 Albania Honduras  0.2
02 Jun 2020 22:15 Corozal Belize  0.2
02 Jun 2020 22:15 Chunox Belize  0.2
02 Jun 2020 22:15 Chetumal Mexico  0.2
02 Jun 2020 22:15 Calderita Mexico  0.2
30 May 2020 05:45 Ciudad del Carmen Mexico  0.2
30 May 2020 05:45 Boca Nueva Mexico  0.2
31 May 2020 13:30 Cangrejera El Salvador  0.2
31 May 2020 13:30 Canton Pimiental El Salvador  0.2
31 May 2020 13:30 La Herradura El Salvador  0.2
31 May 2020 13:30 El Zapote El Salvador  0.2
01 Jun 2020 11:45 Dos Hermanas Mexico  0.2
01 Jun 2020 11:45 Calderas Mexico  0.2
31 May 2020 13:15 Hacienda Taquillo El Salvador  0.2
31 May 2020 13:15 El Sunzal El Salvador  0.2
31 May 2020 13:15 La Libertad El Salvador  0.2
31 May 2020 13:15 San Diego El Salvador  0.2
31 May 2020 19:00 Gualora Honduras  0.2
31 May 2020 19:00 Barrancones Honduras  0.2
30 May 2020 05:15 Victoria Mexico  0.2
01 Jun 2020 13:00 Santeneja Belize  0.2
31 May 2020 13:15 El Nispero El Salvador  0.2
31 May 2020 18:45 El Ajustillo Honduras  0.2
31 May 2020 18:45 Puerto Grande Honduras  0.2
31 May 2020 18:45 Las Piletas Honduras  0.2
31 May 2020 18:45 El Moray Honduras  0.2
31 May 2020 18:45 Estero del Espino Honduras  0.2
31 May 2020 18:45 Buena Vista Honduras  0.2
31 May 2020 18:45 El Tambor Honduras  0.2
02 Jun 2020 00:30 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
02 Jun 2020 00:30 Sabancuy Mexico  0.1
02 Jun 2020 00:30 Paso Real Mexico  0.1
31 May 2020 20:15 Las Barrillas Mexico  0.1
31 May 2020 20:15 Coatzacoalcos Mexico  0.1
31 May 2020 18:30 Conchaguita El Salvador  0.1
31 May 2020 18:30 Guerrero El Salvador  0.1
31 May 2020 18:30 El Capulin Honduras  0.1
31 May 2020 13:00 Las Champas Guatemala  0.1
31 May 2020 13:00 Barra de Santiago El Salvador  0.1
31 May 2020 13:00 Buenos Aires El Salvador  0.1
31 May 2020 13:00 Metalio El Salvador  0.1
31 May 2020 13:00 Acajutla El Salvador  0.1
31 May 2020 13:00 Los Cobanos El Salvador  0.1
31 May 2020 13:45 Isla de Mendez El Salvador  0.1
31 May 2020 13:45 El Espiritu Santo El Salvador  0.1
31 May 2020 13:45 Corral de Mulas El Salvador  0.1
01 Jun 2020 20:15 Nueva Venecia Guatemala  0.1
01 Jun 2020 20:15 Huitzitzil Guatemala  0.1
01 Jun 2020 20:15 Barra Madre Vieja Guatemala  0.1
01 Jun 2020 20:15 Tecojate Guatemala  0.1
01 Jun 2020 13:15 La Verde Guatemala  0.1
01 Jun 2020 13:15 El Tulate Guatemala  0.1
01 Jun 2020 13:15 Tahuesco Guatemala  0.1
31 May 2020 13:00 Acachapa El Salvador  0.1
31 May 2020 16:45 El Volcancillo Honduras  0.1
31 May 2020 16:45 Campamento Honduras  0.1
31 May 2020 16:45 El Hato Honduras  0.1
31 May 2020 17:30 El Cacao El Salvador  0.1
31 May 2020 17:30 La Union El Salvador  0.1
31 May 2020 13:00 Barra de la Gabina Guatemala  0.1
31 May 2020 14:30 Canoguero El Salvador  0.1
31 May 2020 19:00 El Zapote Honduras  0.1
01 Jun 2020 17:45 Boqueron Mexico  0.1
01 Jun 2020 17:45 Pasito de la Senora Mexico  0.1
01 Jun 2020 20:30 San Jose Rama Blanca Guatemala  0.1
01 Jun 2020 20:30 Sipacate Guatemala  0.1
31 May 2020 17:30 Conchaguita El Salvador  0.1
31 May 2020 17:30 Agua El Salvador  0.1
31 May 2020 20:15 Mangle Alto Nicaragua  0.1
01 Jun 2020 17:45 Acapan Guatemala  0.1
01 Jun 2020 17:45 Champerico Guatemala  0.1
31 May 2020 14:15 Hacienda La Chepona El Salvador  0.1
31 May 2020 14:15 Balneario El Espino El Salvador  0.1
31 May 2020 08:00 San Pedro Guatemala  0.1
01 Jun 2020 17:15 Barra de San Jose Mexico  0.1
30 May 2020 05:00 Hacienda Santa Elena Costa Rica  0.1
30 May 2020 05:00 Escameca Nicaragua  0.1
30 May 2020 05:00 El Ostional Nicaragua  0.1
30 May 2020 05:00 El Jobo Costa Rica  0.1
30 May 2020 05:00 Hacienda Murcielago Costa Rica  0.1
30 May 2020 05:00 Cuatro Caminos Nicaragua  0.1
30 May 2020 05:00 Murcielago Costa Rica  0.1
30 May 2020 05:00 Puerto Soleo Costa Rica  0.1
01 Jun 2020 17:15 La Concepion Mexico  0.1
01 Jun 2020 03:00 Buenavista Mexico  0.1
01 Jun 2020 03:00 Solo Dios Mexico  0.1
31 May 2020 09:45 Astillero Guatemala  0.1
31 May 2020 08:00 Agua Dulce Guatemala  0.1
31 May 2020 14:30 La Periquera El Salvador  0.1
31 May 2020 23:15 Gales Point Belize  0.1
31 May 2020 23:15 Mullins Belize  0.1
31 May 2020 23:15 Stann Creek Town Belize  0.1
03 Jun 2020 08:15 Sanchez Magallanes Mexico  0.1

Calculation folder at this link