Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for AMANDA-20
in Guatemala, Mexico, El Salvador,

Impact

Tropical Cyclone AMANDA-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 54 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (04 Jun 04:45 UTC)
Vulnerability High (El Salvador)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 54 km/h 0.2 m 94 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 65 km/h 0.2 m 719 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

65 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 01 Jun 2020 06:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 30 May 2020 18:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 31 May 2020 00:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 31 May 2020 06:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 31 May 2020 12:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 31 May 2020 18:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 01 Jun 2020 00:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 01 Jun 2020 06:00 72 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 01 Jun 2020 06:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmMexico, Guatemala284,922
+
Mexico277,413 
Guatemala7,509 
100-250 mmMexico, Belize, Guatemala, El Salvador, Nicaragua, Costa Rica6,078,975
+
Mexico3,242,142 
Belize161,682 
Guatemala2,428,734 
Nicaragua42,975 
El Salvador164,069 
Costa Rica39,373 
50-100 mmMexico, Belize, Guatemala, Honduras, Nicaragua, El Salvador, Costa Rica27,061,699
+
Mexico6,997,678 
Belize72,134 
Guatemala6,783,588 
Honduras2,705,865 
Nicaragua2,515,231 
El Salvador4,649,954 
Costa Rica3,337,249 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 30 May 2020 18:00 101 -
- - - - - Guatemala, El Salvador, Honduras
Blue 2 31 May 2020 00:00 125 920 thousand
- - - - Mexico, Guatemala, El Salvador
Blue 3 31 May 2020 06:00 110 170 thousand
- - - - Mexico, Guatemala, Honduras, El Salvador
Blue 4 31 May 2020 12:00 85 -
- - - - - Mexico, Guatemala, Honduras, El Salvador
Blue 5 31 May 2020 18:00 89 -
- - - - - Guatemala, Honduras, El Salvador
Blue 6 01 Jun 2020 00:00 89 -
- - - - - Mexico, Guatemala
Blue 7 01 Jun 2020 06:00 518 6.4 million
- - - Mexico, Belize, Guatemala, Honduras, Nicaragua, El Salvador, Costa Rica




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Corozal, Belize. This height is estimated for 04 Jun 2020 04:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 01 Jun 2020 06:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
04 Jun 2020 04:45 Corozal Belize  0.2
04 Jun 2020 04:45 Chunox Belize  0.2
04 Jun 2020 04:45 Chetumal Mexico  0.2
04 Jun 2020 04:45 Calderita Mexico  0.2
03 Jun 2020 10:15 Dos Hermanas Mexico  0.2
03 Jun 2020 10:15 Calderas Mexico  0.2
03 Jun 2020 09:00 Santeneja Belize  0.2
03 Jun 2020 06:45 Ferguson Bank Belize  0.2
03 Jun 2020 06:45 Belize City Belize  0.2
03 Jun 2020 06:00 Buenavista Mexico  0.1
03 Jun 2020 06:00 Solo Dios Mexico  0.1
03 Jun 2020 05:45 Boqueron Mexico  0.1
03 Jun 2020 05:45 Pasito de la Senora Mexico  0.1
03 Jun 2020 06:00 Arista Mexico  0.1
03 Jun 2020 07:00 Gales Point Belize  0.1
03 Jun 2020 07:00 Mullins Belize  0.1
03 Jun 2020 02:00 Cachimba Mexico  0.1
03 Jun 2020 07:00 Stann Creek Town Belize  0.1
01 Jun 2020 22:45 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
03 Jun 2020 06:00 Huajapan Mexico  0.1
03 Jun 2020 06:00 El Roble Mexico  0.1
03 Jun 2020 05:45 La Concepion Mexico  0.1
03 Jun 2020 11:30 Xcalak Mexico  0.1
01 Jun 2020 22:45 Arrozal Mexico  0.1