Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for AMANDA-20
in Guatemala, Mexico, El Salvador,
31 May 2020 18 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone AMANDA-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 65 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (03 Jun 18:00 UTC)
Vulnerability High (El Salvador)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 65 km/h 0.2 m 89 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 65 km/h 0.2 m 719 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

65 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 31 May 2020 18:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 30 May 2020 18:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 31 May 2020 00:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 31 May 2020 06:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 31 May 2020 12:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 31 May 2020 18:00 86 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 31 May 2020 18:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmMexico, Belize, Guatemala, Honduras, El Salvador, Nicaragua, Costa Rica11,826,631
+
Mexico3,690,923 
Belize187,869 
Guatemala3,590,461 
Honduras55,224 
Nicaragua2,908 
El Salvador1,690,629 
Costa Rica2,608,617 
50-100 mmMexico, Guatemala, Belize, Honduras, Nicaragua, El Salvador, Costa Rica21,786,645
+
Mexico5,603,099 
Belize120,398 
Guatemala7,658,215 
Honduras1,892,835 
Nicaragua1,561,243 
El Salvador4,288,477 
Costa Rica662,378 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 30 May 2020 18:00 101 -
- - - - - Guatemala, El Salvador, Honduras
Blue 2 31 May 2020 00:00 125 920 thousand
- - - - Mexico, Guatemala, El Salvador
Blue 3 31 May 2020 06:00 110 170 thousand
- - - - Mexico, Guatemala, Honduras, El Salvador
Blue 4 31 May 2020 12:00 85 -
- - - - - Mexico, Guatemala, Honduras, El Salvador
Blue 5 31 May 2020 18:00 464 11.8 million
- - - - Mexico, Belize, Guatemala, Honduras, Nicaragua, El Salvador, Costa Rica




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Corozal, Belize. This height is estimated for 03 Jun 2020 18:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 31 May 2020 18:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
03 Jun 2020 18:00 Corozal Belize  0.2
03 Jun 2020 18:00 Chunox Belize  0.2
03 Jun 2020 18:00 Chetumal Mexico  0.2
03 Jun 2020 18:00 Calderita Mexico  0.2
03 Jun 2020 09:30 Santeneja Belize  0.2
03 Jun 2020 10:15 Dos Hermanas Mexico  0.2
03 Jun 2020 10:15 Calderas Mexico  0.2
31 May 2020 19:45 El Carmen Nicaragua  0.2
31 May 2020 19:45 El Tanque Nicaragua  0.2
31 May 2020 19:45 Las Pozas Nicaragua  0.2
31 May 2020 19:45 La Chacara Nicaragua  0.2
31 May 2020 19:45 El Capulin Nicaragua  0.2
31 May 2020 19:45 Condega Honduras  0.2
31 May 2020 19:45 Cedeno Honduras  0.2
31 May 2020 19:45 Albania Honduras  0.2
03 Jun 2020 16:00 Boqueron Mexico  0.1
03 Jun 2020 16:00 Pasito de la Senora Mexico  0.1
03 Jun 2020 16:15 Buenavista Mexico  0.1
03 Jun 2020 16:15 Solo Dios Mexico  0.1
02 Jun 2020 15:30 Arista Mexico  0.1
03 Jun 2020 16:00 La Concepion Mexico  0.1
02 Jun 2020 15:00 Barra de la Gabina Guatemala  0.1
02 Jun 2020 15:00 Las Champas Guatemala  0.1
02 Jun 2020 15:00 Barra de Santiago El Salvador  0.1
03 Jun 2020 16:00 Barra de San Jose Mexico  0.1
03 Jun 2020 12:00 Xcalak Mexico  0.1
03 Jun 2020 06:00 Cachimba Mexico  0.1