Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for AMANDA-20
in Guatemala, Mexico, El Salvador,
30 May 2020 18 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone AMANDA-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 61 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (31 May 04:30 UTC)
Vulnerability High (El Salvador)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 61 km/h 0.2 m 101 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 65 km/h 0.2 m 719 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

65 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 30 May 2020 18:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 30 May 2020 18:00 61 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 30 May 2020 18:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
500-750 mmEl Salvador507,963 
250-500 mmGuatemala, El Salvador, Honduras6,239,313
+
Guatemala597,944 
Honduras149,937 
El Salvador5,491,432 
100-250 mmMexico, Belize, Guatemala, Honduras, El Salvador, Nicaragua, Costa Rica14,743,946
+
Mexico1,503,847 
Belize187,884 
Guatemala8,076,258 
Honduras1,337,775 
Nicaragua955,054 
El Salvador126,117 
Costa Rica2,557,011 
50-100 mmMexico, Guatemala, Belize, Honduras, Nicaragua, Costa Rica17,431,722
+
Mexico5,383,297 
Belize109,368 
Guatemala5,340,334 
Honduras3,061,141 
Nicaragua2,761,993 
Costa Rica775,589 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 30 May 2020 18:00 630 21.5 million
- - Mexico, Belize, Guatemala, Honduras, Nicaragua, El Salvador, Costa Rica




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in El Carmen, Nicaragua. This height is estimated for 31 May 2020 04:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 30 May 2020 18:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
31 May 2020 04:30 El Carmen Nicaragua  0.2
31 May 2020 04:30 El Tanque Nicaragua  0.2
31 May 2020 04:30 Las Pozas Nicaragua  0.2
31 May 2020 04:30 La Chacara Nicaragua  0.2
31 May 2020 04:30 El Capulin Nicaragua  0.2
31 May 2020 04:30 Condega Honduras  0.2
31 May 2020 04:30 Cedeno Honduras  0.2
31 May 2020 04:30 Albania Honduras  0.2
30 May 2020 23:00 Hacienda Santa Elena Costa Rica  0.2
30 May 2020 23:00 Escameca Nicaragua  0.2
30 May 2020 23:00 El Ostional Nicaragua  0.2
30 May 2020 23:00 El Jobo Costa Rica  0.2
30 May 2020 23:00 Hacienda Murcielago Costa Rica  0.2
30 May 2020 23:00 Cuatro Caminos Nicaragua  0.2
30 May 2020 23:00 Murcielago Costa Rica  0.2
30 May 2020 23:00 Puerto Soleo Costa Rica  0.2
01 Jun 2020 15:00 Chetumal Mexico  0.1
01 Jun 2020 15:00 Calderita Mexico  0.1
01 Jun 2020 15:00 Dos Hermanas Mexico  0.1
01 Jun 2020 15:00 Calderas Mexico  0.1
02 Jun 2020 11:30 Corozal Belize  0.1
02 Jun 2020 11:30 Chunox Belize  0.1
02 Jun 2020 04:45 Ciudad del Carmen Mexico  0.1
02 Jun 2020 04:45 Boca Nueva Mexico  0.1
01 Jun 2020 16:15 Santeneja Belize  0.1
30 May 2020 21:15 Gales Point Belize  0.1
30 May 2020 21:15 Mullins Belize  0.1
31 May 2020 16:00 La Verde Guatemala  0.1
31 May 2020 16:00 El Tulate Guatemala  0.1
31 May 2020 16:00 Tahuesco Guatemala  0.1
31 May 2020 16:00 Nueva Venecia Guatemala  0.1
31 May 2020 10:00 Barra de la Gabina Guatemala  0.1
31 May 2020 10:00 Las Champas Guatemala  0.1
31 May 2020 10:00 Barra de Santiago El Salvador  0.1
02 Jun 2020 04:45 Victoria Mexico  0.1
31 May 2020 11:00 Buenavista Mexico  0.1
31 May 2020 11:00 Solo Dios Mexico  0.1
30 May 2020 22:45 La Herradura El Salvador  0.1
30 May 2020 22:45 El Zapote El Salvador  0.1
30 May 2020 21:00 Ferguson Bank Belize  0.1
30 May 2020 20:45 Stann Creek Town Belize  0.1
31 May 2020 02:30 Belize City Belize  0.1
30 May 2020 22:45 Cangrejera El Salvador  0.1
30 May 2020 22:45 Canton Pimiental El Salvador  0.1
02 Jun 2020 15:15 Arista Mexico  0.1