Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for FERDINAND-20
Off-shore

Impact

Tropical Cyclone FERDINAND-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 194 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (25 Feb 07:00 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 72 km/h 0.2 m 324 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 194 km/h 0.2 m 737 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)



Wind exposed population

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 29 Feb 2020 18:00 UTC (Overall situation)

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 23 Feb 2020 18:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 24 Feb 2020 00:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 24 Feb 2020 06:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 24 Feb 2020 12:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 24 Feb 2020 18:00 130 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 25 Feb 2020 00:00 140 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 25 Feb 2020 06:00 180 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 25 Feb 2020 12:00 191 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 25 Feb 2020 18:00 194 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 26 Feb 2020 00:00 176 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 26 Feb 2020 06:00 176 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 26 Feb 2020 12:00 180 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 26 Feb 2020 18:00 158 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 27 Feb 2020 00:00 144 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 27 Feb 2020 06:00 122 - - - - - - -
GREEN 16 27 Feb 2020 12:00 104 - - - - - - -
GREEN 17 27 Feb 2020 18:00 112 - - - - - - -
GREEN 18 28 Feb 2020 00:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 19 28 Feb 2020 06:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 20 28 Feb 2020 12:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 21 28 Feb 2020 18:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 22 29 Feb 2020 00:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 23 29 Feb 2020 06:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 24 29 Feb 2020 12:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 25 29 Feb 2020 18:00 72 - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h

Rainfall

737 mm

No people can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)





Rain exposed population

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 29 Feb 2020 18:00 UTC (Overall situation)

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 23 Feb 2020 18:00 135 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 24 Feb 2020 00:00 143 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 24 Feb 2020 06:00 173 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 24 Feb 2020 12:00 123 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 24 Feb 2020 18:00 209 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 25 Feb 2020 00:00 269 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 25 Feb 2020 06:00 267 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 25 Feb 2020 12:00 442 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 25 Feb 2020 18:00 405 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 26 Feb 2020 00:00 449 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 26 Feb 2020 06:00 369 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 26 Feb 2020 12:00 270 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 26 Feb 2020 18:00 126 - - - - - - -
Blue 14 27 Feb 2020 00:00 128 - - - - - - -
Blue 15 27 Feb 2020 06:00 137 - - - - - - -
Blue 16 27 Feb 2020 12:00 154 - - - - - - -
Blue 17 27 Feb 2020 18:00 186 - - - - - - -
Blue 18 28 Feb 2020 00:00 145 - - - - - - -
Blue 19 28 Feb 2020 06:00 136 - - - - - - -
Blue 20 28 Feb 2020 12:00 243 - - - - - - -
Blue 21 28 Feb 2020 18:00 237 - - - - - - -
Blue 22 29 Feb 2020 00:00 92 - - - - - - -
Blue 23 29 Feb 2020 06:00 243 - - - - - - -
Blue 24 29 Feb 2020 12:00 288 - - - - - - -
Blue 25 29 Feb 2020 18:00 324 - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Blimbing, Indonesia. This height is estimated for 25 Feb 2020 07:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Calculation based on the bulletin of 29 Feb 2020 18:00 UTC (Overall situation)
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
25 Feb 2020 07:00 Blimbing Indonesia  0.2
25 Feb 2020 07:00 Dadapan Indonesia  0.2
25 Feb 2020 07:00 Banyuwangi Indonesia  0.2
25 Feb 2020 07:00 Banjuwangi Indonesia  0.2
25 Feb 2020 07:00 Soega Indonesia  0.2
25 Feb 2020 07:00 Gilimanuk Indonesia  0.2
25 Feb 2020 07:00 Penginoeman Indonesia  0.2
25 Feb 2020 07:00 Belimbingsari Indonesia  0.2
25 Feb 2020 07:00 Tjandikesuma Indonesia  0.2
25 Feb 2020 07:00 Banjoebiroe Indonesia  0.2
29 Feb 2020 11:45 Pardoo Australia  0.2
28 Feb 2020 11:45 Condon Australia  0.2
26 Feb 2020 07:30 Waingapu Indonesia  0.2
26 Feb 2020 07:30 Matawai Indonesia  0.2
26 Feb 2020 07:30 Pajeti Indonesia  0.2
26 Feb 2020 07:30 Lakohembi Indonesia  0.2
28 Feb 2020 05:30 Onslow Australia  0.2
28 Feb 2020 21:00 Pringgabaja Indonesia  0.2
28 Feb 2020 21:00 Lombok Indonesia  0.2
26 Feb 2020 02:30 Tjimari Indonesia  0.2
26 Feb 2020 02:30 Pameungpeuk Indonesia  0.2
26 Feb 2020 02:30 Bangbajang Indonesia  0.2
28 Feb 2020 23:45 Lenteng Indonesia  0.2
28 Feb 2020 23:45 Rinca Indonesia  0.2
28 Feb 2020 23:45 Lo'o Indonesia  0.2
01 Mar 2020 06:15 Dampier Australia  0.2
01 Mar 2020 06:15 Karratha Australia  0.2
25 Feb 2020 07:30 Kencong Indonesia  0.2
25 Feb 2020 07:30 Lodjedjer Indonesia  0.2
29 Feb 2020 13:45 Petanahan Indonesia  0.2
26 Feb 2020 14:30 East Lewis I Australia  0.2
28 Feb 2020 11:15 Exmouth Australia  0.2
29 Feb 2020 07:45 Memboro Indonesia  0.2
29 Feb 2020 07:45 Lena Indonesia  0.2
29 Feb 2020 19:30 Kadesa Indonesia  0.2
29 Feb 2020 19:30 Lapaoe Indonesia  0.2
27 Feb 2020 08:00 Maoedoeloeng Indonesia  0.2
27 Feb 2020 08:30 Ah Chong I Australia  0.2
29 Feb 2020 07:30 Sessok Indonesia  0.2
29 Feb 2020 07:30 Nangalele Indonesia  0.2
28 Feb 2020 01:30 Petjatu Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 01:30 Seseh Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 01:30 Kuta Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 01:30 Djimbaran Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 01:30 Boealoe Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 01:30 Benua Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 01:30 Denpasar Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 01:30 Sukawati Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 01:30 Labih Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 05:15 Glenroy Australia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 07:45 Brassan Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 07:45 Muntjar Indonesia  0.1
27 Feb 2020 08:15 Paraing Liang Indonesia  0.1
26 Feb 2020 19:00 Mardie Australia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 07:15 Komodo Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 19:45 Katewela Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 19:45 Karendi Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 07:45 Lapatawang Indonesia  0.1
27 Feb 2020 07:45 Kampoeng Mborong Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 13:30 Tambaksari Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 13:30 Lungurdowo Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 13:30 Pudjihardjo Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 13:30 Guying Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 07:45 Lalindi Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 07:45 Manoekangga Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 02:00 Adipala Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 02:00 Binangoen Indonesia  0.1
27 Feb 2020 07:45 Ramoet Indonesia  0.1
25 Feb 2020 12:15 Port Hedland Australia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 07:30 Sunut Indonesia  0.1
29 Feb 2020 10:45 Bundera Bundera Australia  0.1
29 Feb 2020 13:45 Sindangsari Indonesia  0.1
29 Feb 2020 13:45 Cijulang Indonesia  0.1
29 Feb 2020 13:45 Cikalong Indonesia  0.1
29 Feb 2020 13:45 Pangadaran Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 07:15 Koeta Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 07:15 Awang Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 07:30 Cupel Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 07:30 Banjuwedang Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 07:30 Prancak Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 07:30 Negara Indonesia  0.1
27 Feb 2020 14:15 Kaliputjang Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 19:15 Laboean Mapin Indonesia  0.1
27 Feb 2020 02:30 Deliugo Indonesia  0.1
27 Feb 2020 02:30 Kalak Indonesia  0.1
27 Feb 2020 02:30 Patjitan Indonesia  0.1
27 Feb 2020 10:00 Cardabia Australia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 04:30 Cape Cuvier Australia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 14:30 Condro Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 17:15 Ajah Indonesia  0.1
01 Mar 2020 01:30 Chilachap Indonesia  0.1
29 Feb 2020 19:45 Tanahdamar Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 07:30 Learmonth Australia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 19:45 Grajagan Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 19:45 Gradjagan Indonesia  0.1
27 Feb 2020 16:30 Gnaraloo Australia  0.1
29 Feb 2020 07:30 Gerampi Indonesia  0.1
27 Feb 2020 11:30 Ningaloo Australia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 04:15 Wickham Australia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 04:15 Point Samson Australia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 04:15 Cossack Australia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 08:30 Batuulo Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 08:30 Bande-alit Indonesia  0.1
29 Feb 2020 01:45 Djepitoe Indonesia  0.1
27 Feb 2020 03:00 Warroora Australia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 07:30 Mendaja Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 07:30 Jehembang Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 07:30 Pulukan Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 13:45 Sidomukti Indonesia  0.1
27 Feb 2020 13:45 Djagalaja Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 11:45 Praigaga Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 11:45 Omatena Indonesia  0.1
27 Feb 2020 01:45 Galur Indonesia  0.1
27 Feb 2020 01:45 Srandakan Indonesia  0.1
27 Feb 2020 01:45 Kebonongan Indonesia  0.1
27 Feb 2020 01:45 Tirtohardjo Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 06:45 Badjera Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 06:45 Krambitan Indonesia  0.1
29 Feb 2020 08:00 Tanahkadukung Indonesia  0.1
29 Feb 2020 08:00 Baing Indonesia  0.1
29 Feb 2020 08:00 Doro Kempo Indonesia  0.1
29 Feb 2020 08:00 Huu Indonesia  0.1
29 Feb 2020 08:00 Madawa Indonesia  0.1
29 Feb 2020 08:00 Polo Indonesia  0.1
26 Feb 2020 19:00 Popoh Indonesia  0.1
26 Feb 2020 19:00 Boeloelawang Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 19:45 Waikasaha Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 19:45 Soema Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 19:45 Genggalo Indonesia  0.1
29 Feb 2020 07:00 Djareweh Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 13:15 Panggul Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 13:15 Mundjungan Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 13:15 Tasikmadoe Indonesia  0.1
27 Feb 2020 16:45 Quobba Australia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 07:45 Bangkulua Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 19:30 Badjo Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 20:00 Tosi Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 20:00 Kodi Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 20:00 Bondokodi Indonesia  0.1
27 Feb 2020 08:15 Bendungan Indonesia  0.1
27 Feb 2020 13:45 Kalapagenep Indonesia  0.1
27 Feb 2020 10:30 Karanganjar Indonesia  0.1
27 Feb 2020 10:30 Chikalong Indonesia  0.1
29 Feb 2020 07:00 Labuhanpon Indonesia  0.1
29 Feb 2020 07:00 Lembar Indonesia  0.1
29 Feb 2020 07:00 Tandjoengkarang Indonesia  0.1
29 Feb 2020 07:00 Geroeng Indonesia  0.1
27 Feb 2020 18:15 Ngadirodjo Indonesia  0.1
28 Feb 2020 07:15 Lebah Indonesia  0.1
29 Feb 2020 19:45 Madala Indonesia  0.1
29 Feb 2020 19:45 Bondobela Indonesia  0.1
29 Feb 2020 19:45 Waigalli Indonesia  0.1
29 Feb 2020 02:15 Tjibeber Indonesia  0.1
29 Feb 2020 02:15 Tjikaret Indonesia  0.1
29 Feb 2020 07:00 Kahale Indonesia  0.1
29 Feb 2020 19:45 Oeboeoleta Indonesia  0.1
26 Feb 2020 08:00 Bandjarangkan Indonesia  0.1
26 Feb 2020 08:00 Lungkung Indonesia  0.1
26 Feb 2020 08:00 Lembongan Indonesia  0.1
26 Feb 2020 08:00 Tojapakeh Indonesia  0.1
29 Feb 2020 07:15 Tatar Indonesia  0.1
29 Feb 2020 07:15 Garantah Indonesia  0.1

Calculation folder at this link