Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for UESI-20
in New Caledonia, Australia

Impact

Tropical Cyclone UESI-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Papua New Guinea, Australia
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 112 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (13 Feb 01:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (New Caledonia)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 112 km/h 0.2 m 119 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 133 km/h 0.5 m 441 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

133 km/h

Up to Few people can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population

Estimations based on the bulletin of 13 Feb 2020 00:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormPapua New Guinea, Australia368
+
Papua New Guinea138 
Australia230 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 09 Feb 2020 00:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 09 Feb 2020 06:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 09 Feb 2020 12:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 09 Feb 2020 18:00 97 -
- - - - - New Caledonia
GREEN 5 10 Feb 2020 00:00 86 -
- - - - - New Caledonia, Australia
GREEN 6 10 Feb 2020 06:00 97 -
- - - - - New Caledonia
GREEN 7 10 Feb 2020 12:00 101 -
- - - - - New Caledonia
GREEN 8 10 Feb 2020 18:00 97 -
- - - - - New Caledonia
GREEN 9 11 Feb 2020 00:00 133 -
- - - - - New Caledonia
GREEN 10 11 Feb 2020 06:00 122 -
- - - - - New Caledonia
GREEN 11 11 Feb 2020 12:00 126 -
- - - - - New Caledonia
GREEN 12 11 Feb 2020 18:00 130 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 12 Feb 2020 00:00 122 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 12 Feb 2020 06:00 119 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 12 Feb 2020 12:00 115 - - - - - - -
GREEN 16 12 Feb 2020 18:00 112 - - - - - - -
GREEN 17 13 Feb 2020 00:00 115 -
- - - - - Papua New Guinea, Australia




Impact estimation for the next 72h





Rain exposed population

Estimations based on the bulletin of 13 Feb 2020 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmSolomon Islands1935 
50-100 mmSolomon Islands, Papua New Guinea, Australia361176
+
Solomon Islands291536 
Papua New Guinea54875 
Australia14765 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 09 Feb 2020 00:00 145 200 thousand
- - - - Australia
Blue 2 09 Feb 2020 06:00 113 -
- - - - - Australia
Blue 3 09 Feb 2020 12:00 150 -
- - - - - Australia
Blue 4 09 Feb 2020 18:00 130 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 10 Feb 2020 00:00 133 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 10 Feb 2020 06:00 153 -
- - - - - New Caledonia
Blue 7 10 Feb 2020 12:00 110 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 10 Feb 2020 18:00 73 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 11 Feb 2020 00:00 125 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 11 Feb 2020 06:00 148 -
- - - - - Australia
Blue 11 11 Feb 2020 12:00 165 -
- - - - - Vanuatu
Blue 12 11 Feb 2020 18:00 143 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 12 Feb 2020 00:00 175 - - - - - - -
Blue 14 12 Feb 2020 06:00 179 - - - - - - -
Blue 15 12 Feb 2020 12:00 133 - - - - - - -
Blue 16 12 Feb 2020 18:00 108 -
- - - - - Australia
Blue 17 13 Feb 2020 00:00 722 2 thousand
- - - - Solomon Islands, Papua New Guinea, Australia




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Benowa, Australia. This height is estimated for 13 Feb 2020 01:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Calculation based on the bulletin of 13 Feb 2020 00:00 UTC
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
13 Feb 2020 01:00 Benowa Australia  0.2
13 Feb 2020 01:00 Gold Coast Australia  0.2
13 Feb 2020 01:00 Moondarewa Australia  0.2
13 Feb 2020 01:00 Southport Australia  0.2
13 Feb 2020 01:00 Surfers Paradise Australia  0.2
13 Feb 2020 01:00 Broadbeach Australia  0.2
13 Feb 2020 01:00 West Burleigh Australia  0.2
13 Feb 2020 01:00 Burleigh Heads Australia  0.2
13 Feb 2020 01:00 Piggabeen Australia  0.2
13 Feb 2020 01:00 Bilambil Australia  0.2
13 Feb 2020 01:00 Palm Beach Australia  0.2
13 Feb 2020 01:00 Currumbin Australia  0.2
13 Feb 2020 01:00 Tugun Australia  0.2
13 Feb 2020 01:00 Bilinga Australia  0.2
13 Feb 2020 01:00 Tweed Heads Australia  0.2
13 Feb 2020 01:00 Coolangatta Australia  0.2
13 Feb 2020 01:00 Kingscliff-Fingal Australia  0.2
13 Feb 2020 01:15 Tin Can Bay Australia  0.2
13 Feb 2020 05:30 Farnborough Australia  0.2
13 Feb 2020 05:30 Yeppoon Australia  0.2
13 Feb 2020 01:00 Tumbulgum Australia  0.2
13 Feb 2020 01:00 North Tumbulgum Australia  0.2
13 Feb 2020 01:00 Terranora Australia  0.2
13 Feb 2020 01:00 Stotts Creek Australia  0.2
13 Feb 2020 01:00 Cudgen Australia  0.2
13 Feb 2020 01:00 Chinderah Australia  0.2
13 Feb 2020 01:00 Kingscliff Australia  0.2
13 Feb 2020 01:15 Coolum Australia  0.2
13 Feb 2020 01:15 Maroochydore Australia  0.2
13 Feb 2020 01:15 Coolum Beach Australia  0.2
13 Feb 2020 01:15 Mooloolaba Australia  0.2
13 Feb 2020 01:15 Caloundra Australia  0.2
13 Feb 2020 02:00 Coowonga Australia  0.2
13 Feb 2020 02:00 Coorooman Australia  0.2
13 Feb 2020 02:00 Broadmount Australia  0.2
13 Feb 2020 02:00 Keppel Sands Australia  0.2
13 Feb 2020 02:00 Emu Park Australia  0.2
13 Feb 2020 04:30 Southend Australia  0.2
13 Feb 2020 02:15 Port Alma Australia  0.2
13 Feb 2020 01:00 Tewantin Australia  0.2
13 Feb 2020 01:00 Noosaville Australia  0.2
13 Feb 2020 01:00 Noosa Heads Australia  0.2
13 Feb 2020 05:00 Benaraby Australia  0.1
13 Feb 2020 05:00 Boyne Island Australia  0.1
13 Feb 2020 05:15 Kinka Australia  0.1
13 Feb 2020 04:00 Seventeen Seventy Australia  0.1
13 Feb 2020 05:00 Gladstone Australia  0.1
13 Feb 2020 05:00 Toolooa Australia  0.1
13 Feb 2020 05:00 Parsons Point Australia  0.1
13 Feb 2020 04:45 Kaduaga Papua New Guinea  0.1
13 Feb 2020 04:45 Losuia Papua New Guinea  0.1
13 Feb 2020 04:00 Bustard Head Australia  0.1
13 Feb 2020 00:00 Wynnum Australia  0.1
13 Feb 2020 00:00 Manly Australia  0.1
13 Feb 2020 00:00 Birkdale Australia  0.1
13 Feb 2020 00:00 Wellington Point Australia  0.1
13 Feb 2020 00:00 Tangalooma Australia  0.1
13 Feb 2020 00:00 Gebelum Australia  0.1
13 Feb 2020 00:00 Kooringal Australia  0.1
13 Feb 2020 00:00 Amity Point Australia  0.1
13 Feb 2020 01:30 Redland Bay Australia  0.1
13 Feb 2020 01:30 Victoria Point Australia  0.1
13 Feb 2020 01:30 Coomera Australia  0.1
13 Feb 2020 01:30 Woongoolba Australia  0.1
13 Feb 2020 01:30 Norwell Australia  0.1
13 Feb 2020 01:30 Steiglitz Australia  0.1
13 Feb 2020 01:30 Canalpin Australia  0.1
13 Feb 2020 04:45 Wailagi Papua New Guinea  0.1
13 Feb 2020 04:45 Vivigani Papua New Guinea  0.1
13 Feb 2020 04:45 Bolubolu Papua New Guinea  0.1
13 Feb 2020 04:45 Kalo Kalo Papua New Guinea  0.1
13 Feb 2020 04:45 Tomodebamu Papua New Guinea  0.1
13 Feb 2020 04:45 Avana Papua New Guinea  0.1
13 Feb 2020 04:45 Amoiboa Papua New Guinea  0.1

Calculation folder at this link