Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for UESI-20
in New Caledonia, Australia

Impact

Tropical Cyclone UESI-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Australia
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 112 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (12 Feb 23:15 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (New Caledonia)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 112 km/h 0.3 m 108 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 133 km/h 0.5 m 441 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

133 km/h

Up to Few people can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population

Estimations based on the bulletin of 12 Feb 2020 18:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormAustralia230 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 09 Feb 2020 00:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 09 Feb 2020 06:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 09 Feb 2020 12:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 09 Feb 2020 18:00 97 -
- - - - - New Caledonia
GREEN 5 10 Feb 2020 00:00 86 -
- - - - - New Caledonia, Australia
GREEN 6 10 Feb 2020 06:00 97 -
- - - - - New Caledonia
GREEN 7 10 Feb 2020 12:00 101 -
- - - - - New Caledonia
GREEN 8 10 Feb 2020 18:00 97 -
- - - - - New Caledonia
GREEN 9 11 Feb 2020 00:00 133 -
- - - - - New Caledonia
GREEN 10 11 Feb 2020 06:00 122 -
- - - - - New Caledonia
GREEN 11 11 Feb 2020 12:00 126 -
- - - - - New Caledonia
GREEN 12 11 Feb 2020 18:00 130 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 12 Feb 2020 00:00 122 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 12 Feb 2020 06:00 119 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 12 Feb 2020 12:00 115 - - - - - - -
GREEN 16 12 Feb 2020 18:00 119 -
- - - - - Australia




Impact estimation for the next 72h





Rain exposed population

Estimations based on the bulletin of 12 Feb 2020 18:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmSolomon Islands, Papua New Guinea, Australia17182
+
Solomon Islands168 
Papua New Guinea16249 
Australia765 
50-100 mmSolomon Islands, Papua New Guinea, Australia502155
+
Solomon Islands262687 
Papua New Guinea60421 
Australia179047 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 09 Feb 2020 00:00 145 200 thousand
- - - - Australia
Blue 2 09 Feb 2020 06:00 113 -
- - - - - Australia
Blue 3 09 Feb 2020 12:00 150 -
- - - - - Australia
Blue 4 09 Feb 2020 18:00 130 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 10 Feb 2020 00:00 133 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 10 Feb 2020 06:00 153 -
- - - - - New Caledonia
Blue 7 10 Feb 2020 12:00 110 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 10 Feb 2020 18:00 73 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 11 Feb 2020 00:00 125 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 11 Feb 2020 06:00 148 -
- - - - - Australia
Blue 11 11 Feb 2020 12:00 165 -
- - - - - Vanuatu
Blue 12 11 Feb 2020 18:00 143 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 12 Feb 2020 00:00 175 - - - - - - -
Blue 14 12 Feb 2020 06:00 179 - - - - - - -
Blue 15 12 Feb 2020 12:00 133 - - - - - - -
Blue 16 12 Feb 2020 18:00 467 20 thousand
- - - - Solomon Islands, Papua New Guinea, Australia




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Benowa, Australia. This height is estimated for 12 Feb 2020 23:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Calculation based on the bulletin of 12 Feb 2020 18:00 UTC
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
12 Feb 2020 23:15 Benowa Australia  0.3
12 Feb 2020 23:15 Gold Coast Australia  0.3
12 Feb 2020 23:15 Southport Australia  0.3
12 Feb 2020 23:15 Surfers Paradise Australia  0.3
12 Feb 2020 23:15 Broadbeach Australia  0.3
12 Feb 2020 23:15 West Burleigh Australia  0.3
12 Feb 2020 23:15 Burleigh Heads Australia  0.3
12 Feb 2020 23:15 Tumbulgum Australia  0.3
12 Feb 2020 23:15 Piggabeen Australia  0.3
12 Feb 2020 23:15 Bilambil Australia  0.3
12 Feb 2020 23:15 North Tumbulgum Australia  0.3
12 Feb 2020 23:15 Palm Beach Australia  0.3
12 Feb 2020 23:15 Currumbin Australia  0.3
12 Feb 2020 23:15 Tugun Australia  0.3
12 Feb 2020 23:15 Terranora Australia  0.3
12 Feb 2020 23:15 Bilinga Australia  0.3
12 Feb 2020 23:15 Stotts Creek Australia  0.3
12 Feb 2020 23:15 Tweed Heads Australia  0.3
12 Feb 2020 23:15 Coolangatta Australia  0.3
12 Feb 2020 23:15 Kingscliff-Fingal Australia  0.3
12 Feb 2020 23:15 Cudgen Australia  0.3
12 Feb 2020 23:15 Chinderah Australia  0.3
12 Feb 2020 23:15 Kingscliff Australia  0.3
12 Feb 2020 23:15 Moondarewa Australia  0.2
12 Feb 2020 22:15 Tin Can Bay Australia  0.2
12 Feb 2020 22:15 Tewantin Australia  0.2
12 Feb 2020 22:15 Noosaville Australia  0.2
12 Feb 2020 22:15 Coolum Australia  0.2
12 Feb 2020 22:15 Coolum Beach Australia  0.2
12 Feb 2020 22:15 Noosa Heads Australia  0.2
12 Feb 2020 22:00 Maroochydore Australia  0.1
12 Feb 2020 22:00 Mooloolaba Australia  0.1
12 Feb 2020 21:15 Redland Bay Australia  0.1
12 Feb 2020 21:15 Victoria Point Australia  0.1
12 Feb 2020 21:15 Coomera Australia  0.1
12 Feb 2020 21:15 Woongoolba Australia  0.1
12 Feb 2020 21:15 Norwell Australia  0.1
12 Feb 2020 21:15 Steiglitz Australia  0.1
12 Feb 2020 21:15 Canalpin Australia  0.1
12 Feb 2020 19:30 Caloundra Australia  0.1
12 Feb 2020 18:45 Ho New Caledonia  0.1
12 Feb 2020 18:45 Meomo New Caledonia  0.1
12 Feb 2020 18:45 Houailou New Caledonia  0.1
12 Feb 2020 18:45 Ouakaya New Caledonia  0.1
12 Feb 2020 18:45 Poro New Caledonia  0.1
12 Feb 2020 18:45 Kouaoua New Caledonia  0.1
12 Feb 2020 22:30 Seventeen Seventy Australia  0.1
12 Feb 2020 22:45 Burrum Australia  0.1
12 Feb 2020 22:45 Traviston Australia  0.1
12 Feb 2020 23:00 Margate Australia  0.1
12 Feb 2020 23:00 Meeandah Australia  0.1
12 Feb 2020 23:00 Redcliffe Australia  0.1
12 Feb 2020 23:00 Scarborough Australia  0.1
12 Feb 2020 23:00 Pinkenba Australia  0.1
12 Feb 2020 23:00 Myrtletown Australia  0.1
12 Feb 2020 23:00 Lytton Australia  0.1
12 Feb 2020 23:00 Cowan Cowan Australia  0.1
12 Feb 2020 23:00 Tangalooma Australia  0.1
12 Feb 2020 23:00 Gebelum Australia  0.1
12 Feb 2020 23:00 Kooringal Australia  0.1
12 Feb 2020 22:45 Buxton Australia  0.1
12 Feb 2020 22:45 Woodgate Australia  0.1
12 Feb 2020 23:15 Dundowran Australia  0.1
12 Feb 2020 23:15 Urraween Australia  0.1
12 Feb 2020 23:15 Point Vernon Australia  0.1
12 Feb 2020 23:15 Kawungan Australia  0.1
12 Feb 2020 23:15 Pialba Australia  0.1
12 Feb 2020 23:15 Scarness Australia  0.1
12 Feb 2020 23:15 Torquay Australia  0.1
12 Feb 2020 23:15 Urangan Australia  0.1
12 Feb 2020 22:45 Toogoom Australia  0.1
12 Feb 2020 23:00 Pemberton Australia  0.1
12 Feb 2020 23:00 Elliott Heads Australia  0.1
12 Feb 2020 22:45 Port Bundaberg Australia  0.1
12 Feb 2020 22:45 The Grange Australia  0.1
12 Feb 2020 22:45 Burnett Heads Australia  0.1
12 Feb 2020 22:45 Bargara Australia  0.1
12 Feb 2020 22:00 Bustard Head Australia  0.1
12 Feb 2020 22:45 Bellara Australia  0.1
12 Feb 2020 22:45 Bongaree Australia  0.1
12 Feb 2020 22:45 Woorim Australia  0.1
12 Feb 2020 22:45 Bulwer Australia  0.1
12 Feb 2020 23:30 Wynnum Australia  0.1
12 Feb 2020 23:30 Manly Australia  0.1
12 Feb 2020 23:30 Birkdale Australia  0.1
12 Feb 2020 23:30 Wellington Point Australia  0.1
12 Feb 2020 23:30 Amity Point Australia  0.1
12 Feb 2020 19:30 Dunwich Australia  0.1
12 Feb 2020 19:30 Wallen Wallen Australia  0.1
12 Feb 2020 19:30 Point Lookout Australia  0.1
12 Feb 2020 23:00 Avondale Australia  0.1
12 Feb 2020 23:00 Moore Park Australia  0.1
12 Feb 2020 21:45 Bribie Australia  0.1
12 Feb 2020 21:45 Bribie View Australia  0.1
12 Feb 2020 21:45 Donnybrook Australia  0.1
12 Feb 2020 22:45 Benaraby Australia  0.1
12 Feb 2020 22:45 Boyne Island Australia  0.1
12 Feb 2020 22:15 Toorbul Australia  0.1
12 Feb 2020 20:30 Wailagi Papua New Guinea  0.1
12 Feb 2020 20:30 Vivigani Papua New Guinea  0.1
12 Feb 2020 20:30 Bolubolu Papua New Guinea  0.1
12 Feb 2020 20:30 Kalo Kalo Papua New Guinea  0.1
12 Feb 2020 20:30 Tomodebamu Papua New Guinea  0.1
12 Feb 2020 20:30 Avana Papua New Guinea  0.1
12 Feb 2020 20:30 Amoiboa Papua New Guinea  0.1
12 Feb 2020 23:00 Gladstone Australia  0.1
12 Feb 2020 23:00 Toolooa Australia  0.1
12 Feb 2020 23:00 Parsons Point Australia  0.1
12 Feb 2020 23:00 Southend Australia  0.1
12 Feb 2020 21:00 Mullumbimby Australia  0.1
12 Feb 2020 21:00 Yelgun Australia  0.1
12 Feb 2020 21:00 Sleepy Hollow Australia  0.1
12 Feb 2020 21:00 Billinudgel Australia  0.1
12 Feb 2020 21:00 Warwick Park Australia  0.1
12 Feb 2020 21:00 Brunswick Heads Australia  0.1
12 Feb 2020 21:00 Brunswick Australia  0.1
12 Feb 2020 21:00 New Brighton Australia  0.1
12 Feb 2020 21:00 Tyagarah Australia  0.1
12 Feb 2020 21:00 Ewingsdale Australia  0.1
12 Feb 2020 21:00 Byron Bay Australia  0.1

Calculation folder at this link