Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for RAYMOND-19
in Mexico
17 Nov 2019 12 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone RAYMOND-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries Mexico
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 115 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.4 m (17 Nov 02:15 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 115 km/h 0.4 m 573 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 115 km/h 0.4 m 573 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

115 km/h

Up to Few people can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 17 Nov 2019 12:00 UTC (Overall situation)
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormMexico676 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 15 Nov 2019 00:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 15 Nov 2019 06:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 15 Nov 2019 12:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 15 Nov 2019 18:00 115 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 16 Nov 2019 00:00 104 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 16 Nov 2019 06:00 112 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 16 Nov 2019 12:00 108 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 16 Nov 2019 18:00 108 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 17 Nov 2019 00:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 17 Nov 2019 06:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 17 Nov 2019 12:00 94 -
- - - - - Mexico
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 17 Nov 2019 12:00 UTC (Overall situation)
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmMexico6,133 
50-100 mmMexico159,904 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 15 Nov 2019 00:00 243 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 15 Nov 2019 06:00 206 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 15 Nov 2019 12:00 267 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 15 Nov 2019 18:00 252 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 16 Nov 2019 00:00 226 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 16 Nov 2019 06:00 312 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 16 Nov 2019 12:00 279 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 16 Nov 2019 18:00 240 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 17 Nov 2019 00:00 305 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 17 Nov 2019 06:00 235 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 11 17 Nov 2019 12:00 572 6 thousand
- - - - Mexico




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.4m in San Bruno, Mexico. This height is estimated for 17 Nov 2019 02:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 17 Nov 2019 12:00 UTC (Overall situation)
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
17 Nov 2019 02:15 San Bruno Mexico  0.4
17 Nov 2019 02:15 Loreto Mexico  0.4
17 Nov 2019 23:45 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.3
17 Nov 2019 01:45 Ligui Mexico  0.3
17 Nov 2019 17:15 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.3
17 Nov 2019 20:45 Camahuiroa Mexico  0.3
17 Nov 2019 20:30 Tripui Mexico  0.3
18 Nov 2019 20:30 San Bruno Mexico  0.3
17 Nov 2019 20:45 San Cosme Mexico  0.3
15 Nov 2019 13:00 Primero de Mayo Mexico  0.3
17 Nov 2019 14:00 Rosario Mexico  0.3
16 Nov 2019 23:15 San Juanico Mexico  0.3
16 Nov 2019 23:15 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.3
16 Nov 2019 23:15 Buenaventura Mexico  0.3
17 Nov 2019 00:30 Santa Marta Mexico  0.3
16 Nov 2019 02:15 Boca del Rio Mexico  0.2
16 Nov 2019 02:15 La Playa Colorada Mexico  0.2
18 Nov 2019 14:00 San Blas Mexico  0.2
18 Nov 2019 14:00 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
17 Nov 2019 21:00 Mulege Mexico  0.2
17 Nov 2019 21:00 Los Dolores Mexico  0.2
18 Nov 2019 20:45 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.2
18 Nov 2019 20:45 San Juanico Mexico  0.2
17 Nov 2019 08:15 El Paredoncito Mexico  0.2
17 Nov 2019 08:15 Borabampo Mexico  0.2
17 Nov 2019 02:15 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
17 Nov 2019 02:15 La Ventana Mexico  0.2
16 Nov 2019 19:00 Cuamecate Mexico  0.2
16 Nov 2019 19:00 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
16 Nov 2019 19:00 El Nuevo Mexico  0.2
16 Nov 2019 19:00 La Palmita Mexico  0.2
16 Nov 2019 19:00 Caimanero Mexico  0.2
16 Nov 2019 19:00 Jarilla Mexico  0.2
17 Nov 2019 20:15 Ensenada de los Muertos Mexico  0.2
17 Nov 2019 20:30 Las Bocas Mexico  0.2
18 Nov 2019 21:00 Cachoana Mexico  0.2
15 Nov 2019 13:15 Pueblo Viejo Mexico  0.2
16 Nov 2019 01:00 Las Palmas Mexico  0.2
16 Nov 2019 01:00 La Ribera Mexico  0.2
16 Nov 2019 01:00 Punta Colorada Mexico  0.2
16 Nov 2019 01:00 Punta Arena Mexico  0.2
16 Nov 2019 01:00 Los Tesos Mexico  0.2
18 Nov 2019 06:15 Playa Oceano Pacifico Mexico  0.2
16 Nov 2019 15:15 Novillero Mexico  0.2
16 Nov 2019 15:15 Cuantla Mexico  0.2
17 Nov 2019 00:30 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.2
17 Nov 2019 00:30 El Guatamota Mexico  0.2
17 Nov 2019 07:45 Datilito Mexico  0.2
17 Nov 2019 07:45 La Paz Mexico  0.2
17 Nov 2019 07:45 San Jose Mexico  0.2
17 Nov 2019 07:45 Atanacio Mexico  0.2
15 Nov 2019 13:00 Tampico Alta Mexico  0.2
17 Nov 2019 18:15 Monteon Mexico  0.2
17 Nov 2019 18:15 La Lima Mexico  0.2
18 Nov 2019 20:00 El Aquajito Mexico  0.2
15 Nov 2019 07:15 El Tular Mexico  0.2
15 Nov 2019 07:15 Cabo Rojito Mexico  0.2
17 Nov 2019 23:45 Queretaro Mexico  0.2
17 Nov 2019 23:45 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.2
17 Nov 2019 12:30 Joluta Mexico  0.2
17 Nov 2019 12:30 Lagunillas Mexico  0.2
17 Nov 2019 12:30 Barrio Nuevo Mexico  0.2
18 Nov 2019 14:30 San Juan de la Costa Mexico  0.2
15 Nov 2019 13:00 La Presita Mexico  0.2
15 Nov 2019 19:00 Rancho Nuevo Mexico  0.2
15 Nov 2019 16:45 Salinas Mexico  0.2
15 Nov 2019 16:45 Buen Pais Mexico  0.2
15 Nov 2019 16:45 Alvarado Mexico  0.2
15 Nov 2019 16:45 Conejo Mexico  0.2
18 Nov 2019 14:00 Altata Mexico  0.2
18 Nov 2019 14:00 El Castillo Mexico  0.2
17 Nov 2019 08:15 Los Burros Mexico  0.2
15 Nov 2019 19:00 Los Pericos Mexico  0.2
18 Nov 2019 06:15 Salina Cruz Mexico  0.2
18 Nov 2019 06:15 Lagarto Mexico  0.2
18 Nov 2019 06:15 Costa Rica Mexico  0.2
18 Nov 2019 10:00 Quinones Mexico  0.2
18 Nov 2019 06:00 Puerto Magdalena Mexico  0.2
18 Nov 2019 06:00 San Carlos Mexico  0.2
18 Nov 2019 20:30 San Ignacio Mexico  0.2
17 Nov 2019 04:00 Pesqueria Mexico  0.2
17 Nov 2019 04:00 San Dionisio del Mar Mexico  0.2
17 Nov 2019 04:00 San Francisco del Mar Mexico  0.2
16 Nov 2019 18:45 La Puerta Mexico  0.2
18 Nov 2019 20:15 Tambobiche Mexico  0.2
17 Nov 2019 13:45 Punta Mita Mexico  0.2
17 Nov 2019 13:45 San Francisco Mexico  0.2
17 Nov 2019 13:45 Cruz de Juanacaxtle Mexico  0.2
17 Nov 2019 12:30 Zihuatanejo Mexico  0.2
15 Nov 2019 18:45 Rancho de Piedra Mexico  0.2
17 Nov 2019 15:15 Madero Amarillo Mexico  0.2
16 Nov 2019 19:00 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.2
17 Nov 2019 15:30 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.2
15 Nov 2019 22:45 Veracruz Mexico  0.2
15 Nov 2019 22:45 Anton Lizardo Mexico  0.2
18 Nov 2019 04:45 Estero la Bocana Mexico  0.2
18 Nov 2019 14:00 Marmol Mexico  0.2
18 Nov 2019 14:00 Florida Mexico  0.2
15 Nov 2019 06:45 La Mata Mexico  0.2
15 Nov 2019 06:45 Agua Dulce Mexico  0.2
17 Nov 2019 17:15 La Florida Mexico  0.2
17 Nov 2019 17:15 Adolfo Lopez Mateos Mexico  0.2
16 Nov 2019 14:30 Perihuete Mexico  0.2
17 Nov 2019 22:15 El Tomale Mexico  0.2
17 Nov 2019 22:15 Agua Fresca Mexico  0.2
17 Nov 2019 22:15 Cunano Mexico  0.2
15 Nov 2019 01:30 La Guadalupe Mexico  0.2
15 Nov 2019 01:30 Monte Gordo Mexico  0.2
15 Nov 2019 01:30 Nautla Mexico  0.2
18 Nov 2019 03:00 Los Inocentes Mexico  0.2
17 Nov 2019 08:00 Topolobampo Mexico  0.2
16 Nov 2019 00:00 Las Guayabas Mexico  0.1
16 Nov 2019 00:00 San Jose de los Leones Mexico  0.1
19 Nov 2019 00:00 Bahia Asuncion Mexico  0.1
15 Nov 2019 02:00 Tamiahua Mexico  0.1
15 Nov 2019 02:00 Laja Mexico  0.1
18 Nov 2019 10:00 Rancho Datilari Mexico  0.1
17 Nov 2019 09:00 La Fortuna Mexico  0.1
17 Nov 2019 09:00 El Cardoncito Mexico  0.1
16 Nov 2019 19:00 Barron Mexico  0.1
17 Nov 2019 13:45 Chula Mexico  0.1
17 Nov 2019 13:45 Las Pinas Mexico  0.1
15 Nov 2019 04:45 Yarborough United States  0.1
17 Nov 2019 14:15 Toro Mocho Mexico  0.1
16 Nov 2019 14:45 Dimas Mexico  0.1
15 Nov 2019 16:00 Ursulo Galvan Mexico  0.1
17 Nov 2019 14:15 Playa Azul Mexico  0.1
17 Nov 2019 13:45 Calla de Campos Mexico  0.1
17 Nov 2019 18:30 Chola Mexico  0.1
17 Nov 2019 22:30 Melchor Ocampo Mexico  0.1
16 Nov 2019 00:45 La Pesca Mexico  0.1
17 Nov 2019 19:15 Rancho Conejo Mexico  0.1
15 Nov 2019 01:45 Salmoral Mexico  0.1
15 Nov 2019 19:00 Tepeguahe Mexico  0.1
19 Nov 2019 06:00 Majada Villalobos Mexico  0.1
18 Nov 2019 14:00 Las Arenitas Mexico  0.1
17 Nov 2019 07:30 La Boca Mexico  0.1
18 Nov 2019 18:30 Mirador Mexico  0.1
18 Nov 2019 18:30 Ayutla Mexico  0.1
16 Nov 2019 06:00 Chamela Mexico  0.1
18 Nov 2019 14:15 Mazatlan Mexico  0.1
17 Nov 2019 07:45 Pizota Mexico  0.1
16 Nov 2019 00:15 La Trinadad Mexico  0.1
17 Nov 2019 12:30 Calvario Mexico  0.1
17 Nov 2019 12:30 Coyuquillas Mexico  0.1
19 Nov 2019 23:15 Garrapateras Mexico  0.1
17 Nov 2019 11:00 Tierra Colorada Mexico  0.1
15 Nov 2019 02:15 El Laurel Mexico  0.1
15 Nov 2019 04:45 Buena Vista United States  0.1
17 Nov 2019 22:00 Todos Santos Mexico  0.1
15 Nov 2019 06:15 Copala Mexico  0.1
15 Nov 2019 06:15 Marquelia Mexico  0.1
15 Nov 2019 01:45 Tecolutla Mexico  0.1
17 Nov 2019 14:30 Chupadero Mexico  0.1
17 Nov 2019 14:30 Apisa Mexico  0.1
17 Nov 2019 14:30 Cayaca Mexico  0.1
17 Nov 2019 14:30 San Telmo Mexico  0.1
17 Nov 2019 12:30 El Papayo Mexico  0.1
16 Nov 2019 18:30 Puerto Vallarta Mexico  0.1
20 Nov 2019 02:45 Los Frailes Mexico  0.1
15 Nov 2019 07:45 Montepio Mexico  0.1
15 Nov 2019 06:15 Mauricio Gutierrez Mexico  0.1