Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for MARIO-19
in Mexico,
19 Sep 2019 06 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone MARIO-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries Mexico
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 97 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.5 m (19 Sep 07:30 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 97 km/h 0.5 m 237 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 58 km/h 0.0 m 66 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

58 km/h

Up to 40 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 19 Sep 2019 06:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormMexico43,342 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 17 Sep 2019 12:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 17 Sep 2019 18:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 18 Sep 2019 00:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 18 Sep 2019 06:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 18 Sep 2019 12:00 137 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 18 Sep 2019 18:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 19 Sep 2019 00:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 19 Sep 2019 06:00 112 -
- - - - - Mexico
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 19 Sep 2019 06:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmMexico9,460 
50-100 mmMexico111,686 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 17 Sep 2019 12:00 447 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 17 Sep 2019 18:00 272 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 18 Sep 2019 00:00 326 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 18 Sep 2019 06:00 144 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 18 Sep 2019 12:00 306 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 18 Sep 2019 18:00 395 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 19 Sep 2019 00:00 213 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 19 Sep 2019 06:00 642 9 thousand
- - - - Mexico




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

0.5 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.5m in Agua del Coyote, Mexico. This height is estimated for 19 Sep 2019 07:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 19 Sep 2019 06:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
19 Sep 2019 07:30 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.5
19 Sep 2019 07:30 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.5
19 Sep 2019 07:45 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.4
19 Sep 2019 10:30 Queretaro Mexico  0.3
19 Sep 2019 07:15 Adolfo Lopez Mateos Mexico  0.3
19 Sep 2019 10:45 La Florida Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 11:45 Aquiles Serdan Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 11:45 Ipala Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 07:15 San Juan de la Costa Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 07:00 La Playa Colorada Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 07:15 Boca del Rio Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 06:00 La Fortuna Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 06:00 El Cardoncito Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 06:00 Los Frailes Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 06:45 La Manzanilla Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 06:45 Barra de Navidad Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 08:15 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 08:15 La Ventana Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 08:15 Ensenada de los Muertos Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 07:15 Novillero Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 07:15 Cuamecate Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 07:15 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 09:30 San Blas Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 09:30 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 06:30 Cuitzmala Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 06:30 Cachoana Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 07:00 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 08:15 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 06:30 Rosario Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 06:15 Altata Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 07:00 Datilito Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 07:00 La Paz Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 07:00 Cuantla Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 06:45 Topolobampo Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 07:00 Chamela Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 08:00 Chola Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 07:15 Caimanero Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 07:15 Jarilla Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 07:15 La Puerta Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 07:15 El Nuevo Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 11:30 Madero Amarillo Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 11:30 El Guatamota Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 12:00 Las Arenitas Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 12:00 La Boca Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 11:15 Corrales Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 12:00 Perihuete Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 06:15 San Francisco Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 06:15 Monteon Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 06:15 La Lima Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 06:30 Punta Mita Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 06:30 Cruz de Juanacaxtle Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 07:30 Loreto Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 07:30 San Carlos Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 12:00 Quinones Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 11:45 La Palmita Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 06:45 Toro Mocho Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 11:45 Marmol Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 11:45 Florida Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 06:00 Tripui Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 06:00 San Cosme Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 06:30 Estrecho Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 06:30 Santiago Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 06:30 Manzanillo Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 06:15 El Tomale Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 06:15 Agua Fresca Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 06:15 Cunano Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 11:00 Puerto Magdalena Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 08:00 La Ribera Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 08:00 Punta Colorada Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 08:00 Punta Arena Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 08:00 Los Tesos Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 11:30 La Trinadad Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 11:30 Las Palmas Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 08:30 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 06:45 Mazatlan Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 06:45 Puerto Vallarta Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 06:00 El Castillo Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 06:30 El Aquajito Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 10:30 Ligui Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 06:30 Barron Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 11:45 Los Inocentes Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 06:30 El Ciruelo Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 06:30 Cuyutlan Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 06:30 El Real Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 06:15 El Tule Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 06:15 San Jose del Cabo Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 07:30 Santa Marta Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 08:30 Rancho Datilari Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 08:30 Rancho Conejo Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 07:00 Dimas Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 06:30 Lagunillas Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 06:30 Barrio Nuevo Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 06:30 Zihuatanejo Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 06:45 Tambobiche Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 06:45 Pizota Mexico  0.1
19 Sep 2019 06:45 Chupadero Mexico  0.1