Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for MARIO-19
in Mexico,
18 Sep 2019 12 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone MARIO-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 137 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (18 Sep 15:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 137 km/h 0.2 m 306 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 58 km/h 0.0 m 66 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 18 Sep 2019 12:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 17 Sep 2019 12:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 17 Sep 2019 18:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 18 Sep 2019 00:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 18 Sep 2019 06:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 18 Sep 2019 12:00 162 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall

66 mm

No people can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)





Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 18 Sep 2019 12:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 17 Sep 2019 12:00 447 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 17 Sep 2019 18:00 272 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 18 Sep 2019 00:00 326 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 18 Sep 2019 06:00 144 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 18 Sep 2019 12:00 1222 - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in San Blas, Mexico. This height is estimated for 18 Sep 2019 15:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 18 Sep 2019 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
18 Sep 2019 15:00 San Blas Mexico  0.2
18 Sep 2019 15:00 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
18 Sep 2019 16:15 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.2
18 Sep 2019 16:30 Datilito Mexico  0.2
18 Sep 2019 16:30 La Paz Mexico  0.2
18 Sep 2019 16:30 Rosario Mexico  0.2
18 Sep 2019 17:15 La Fortuna Mexico  0.2
18 Sep 2019 17:15 El Cardoncito Mexico  0.2
18 Sep 2019 16:30 La Ventana Mexico  0.1
18 Sep 2019 16:30 Ensenada de los Muertos Mexico  0.1
18 Sep 2019 13:45 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.1
18 Sep 2019 17:15 Tripui Mexico  0.1
18 Sep 2019 17:15 San Cosme Mexico  0.1
18 Sep 2019 15:00 San Carlos Mexico  0.1
18 Sep 2019 15:00 Madero Amarillo Mexico  0.1
18 Sep 2019 15:00 El Guatamota Mexico  0.1
18 Sep 2019 17:45 La Florida Mexico  0.1
18 Sep 2019 18:00 Topolobampo Mexico  0.1
18 Sep 2019 18:00 Cachoana Mexico  0.1
18 Sep 2019 16:00 San Juan de la Costa Mexico  0.1
18 Sep 2019 16:00 Boca del Rio Mexico  0.1
18 Sep 2019 15:30 Novillero Mexico  0.1
18 Sep 2019 18:00 Puerto Magdalena Mexico  0.1
18 Sep 2019 17:30 Quinones Mexico  0.1
18 Sep 2019 13:00 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
18 Sep 2019 17:00 Las Palmas Mexico  0.1
18 Sep 2019 17:00 La Ribera Mexico  0.1
18 Sep 2019 17:00 Punta Colorada Mexico  0.1
18 Sep 2019 17:00 Punta Arena Mexico  0.1
18 Sep 2019 16:00 Loreto Mexico  0.1
18 Sep 2019 16:15 Ligui Mexico  0.1
18 Sep 2019 16:15 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.1
18 Sep 2019 17:30 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.1
18 Sep 2019 16:15 Santa Marta Mexico  0.1
18 Sep 2019 12:00 Los Tesos Mexico  0.1
18 Sep 2019 12:00 La Palmita Mexico  0.1
18 Sep 2019 12:00 Caimanero Mexico  0.1
18 Sep 2019 12:00 Jarilla Mexico  0.1
18 Sep 2019 17:30 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.1
18 Sep 2019 17:45 Rancho Datilari Mexico  0.1
18 Sep 2019 17:15 Agua Fresca Mexico  0.1
18 Sep 2019 17:15 Cunano Mexico  0.1
18 Sep 2019 17:15 Los Inocentes Mexico  0.1
18 Sep 2019 15:45 Adolfo Lopez Mateos Mexico  0.1
18 Sep 2019 15:45 Queretaro Mexico  0.1
18 Sep 2019 15:15 Las Arenitas Mexico  0.1
18 Sep 2019 15:15 La Boca Mexico  0.1
18 Sep 2019 12:15 El Nuevo Mexico  0.1
18 Sep 2019 15:30 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.1
18 Sep 2019 17:15 El Tomale Mexico  0.1
18 Sep 2019 17:45 Los Frailes Mexico  0.1
18 Sep 2019 15:30 La Lima Mexico  0.1
18 Sep 2019 16:30 El Aquajito Mexico  0.1
18 Sep 2019 12:00 Rancho Conejo Mexico  0.1
18 Sep 2019 15:30 Cuantla Mexico  0.1
18 Sep 2019 12:45 Barrio Nuevo Mexico  0.1
18 Sep 2019 12:45 Zihuatanejo Mexico  0.1