Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for MARIO-19
in Mexico,
21 Sep 2019 00 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone MARIO-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 104 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.4 m (21 Sep 04:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 104 km/h 0.4 m 101 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 58 km/h 0.0 m 66 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

58 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 21 Sep 2019 00:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 17 Sep 2019 12:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 17 Sep 2019 18:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 18 Sep 2019 00:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 18 Sep 2019 06:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 18 Sep 2019 12:00 137 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 18 Sep 2019 18:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 19 Sep 2019 00:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 19 Sep 2019 06:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 19 Sep 2019 12:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 19 Sep 2019 18:00 108 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 20 Sep 2019 00:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 20 Sep 2019 06:00 115 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 20 Sep 2019 12:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 20 Sep 2019 18:00 115 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 21 Sep 2019 00:00 104 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 21 Sep 2019 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
50-100 mmMexico98 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 17 Sep 2019 12:00 447 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 17 Sep 2019 18:00 272 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 18 Sep 2019 00:00 326 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 18 Sep 2019 06:00 144 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 18 Sep 2019 12:00 306 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 18 Sep 2019 18:00 395 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 19 Sep 2019 00:00 213 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 19 Sep 2019 06:00 237 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 19 Sep 2019 12:00 178 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 19 Sep 2019 18:00 414 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 20 Sep 2019 00:00 195 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 20 Sep 2019 06:00 409 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 20 Sep 2019 12:00 293 - - - - - - -
Blue 14 20 Sep 2019 18:00 322 - - - - - - -
Blue 15 21 Sep 2019 00:00 194 -
- - - - - Mexico




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.4m in Agua del Coyote, Mexico. This height is estimated for 21 Sep 2019 04:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 21 Sep 2019 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
21 Sep 2019 04:00 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.4
21 Sep 2019 04:15 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.3
21 Sep 2019 01:15 La Ribera Mexico  0.3
21 Sep 2019 01:15 Punta Colorada Mexico  0.3
21 Sep 2019 01:15 Punta Arena Mexico  0.3
21 Sep 2019 01:15 Los Tesos Mexico  0.3
21 Sep 2019 04:00 Novillero Mexico  0.3
21 Sep 2019 04:00 Cuantla Mexico  0.3
21 Sep 2019 04:15 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.3
21 Sep 2019 04:15 La Ventana Mexico  0.3
21 Sep 2019 04:15 Ensenada de los Muertos Mexico  0.3
21 Sep 2019 04:00 Cuamecate Mexico  0.3
21 Sep 2019 04:00 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.3
21 Sep 2019 04:00 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.3
21 Sep 2019 04:30 San Juan de la Costa Mexico  0.3
21 Sep 2019 03:45 Queretaro Mexico  0.3
21 Sep 2019 02:30 La Fortuna Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2019 02:30 El Cardoncito Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2019 03:30 Los Inocentes Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2019 02:15 Datilito Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2019 02:15 La Paz Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2019 02:15 Rosario Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2019 03:00 San Francisco Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2019 03:00 Monteon Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2019 03:00 La Lima Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2019 01:45 La Trinadad Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2019 01:45 Las Palmas Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2019 03:15 El Tomale Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2019 03:15 Agua Fresca Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2019 03:15 Cunano Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2019 03:45 Los Frailes Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2019 05:45 Todos Santos Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2019 04:15 Adolfo Lopez Mateos Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2019 04:15 Jarilla Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2019 04:15 La Puerta Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2019 04:15 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2019 03:00 Madero Amarillo Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2019 03:00 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2019 03:00 El Guatamota Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2019 04:00 El Nuevo Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2019 02:00 Los Burros Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2019 02:30 San Cosme Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2019 02:30 Santa Marta Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2019 01:15 Tambobiche Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2019 03:45 Quinones Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2019 03:00 Puerto Magdalena Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2019 04:00 Rancho Datilari Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2019 04:00 Rancho Conejo Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2019 02:45 Perihuete Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2019 03:00 Punta Mita Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2019 03:00 Cruz de Juanacaxtle Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2019 03:00 Puerto Vallarta Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2019 04:15 El Castillo Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2019 04:15 Las Arenitas Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2019 03:45 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2019 04:15 Tripui Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2019 04:00 La Florida Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2019 01:45 Loreto Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2019 02:30 La Boca Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2019 03:15 Cachoana Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2019 04:00 La Palmita Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2019 04:00 Caimanero Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2019 03:00 Altata Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2019 01:45 Ligui Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2019 03:15 Marmol Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2019 03:15 Florida Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2019 03:30 San Blas Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2019 02:45 Dimas Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2019 03:30 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2019 03:00 Topolobampo Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2019 02:15 Chola Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2019 04:00 San Carlos Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2019 02:15 Cuitzmala Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2019 02:15 La Manzanilla Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2019 02:15 Barra de Navidad Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2019 05:45 El Pescadero Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2019 04:00 El Aquajito Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2019 03:15 Toro Mocho Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2019 01:45 Boca del Rio Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2019 02:45 El Tule Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2019 02:45 San Jose del Cabo Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2019 04:15 Mazatlan Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2019 04:15 Barron Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2019 04:15 La Playa Colorada Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2019 03:45 La Tinaja Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2019 03:45 Pozo de Cota Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2019 03:15 San Lucas Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2019 03:00 Aquiles Serdan Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2019 03:00 Ipala Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2019 04:45 Barrio Nuevo Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2019 04:45 Zihuatanejo Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2019 05:00 Chula Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2019 05:00 Las Pinas Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2019 05:00 Playa Azul Mexico  0.1