Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for MARIO-19
in Mexico,
20 Sep 2019 18 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone MARIO-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 115 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (20 Sep 20:15 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 115 km/h 0.3 m 322 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 58 km/h 0.0 m 66 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

58 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 20 Sep 2019 18:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 17 Sep 2019 12:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 17 Sep 2019 18:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 18 Sep 2019 00:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 18 Sep 2019 06:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 18 Sep 2019 12:00 137 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 18 Sep 2019 18:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 19 Sep 2019 00:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 19 Sep 2019 06:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 19 Sep 2019 12:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 19 Sep 2019 18:00 108 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 20 Sep 2019 00:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 20 Sep 2019 06:00 115 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 20 Sep 2019 12:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 20 Sep 2019 18:00 119 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 20 Sep 2019 18:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 17 Sep 2019 12:00 447 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 17 Sep 2019 18:00 272 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 18 Sep 2019 00:00 326 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 18 Sep 2019 06:00 144 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 18 Sep 2019 12:00 306 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 18 Sep 2019 18:00 395 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 19 Sep 2019 00:00 213 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 19 Sep 2019 06:00 237 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 19 Sep 2019 12:00 178 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 19 Sep 2019 18:00 414 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 20 Sep 2019 00:00 195 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 20 Sep 2019 06:00 409 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 20 Sep 2019 12:00 293 - - - - - - -
Blue 14 20 Sep 2019 18:00 624 - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in La Ribera, Mexico. This height is estimated for 20 Sep 2019 20:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 20 Sep 2019 18:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
20 Sep 2019 20:15 La Ribera Mexico  0.3
20 Sep 2019 20:15 Punta Colorada Mexico  0.3
20 Sep 2019 20:15 Punta Arena Mexico  0.3
20 Sep 2019 20:15 Los Tesos Mexico  0.3
20 Sep 2019 19:30 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.3
20 Sep 2019 19:30 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.3
20 Sep 2019 21:15 Las Palmas Mexico  0.3
20 Sep 2019 18:30 La Fortuna Mexico  0.3
20 Sep 2019 18:30 El Cardoncito Mexico  0.3
20 Sep 2019 19:45 La Ventana Mexico  0.3
20 Sep 2019 19:45 Ensenada de los Muertos Mexico  0.3
20 Sep 2019 22:00 Datilito Mexico  0.3
20 Sep 2019 22:00 La Paz Mexico  0.3
20 Sep 2019 22:00 Rosario Mexico  0.3
20 Sep 2019 21:15 La Trinadad Mexico  0.3
20 Sep 2019 20:00 Los Frailes Mexico  0.2
20 Sep 2019 22:15 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
20 Sep 2019 19:45 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.2
20 Sep 2019 20:45 San Carlos Mexico  0.2
20 Sep 2019 20:45 Madero Amarillo Mexico  0.2
20 Sep 2019 20:45 El Guatamota Mexico  0.2
20 Sep 2019 19:30 El Castillo Mexico  0.2
20 Sep 2019 19:30 Las Arenitas Mexico  0.2
20 Sep 2019 19:45 San Juan de la Costa Mexico  0.2
20 Sep 2019 19:30 Novillero Mexico  0.2
20 Sep 2019 19:30 Cuantla Mexico  0.2
20 Sep 2019 20:00 Rancho Datilari Mexico  0.2
20 Sep 2019 19:00 Cuamecate Mexico  0.2
20 Sep 2019 19:00 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
20 Sep 2019 19:00 El Nuevo Mexico  0.2
20 Sep 2019 19:30 Loreto Mexico  0.2
20 Sep 2019 21:45 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.2
20 Sep 2019 21:15 Todos Santos Mexico  0.2
20 Sep 2019 21:15 El Pescadero Mexico  0.2
20 Sep 2019 19:15 Ligui Mexico  0.2
20 Sep 2019 19:15 Tripui Mexico  0.2
20 Sep 2019 21:30 San Blas Mexico  0.2
20 Sep 2019 21:30 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
20 Sep 2019 20:00 Quinones Mexico  0.2
20 Sep 2019 23:45 El Tomale Mexico  0.2
20 Sep 2019 23:45 Agua Fresca Mexico  0.2
20 Sep 2019 23:45 Cunano Mexico  0.2
20 Sep 2019 19:30 San Cosme Mexico  0.2
20 Sep 2019 20:15 Los Inocentes Mexico  0.2
20 Sep 2019 21:00 Perihuete Mexico  0.2
20 Sep 2019 19:45 La Florida Mexico  0.2
20 Sep 2019 19:45 Adolfo Lopez Mateos Mexico  0.2
20 Sep 2019 19:30 Queretaro Mexico  0.2
20 Sep 2019 20:15 El Tule Mexico  0.2
20 Sep 2019 20:15 San Jose del Cabo Mexico  0.2
20 Sep 2019 20:00 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.2
20 Sep 2019 20:00 Cachoana Mexico  0.2
20 Sep 2019 19:30 Santa Marta Mexico  0.2
20 Sep 2019 19:30 La Puerta Mexico  0.2
20 Sep 2019 19:30 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.2
20 Sep 2019 23:45 Rancho Conejo Mexico  0.2
20 Sep 2019 19:00 Tambobiche Mexico  0.2
20 Sep 2019 21:30 La Tinaja Mexico  0.2
20 Sep 2019 19:45 Topolobampo Mexico  0.2
20 Sep 2019 20:30 La Boca Mexico  0.2
20 Sep 2019 20:45 Pozo de Cota Mexico  0.2
20 Sep 2019 20:45 Dimas Mexico  0.2
20 Sep 2019 19:15 Boca del Rio Mexico  0.2
20 Sep 2019 18:45 Los Burros Mexico  0.2
20 Sep 2019 19:15 La Playa Colorada Mexico  0.2
20 Sep 2019 19:30 Jarilla Mexico  0.2
20 Sep 2019 19:00 El Aquajito Mexico  0.2
20 Sep 2019 20:30 La Palmita Mexico  0.2
20 Sep 2019 20:30 Caimanero Mexico  0.2
20 Sep 2019 20:15 Puerto Magdalena Mexico  0.2
20 Sep 2019 20:30 Marmol Mexico  0.2
20 Sep 2019 20:30 Florida Mexico  0.2
20 Sep 2019 20:30 Mazatlan Mexico  0.2
20 Sep 2019 20:15 San Lucas Mexico  0.2
20 Sep 2019 20:45 Punta Mita Mexico  0.2
20 Sep 2019 20:45 Cruz de Juanacaxtle Mexico  0.2
20 Sep 2019 20:15 Las Pinas Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2019 20:15 Playa Azul Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2019 20:30 San Francisco Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2019 20:30 Monteon Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2019 20:30 La Lima Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2019 21:00 Toro Mocho Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2019 20:45 Pizota Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2019 20:45 Puerto Vallarta Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2019 18:45 Altata Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2019 20:30 Barron Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2019 19:30 Melchor Ocampo Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2019 19:30 Joluta Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2019 18:15 Ipala Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2019 19:15 Chola Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2019 19:30 Las Trojitas Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2019 19:30 Calla de Campos Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2019 18:45 Lagunillas Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2019 18:45 Barrio Nuevo Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2019 19:30 Zihuatanejo Mexico  0.1