Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for KIKO-19
Off-shore
17 Sep 2019 00 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone KIKO-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 140 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.6 m (17 Sep 07:15 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 140 km/h 0.6 m 254 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 162 km/h 2.5 m 975 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 17 Sep 2019 00:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 12 Sep 2019 12:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 12 Sep 2019 18:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 13 Sep 2019 00:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 13 Sep 2019 06:00 90 -
- - - - - Mexico
GREEN 5 13 Sep 2019 12:00 86 -
- - - - - Mexico
GREEN 6 13 Sep 2019 18:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 14 Sep 2019 00:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 14 Sep 2019 06:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 14 Sep 2019 12:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 14 Sep 2019 18:00 119 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 15 Sep 2019 00:00 176 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 15 Sep 2019 06:00 202 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 15 Sep 2019 12:00 209 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 15 Sep 2019 18:00 212 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 16 Sep 2019 00:00 212 - - - - - - -
GREEN 16 16 Sep 2019 06:00 184 - - - - - - -
GREEN 17 16 Sep 2019 12:00 173 - - - - - - -
GREEN 18 16 Sep 2019 18:00 151 - - - - - - -
GREEN 19 17 Sep 2019 00:00 169 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall

975 mm

No people can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)





Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 17 Sep 2019 00:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 12 Sep 2019 12:00 201 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 12 Sep 2019 18:00 292 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 13 Sep 2019 00:00 193 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 13 Sep 2019 06:00 153 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 13 Sep 2019 12:00 137 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 13 Sep 2019 18:00 104 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 14 Sep 2019 00:00 88 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 14 Sep 2019 06:00 189 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 14 Sep 2019 12:00 91 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 14 Sep 2019 18:00 110 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 15 Sep 2019 00:00 161 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 15 Sep 2019 06:00 341 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 15 Sep 2019 12:00 394 - - - - - - -
Blue 14 15 Sep 2019 18:00 379 - - - - - - -
Blue 15 16 Sep 2019 00:00 503 - - - - - - -
Blue 16 16 Sep 2019 06:00 346 - - - - - - -
Blue 17 16 Sep 2019 12:00 361 - - - - - - -
Blue 18 16 Sep 2019 18:00 332 - - - - - - -
Blue 19 17 Sep 2019 00:00 705 - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

0.6 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.6m in Agua del Coyote, Mexico. This height is estimated for 17 Sep 2019 07:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 17 Sep 2019 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
17 Sep 2019 07:15 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.6
17 Sep 2019 07:15 San Juanico Mexico  0.6
17 Sep 2019 07:15 Buenaventura Mexico  0.6
17 Sep 2019 01:15 Estero la Bocana Mexico  0.5
17 Sep 2019 07:15 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.5
17 Sep 2019 02:00 La Florida Mexico  0.5
17 Sep 2019 02:00 Adolfo Lopez Mateos Mexico  0.5
17 Sep 2019 01:30 San Blas Mexico  0.5
17 Sep 2019 01:30 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.5
17 Sep 2019 07:00 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.5
18 Sep 2019 08:00 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.5
19 Sep 2019 17:15 San Carlos Mexico  0.5
19 Sep 2019 17:15 Madero Amarillo Mexico  0.5
19 Sep 2019 17:15 El Guatamota Mexico  0.5
17 Sep 2019 02:00 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.4
17 Sep 2019 13:30 Puerto Magdalena Mexico  0.4
17 Sep 2019 08:45 Novillero Mexico  0.4
17 Sep 2019 08:45 Cuantla Mexico  0.4
19 Sep 2019 10:00 Punta Mita Mexico  0.4
19 Sep 2019 10:00 San Francisco Mexico  0.4
19 Sep 2019 10:00 Monteon Mexico  0.4
17 Sep 2019 02:15 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.4
17 Sep 2019 02:00 Quinones Mexico  0.4
17 Sep 2019 08:15 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.4
18 Sep 2019 01:15 Cruz de Juanacaxtle Mexico  0.4
17 Sep 2019 01:00 La Lima Mexico  0.4
18 Sep 2019 01:30 Queretaro Mexico  0.4
17 Sep 2019 02:15 Playa Oceano Pacifico Mexico  0.4
17 Sep 2019 20:30 La Puerta Mexico  0.4
17 Sep 2019 01:15 El Real Mexico  0.4
17 Sep 2019 01:15 Chupadero Mexico  0.4
17 Sep 2019 05:15 Cuamecate Mexico  0.4
17 Sep 2019 05:15 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.4
17 Sep 2019 05:15 El Nuevo Mexico  0.4
17 Sep 2019 10:45 Cuyutlan Mexico  0.4
18 Sep 2019 08:15 La Fortuna Mexico  0.4
18 Sep 2019 08:15 El Cardoncito Mexico  0.4
18 Sep 2019 08:15 Los Frailes Mexico  0.4
17 Sep 2019 01:15 Toro Mocho Mexico  0.4
17 Sep 2019 01:45 Rancho Conejo Mexico  0.4
17 Sep 2019 01:45 El Tomale Mexico  0.4
17 Sep 2019 01:45 Agua Fresca Mexico  0.4
17 Sep 2019 04:30 Ensenada de los Muertos Mexico  0.4
17 Sep 2019 04:30 La Trinadad Mexico  0.4
18 Sep 2019 08:00 Punta Colorada Mexico  0.4
18 Sep 2019 08:00 Punta Arena Mexico  0.4
18 Sep 2019 08:00 Los Tesos Mexico  0.4
17 Sep 2019 06:00 Rancho Datilari Mexico  0.4
19 Sep 2019 08:00 Los Inocentes Mexico  0.3
17 Sep 2019 05:00 Chola Mexico  0.3
18 Sep 2019 12:00 Cunano Mexico  0.3
17 Sep 2019 05:00 Jarilla Mexico  0.3
18 Sep 2019 08:30 Camahuiroa Mexico  0.3
18 Sep 2019 09:45 San Jose Mexico  0.3
18 Sep 2019 09:45 Atanacio Mexico  0.3
18 Sep 2019 09:45 El Paredoncito Mexico  0.3
17 Sep 2019 00:30 La Palmita Mexico  0.3
17 Sep 2019 00:30 Caimanero Mexico  0.3
17 Sep 2019 18:45 Bahia Asuncion Mexico  0.3
18 Sep 2019 21:15 La Boca Mexico  0.3
17 Sep 2019 01:00 El Ciruelo Mexico  0.3
19 Sep 2019 17:45 Marmol Mexico  0.3
19 Sep 2019 17:45 Florida Mexico  0.3
18 Sep 2019 17:30 Pizota Mexico  0.3
18 Sep 2019 09:30 Los Burros Mexico  0.3
17 Sep 2019 17:45 Mazatlan Mexico  0.3
18 Sep 2019 07:15 Dimas Mexico  0.3
18 Sep 2019 09:45 Mulege Mexico  0.3
18 Sep 2019 09:45 Los Dolores Mexico  0.3
18 Sep 2019 09:30 Borabampo Mexico  0.3
19 Sep 2019 04:00 San Bruno Mexico  0.3
18 Sep 2019 09:00 San Juanico Mexico  0.3
18 Sep 2019 09:00 San Bruno Mexico  0.3
18 Sep 2019 09:15 Loreto Mexico  0.3
18 Sep 2019 09:15 Ligui Mexico  0.3
18 Sep 2019 09:15 Las Bocas Mexico  0.3
19 Sep 2019 04:00 Rosario Mexico  0.3
19 Sep 2019 04:00 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.3
19 Sep 2019 04:00 San Juan de la Costa Mexico  0.3
19 Sep 2019 04:00 Datilito Mexico  0.3
17 Sep 2019 17:15 Las Arenitas Mexico  0.3
18 Sep 2019 09:30 El Aquajito Mexico  0.3
18 Sep 2019 07:45 Altata Mexico  0.3
17 Sep 2019 05:15 Tambobiche Mexico  0.3
17 Sep 2019 13:15 Bahia de Tortugas Mexico  0.3
18 Sep 2019 00:00 Perihuete Mexico  0.3
18 Sep 2019 09:30 San Ignacio Mexico  0.3
18 Sep 2019 09:30 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.3
18 Sep 2019 01:00 El Castillo Mexico  0.3
19 Sep 2019 03:15 San Cosme Mexico  0.3
17 Sep 2019 07:00 Estrecho Mexico  0.3
17 Sep 2019 07:00 Santiago Mexico  0.3
17 Sep 2019 07:00 Manzanillo Mexico  0.3
17 Sep 2019 05:30 Tripui Mexico  0.3
19 Sep 2019 03:30 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.3
19 Sep 2019 13:45 Aquiles Serdan Mexico  0.3
19 Sep 2019 13:45 Ipala Mexico  0.3
18 Sep 2019 07:00 Barron Mexico  0.3
18 Sep 2019 21:30 Las Palmas Mexico  0.3
18 Sep 2019 21:30 La Ribera Mexico  0.3
17 Sep 2019 03:30 Santa Marta Mexico  0.3
18 Sep 2019 08:00 La Playa Colorada Mexico  0.3
18 Sep 2019 08:15 Boca del Rio Mexico  0.3
17 Sep 2019 22:45 La Paz Mexico  0.2
18 Sep 2019 09:45 Liliba Mexico  0.2
18 Sep 2019 07:30 Barra de Navidad Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 19:45 Cachoana Mexico  0.2
17 Sep 2019 07:15 Corrales Mexico  0.2
17 Sep 2019 15:45 Puerto Vallarta Mexico  0.2
17 Sep 2019 04:45 La Ventana Mexico  0.2
17 Sep 2019 19:15 Todos Santos Mexico  0.2
17 Sep 2019 19:15 El Pescadero Mexico  0.2
17 Sep 2019 07:00 La Manzanilla Mexico  0.2
17 Sep 2019 13:45 Cuitzmala Mexico  0.2
18 Sep 2019 06:45 San Jose del Cabo Mexico  0.2
17 Sep 2019 12:45 Chamela Mexico  0.2
18 Sep 2019 08:45 Topolobampo Mexico  0.2
18 Sep 2019 19:30 La Tinaja Mexico  0.2
18 Sep 2019 06:45 El Tule Mexico  0.2
18 Sep 2019 07:30 Pozo de Cota Mexico  0.2
19 Sep 2019 04:45 San Lucas Mexico  0.1