Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for JULIETTE-19
Off-shore
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone JULIETTE-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries Mexico
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 97 km/h
Maximum storm surge 4.7 m (04 Sep 12:00 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 97 km/h 4.7 m 839 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 97 km/h 4.7 m 839 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

97 km/h

Up to Few people can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 01 Sep 2019 12:00 UTC (Overall situation)
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormMexico227 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 31 Aug 2019 12:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 01 Sep 2019 00:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 01 Sep 2019 12:00 97 -
- - - - - Mexico
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 01 Sep 2019 12:00 UTC (Overall situation)
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmMexico4,299 
50-100 mmMexico98,283 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 31 Aug 2019 12:00 220 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 01 Sep 2019 00:00 243 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 01 Sep 2019 12:00 830 Few people
- - - - Mexico




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

4.7 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  4.7m in La Fortuna, Mexico. This height is estimated for 04 Sep 2019 12:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 01 Sep 2019 12:00 UTC (Overall situation)
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
04 Sep 2019 12:00 La Fortuna Mexico  4.7
04 Sep 2019 12:00 El Cardoncito Mexico  4.7
04 Sep 2019 12:00 Los Frailes Mexico  4.7
04 Sep 2019 12:00 Tambobiche Mexico  4.2
04 Sep 2019 12:00 San Juan de la Costa Mexico  3.3
03 Sep 2019 19:45 Cabo Tepoca Mexico  0.4
03 Sep 2019 19:30 Tecomate Mexico  0.4
03 Sep 2019 19:15 Molino Lacy Mexico  0.4
03 Sep 2019 19:30 Puerto Libertad Mexico  0.3
03 Sep 2019 19:30 El Desemboque Mexico  0.3
03 Sep 2019 19:45 Agua de las Flores Mexico  0.3
02 Sep 2019 22:15 El Barril Mexico  0.2
31 Aug 2019 19:45 Puerto Venustiano Carranza Mexico  0.2
02 Sep 2019 22:45 Bahia Kino Mexico  0.2
03 Sep 2019 08:45 San Rafael Mexico  0.2
01 Sep 2019 00:45 Bahia de Tortugas Mexico  0.2
31 Aug 2019 19:30 Desembarcadero de Miller Mexico  0.2
01 Sep 2019 07:30 Boca del Rio Mexico  0.2
01 Sep 2019 07:30 La Playa Colorada Mexico  0.2
02 Sep 2019 23:00 San Bruno Mexico  0.2
02 Sep 2019 23:15 Guaymas Mexico  0.2
02 Sep 2019 23:15 Empalme Mexico  0.2
02 Sep 2019 23:15 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.2
02 Sep 2019 23:00 Mulege Mexico  0.2
02 Sep 2019 23:00 Los Dolores Mexico  0.2
02 Sep 2019 23:15 Tastiota Mexico  0.2
02 Sep 2019 23:15 Guasimas Mexico  0.2
02 Sep 2019 10:45 San Blas Mexico  0.2
02 Sep 2019 10:45 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
02 Sep 2019 23:00 San Carlos Mexico  0.2
02 Sep 2019 23:15 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.2
02 Sep 2019 23:15 Las Bocas Mexico  0.2
02 Sep 2019 23:15 Camahuiroa Mexico  0.2
02 Sep 2019 23:30 San Jose Mexico  0.2
02 Sep 2019 23:30 Atanacio Mexico  0.2
02 Sep 2019 23:30 El Paredoncito Mexico  0.2
02 Sep 2019 23:00 Tripui Mexico  0.2
02 Sep 2019 23:00 San Juanico Mexico  0.2
02 Sep 2019 23:00 Liliba Mexico  0.2
02 Sep 2019 23:15 Borabampo Mexico  0.2
02 Sep 2019 23:00 Loreto Mexico  0.2
02 Sep 2019 23:00 Ligui Mexico  0.2
02 Sep 2019 23:15 San Bruno Mexico  0.2
02 Sep 2019 23:15 El Aquajito Mexico  0.1
03 Sep 2019 21:30 Datilito Mexico  0.1
03 Sep 2019 21:30 La Paz Mexico  0.1
03 Sep 2019 21:30 Rosario Mexico  0.1
02 Sep 2019 23:00 Santa Marta Mexico  0.1
01 Sep 2019 08:30 Novillero Mexico  0.1
01 Sep 2019 08:30 Cuantla Mexico  0.1
31 Aug 2019 19:30 Cedros Mexico  0.1
02 Sep 2019 23:00 San Cosme Mexico  0.1
03 Sep 2019 09:30 Ensenada de los Muertos Mexico  0.1
03 Sep 2019 21:30 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
03 Sep 2019 10:30 El Castillo Mexico  0.1
03 Sep 2019 10:30 Las Arenitas Mexico  0.1
03 Sep 2019 10:30 La Boca Mexico  0.1
02 Sep 2019 22:00 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
31 Aug 2019 20:15 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.1
31 Aug 2019 20:15 El Guatamota Mexico  0.1
31 Aug 2019 20:15 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.1
02 Sep 2019 22:00 Cuamecate Mexico  0.1
02 Sep 2019 22:00 El Nuevo Mexico  0.1
01 Sep 2019 07:30 Cachoana Mexico  0.1
02 Sep 2019 23:15 Los Burros Mexico  0.1
02 Sep 2019 23:00 La Ventana Mexico  0.1
01 Sep 2019 08:15 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.1
02 Sep 2019 21:45 Toro Mocho Mexico  0.1
03 Sep 2019 10:15 Perihuete Mexico  0.1
02 Sep 2019 22:45 Topolobampo Mexico  0.1
03 Sep 2019 10:45 La Puerta Mexico  0.1
03 Sep 2019 10:30 La Palmita Mexico  0.1
03 Sep 2019 10:30 Caimanero Mexico  0.1
03 Sep 2019 10:30 Jarilla Mexico  0.1
02 Sep 2019 20:45 Acapulco Mexico  0.1
03 Sep 2019 10:15 Punta Arena Mexico  0.1
03 Sep 2019 10:15 Los Tesos Mexico  0.1
02 Sep 2019 20:45 El Marques Mexico  0.1
01 Sep 2019 02:30 San Juanico Mexico  0.1
01 Sep 2019 02:30 Buenaventura Mexico  0.1
31 Aug 2019 19:30 Isla Natividad Mexico  0.1
03 Sep 2019 10:30 Florida Mexico  0.1
03 Sep 2019 10:30 Mazatlan Mexico  0.1
03 Sep 2019 10:30 Barron Mexico  0.1
02 Sep 2019 21:30 Calla de Campos Mexico  0.1
02 Sep 2019 21:30 Chula Mexico  0.1
02 Sep 2019 21:30 Las Pinas Mexico  0.1
02 Sep 2019 11:00 La Lima Mexico  0.1
02 Sep 2019 11:00 Dimas Mexico  0.1
03 Sep 2019 10:30 Altata Mexico  0.1
01 Sep 2019 15:45 Santa Catarina Mexico  0.1
03 Sep 2019 10:30 Playa Azul Mexico  0.1
03 Sep 2019 10:30 Melchor Ocampo Mexico  0.1
02 Sep 2019 21:15 El Papayo Mexico  0.1
02 Sep 2019 21:15 Nuxco Mexico  0.1
01 Sep 2019 02:30 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.1
01 Sep 2019 02:30 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.1
03 Sep 2019 10:15 Las Palmas Mexico  0.1
03 Sep 2019 10:15 La Ribera Mexico  0.1
03 Sep 2019 10:15 Punta Colorada Mexico  0.1