Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for FLOSSIE-19
Off-shore
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Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone FLOSSIE-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 137 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (29 Jul 09:30 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 137 km/h 0.3 m n.a. 0.5
HWRF Overall 137 km/h 0.3 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 29 Jul 2019 00:00 UTC (Overall situation)

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 28 Jul 2019 12:00 176 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 28 Jul 2019 18:00 212 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 29 Jul 2019 00:00 137 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h

Rainfall

-1 mm

No people can be affected rain lower than 100mm





Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 29 Jul 2019 00:00 UTC (Overall situation)

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 28 Jul 2019 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 2 28 Jul 2019 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 3 29 Jul 2019 00:00 - - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in San Francisco, Mexico. This height is estimated for 29 Jul 2019 09:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 29 Jul 2019 00:00 UTC (Overall situation)
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
29 Jul 2019 09:30 San Francisco Mexico  0.3
29 Jul 2019 09:30 Monteon Mexico  0.3
29 Jul 2019 09:30 La Lima Mexico  0.3
28 Jul 2019 23:30 Punta Mita Mexico  0.2
28 Jul 2019 23:30 Cruz de Juanacaxtle Mexico  0.2
28 Jul 2019 23:45 Puerto Vallarta Mexico  0.2
28 Jul 2019 23:45 Pizota Mexico  0.2
28 Jul 2019 23:45 Corrales Mexico  0.1
31 Jul 2019 16:45 Aquiles Serdan Mexico  0.1
31 Jul 2019 16:45 Ipala Mexico  0.1
30 Jul 2019 19:30 Chola Mexico  0.1