Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for ANN-19
Off-shore
14 May 2019 12 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone ANN-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 83 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.4 m (16 May 00:15 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 83 km/h 0.4 m 269 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 115 km/h 0.6 m 597 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

115 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 14 May 2019 12:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 11 May 2019 18:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 12 May 2019 00:00 108 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 12 May 2019 06:00 115 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 12 May 2019 12:00 115 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 12 May 2019 18:00 104 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 13 May 2019 00:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 13 May 2019 06:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 13 May 2019 12:00 119 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 13 May 2019 18:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 14 May 2019 00:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 14 May 2019 06:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 14 May 2019 12:00 83 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 14 May 2019 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmSolomon Islands, Papua New Guinea5,724
+
Papua New Guinea822 
Solomon Islands4,695 
Other countries207 
50-100 mmPapua New Guinea, Solomon Islands, Australia141,913
+
Papua New Guinea107,950 
Solomon Islands26,804 
Other countries2,452 
Australia4,707 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 11 May 2019 18:00 450 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 12 May 2019 00:00 372 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 12 May 2019 06:00 409 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 12 May 2019 12:00 272 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 12 May 2019 18:00 306 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 13 May 2019 00:00 240 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 13 May 2019 06:00 198 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 13 May 2019 12:00 325 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 13 May 2019 18:00 239 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 14 May 2019 00:00 207 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 14 May 2019 06:00 218 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 14 May 2019 12:00 269 6 thousand
- - - - Papua New Guinea, Solomon Islands, Other countries, Australia




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.4m in Numbulwar, Australia. This height is estimated for 16 May 2019 00:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 14 May 2019 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
16 May 2019 00:15 Numbulwar Australia  0.4
17 May 2019 11:30 Heits Indonesia  0.4
17 May 2019 12:00 Dauan Australia  0.4
17 May 2019 12:00 Sidabadu Papua New Guinea  0.4
17 May 2019 12:00 Saibai Australia  0.4
17 May 2019 12:00 Hamlet of Togo Papua New Guinea  0.4
17 May 2019 12:00 Mabaduan Papua New Guinea  0.4
17 May 2019 11:45 Soeam Indonesia  0.4
14 May 2019 20:15 The Palms Australia  0.3
14 May 2019 20:15 Larrakeyah Australia  0.3
14 May 2019 20:15 Fannie Bay Australia  0.3
14 May 2019 20:15 Parap Australia  0.3
14 May 2019 20:15 Darwin Australia  0.3
14 May 2019 20:15 Nightcliff Australia  0.3
14 May 2019 20:15 Ludmilla Australia  0.3
14 May 2019 20:15 Bagot Australia  0.3
14 May 2019 20:15 Leanyer Australia  0.3
14 May 2019 20:15 Knuckeys Lagoon Australia  0.3
14 May 2019 20:15 Berrimah Australia  0.3
16 May 2019 01:45 Alyangula Australia  0.3
17 May 2019 12:00 Waidoro Papua New Guinea  0.3
16 May 2019 04:45 Bing Bong Australia  0.3
17 May 2019 03:15 Minjilang Australia  0.3
17 May 2019 12:00 Amagoa Papua New Guinea  0.3
17 May 2019 12:00 Segero Papua New Guinea  0.3
17 May 2019 12:00 Tugara Papua New Guinea  0.3
17 May 2019 12:00 Dibiri Papua New Guinea  0.3
17 May 2019 12:00 Orapoi Papua New Guinea  0.3
17 May 2019 12:00 Oropai Papua New Guinea  0.3
17 May 2019 12:00 Gesco Papua New Guinea  0.3
17 May 2019 12:00 Tirere Papua New Guinea  0.3
17 May 2019 12:00 Dameramuda Papua New Guinea  0.3
17 May 2019 12:00 Bina No 1 Papua New Guinea  0.3
17 May 2019 12:00 Maipani Papua New Guinea  0.3
17 May 2019 12:00 Kadawa Papua New Guinea  0.3
17 May 2019 11:45 Bunigi Papua New Guinea  0.3
17 May 2019 12:00 Ture Ture Papua New Guinea  0.3
17 May 2019 12:00 Boze Papua New Guinea  0.3
17 May 2019 12:00 Ume Papua New Guinea  0.3
17 May 2019 11:45 Daru Papua New Guinea  0.3
14 May 2019 13:30 Gribble Settlement Australia  0.3
17 May 2019 12:00 Bamio Papua New Guinea  0.3
17 May 2019 12:00 Buniki Papua New Guinea  0.3
17 May 2019 12:00 Giwaretore Papua New Guinea  0.3
17 May 2019 12:00 Ibou Papua New Guinea  0.3
17 May 2019 12:00 Mapoi'a Papua New Guinea  0.3
17 May 2019 10:30 Dolatanden Indonesia  0.3
17 May 2019 11:45 Umuda I Papua New Guinea  0.3
17 May 2019 11:30 Dorogari Papua New Guinea  0.3
14 May 2019 16:00 Aweer Indonesia  0.3
14 May 2019 16:00 Lamdessa Barat Indonesia  0.3
14 May 2019 16:00 Kilaan Indonesia  0.3
14 May 2019 16:00 Ngoereta Indonesia  0.3
14 May 2019 16:00 Lamdessar Timur Indonesia  0.3
14 May 2019 16:00 Adodoe Indonesia  0.3
14 May 2019 15:45 Ritabel Indonesia  0.3
14 May 2019 15:45 Namralan Indonesia  0.3
14 May 2019 15:45 Watidal Indonesia  0.3
14 May 2019 14:15 Latdalam Indonesia  0.3
14 May 2019 14:15 Adaut Indonesia  0.3
14 May 2019 14:15 Wasleta Indonesia  0.3
14 May 2019 14:15 Tandjung Burak Indonesia  0.3
14 May 2019 14:15 Jinge Indonesia  0.3
14 May 2019 14:15 Saumlakki Indonesia  0.3
14 May 2019 14:15 Wowonda Indonesia  0.3
14 May 2019 15:30 Manglusi Indonesia  0.3
14 May 2019 15:30 Watmuri Indonesia  0.3
15 May 2019 23:45 Caburinga Village Australia  0.3
14 May 2019 16:45 Wailutu Indonesia  0.3
14 May 2019 16:45 Temin Indonesia  0.3
14 May 2019 16:45 Bukrane Indonesia  0.3
14 May 2019 15:15 Batkes Indonesia  0.3
14 May 2019 15:15 Mejanobab Indonesia  0.3
14 May 2019 15:15 Letinger Indonesia  0.3
14 May 2019 15:45 Koreare Indonesia  0.2
15 May 2019 09:30 Cardwell Australia  0.2
14 May 2019 15:15 Aroeidas Indonesia  0.2
14 May 2019 15:15 Amdassa Indonesia  0.2
14 May 2019 15:30 Namtabuny Indonesia  0.2
14 May 2019 15:30 Timoer Indonesia  0.2
14 May 2019 15:30 Kandar Indonesia  0.2
14 May 2019 15:30 Amtoefoe Indonesia  0.2
15 May 2019 00:45 Running Creek Australia  0.2
14 May 2019 15:15 Abat Indonesia  0.2
14 May 2019 15:15 Lingat Indonesia  0.2
16 May 2019 22:45 Cape York Australia  0.2
16 May 2019 22:45 Ok Village Australia  0.2
14 May 2019 15:15 Tandjung Arousu Indonesia  0.2
14 May 2019 15:15 Bulat Indonesia  0.2
16 May 2019 21:30 Port Kennedy Australia  0.2
17 May 2019 01:00 Badu Australia  0.2
17 May 2019 03:15 Balaide New Caledonia  0.2
17 May 2019 03:15 Saint-Paul New Caledonia  0.2
17 May 2019 03:15 Pouebo New Caledonia  0.2
17 May 2019 03:15 Yambe New Caledonia  0.2
17 May 2019 03:15 Diahoue New Caledonia  0.2
17 May 2019 03:15 Colnett New Caledonia  0.2
16 May 2019 17:45 Boigu Australia  0.2
16 May 2019 17:45 Bugi Papua New Guinea  0.2
15 May 2019 01:30 Coolbie Australia  0.2
15 May 2019 01:30 Mutarnee Australia  0.2
17 May 2019 12:00 Kandala Jawal Indonesia  0.2
17 May 2019 12:00 Wamal Indonesia  0.2
17 May 2019 12:00 Gelib Indonesia  0.2
14 May 2019 18:15 Halifax Australia  0.2
14 May 2019 18:15 Cassady Australia  0.2
14 May 2019 13:00 Banana Pocket Australia  0.2
14 May 2019 13:00 Lethebrook Australia  0.2
14 May 2019 13:00 Cannon Valley Australia  0.2
14 May 2019 13:00 Windermere Australia  0.2
14 May 2019 13:00 Conway Australia  0.2
14 May 2019 18:15 Lucinda Australia  0.2
14 May 2019 13:00 Midgeton Australia  0.2
17 May 2019 12:00 Tais Papua New Guinea  0.2
17 May 2019 10:15 Katatai Papua New Guinea  0.2
17 May 2019 10:15 Parama Papua New Guinea  0.2
17 May 2019 10:15 Iasa Papua New Guinea  0.2
17 May 2019 10:15 Aibinio Papua New Guinea  0.2
17 May 2019 10:15 Ipisia Papua New Guinea  0.2
17 May 2019 10:15 Agobara Papua New Guinea  0.2
17 May 2019 10:15 Oromosapuo Papua New Guinea  0.2
14 May 2019 16:30 Elim Australia  0.2
16 May 2019 21:45 Hammond I Australia  0.2
15 May 2019 01:30 Moongobulla Australia  0.2
15 May 2019 01:30 Kinduro Australia  0.2
17 May 2019 10:15 Daware Papua New Guinea  0.2
17 May 2019 10:15 Sui Papua New Guinea  0.2
17 May 2019 10:15 Mibu Papua New Guinea  0.2
15 May 2019 01:30 Rollingstone Australia  0.2
14 May 2019 21:45 Lower Tully Australia  0.2
16 May 2019 14:15 Dokib Indonesia  0.2
14 May 2019 16:00 Carstairs Australia  0.2
14 May 2019 16:00 Jarvisfield Australia  0.2
14 May 2019 16:00 Alva Australia  0.2
14 May 2019 16:00 Rita Island Australia  0.2
17 May 2019 10:15 Samari Papua New Guinea  0.2
14 May 2019 17:15 South Mission Beach Australia  0.2
16 May 2019 00:00 Gove Australia  0.2
16 May 2019 00:00 Yirrkala Mission Australia  0.2
16 May 2019 00:00 Yirrkala Australia  0.2
16 May 2019 03:15 Nhulunbuy Australia  0.2
14 May 2019 15:30 Cooktown Australia  0.2
16 May 2019 13:45 Dodalim Indonesia  0.2
16 May 2019 13:45 Yulbabuti Indonesia  0.2
15 May 2019 01:00 Oolbun Australia  0.2
17 May 2019 12:00 Carmila Australia  0.2
17 May 2019 12:00 Flaggy Rock Australia  0.2
16 May 2019 13:45 Papisote Indonesia  0.2
17 May 2019 10:15 Sabon Indonesia  0.2
14 May 2019 19:30 Pallarenda Australia  0.2
14 May 2019 19:30 Belgian Gardens Australia  0.2
14 May 2019 19:30 Townsville Australia  0.2
14 May 2019 19:30 Oonoonba Australia  0.2
15 May 2019 06:15 Alakoe Indonesia  0.2
15 May 2019 06:15 Alatepi Indonesia  0.2
15 May 2019 06:15 Kotad Indonesia  0.2
15 May 2019 06:15 Dumande Indonesia  0.2
17 May 2019 11:00 Gibu Papua New Guinea  0.2
17 May 2019 11:00 Morigio I Papua New Guinea  0.2
17 May 2019 11:00 Ekeirau Papua New Guinea  0.2
15 May 2019 00:30 Cluden Australia  0.2
17 May 2019 10:45 Pai-a Papua New Guinea  0.2
17 May 2019 10:30 Kladar Indonesia  0.2
17 May 2019 10:30 Tor Indonesia  0.2
17 May 2019 12:00 Komoran Indonesia  0.2
15 May 2019 06:15 Moegaigare Indonesia  0.2
15 May 2019 06:00 Kobiem Indonesia  0.2
15 May 2019 06:00 Okaba Indonesia  0.2
17 May 2019 10:45 Moinamu Papua New Guinea  0.2
17 May 2019 10:45 Namaituri Papua New Guinea  0.2
17 May 2019 10:45 Goari Papua New Guinea  0.2
16 May 2019 13:30 Welab Indonesia  0.2
15 May 2019 06:15 Onggalie Indonesia  0.2
15 May 2019 06:15 Kumbe Indonesia  0.2
15 May 2019 06:15 Anansai Indonesia  0.2
15 May 2019 06:15 Wendu Indonesia  0.2
14 May 2019 16:00 Innisfail Australia  0.2
14 May 2019 12:00 Huhuru Mission Papua New Guinea  0.2
14 May 2019 12:00 Kurereda Papua New Guinea  0.2
14 May 2019 12:00 New Bakumbari Papua New Guinea  0.2
14 May 2019 12:00 Garara Papua New Guinea  0.2
14 May 2019 12:00 Bepero Papua New Guinea  0.2
14 May 2019 12:00 New Garara Papua New Guinea  0.2
14 May 2019 12:00 Buna Papua New Guinea  0.2
14 May 2019 12:00 Boreo Papua New Guinea  0.2
14 May 2019 12:00 Garuro Papua New Guinea  0.2
17 May 2019 11:00 Ubua Papua New Guinea  0.2
17 May 2019 11:00 Dopima Papua New Guinea  0.2
14 May 2019 23:45 Seaforth Australia  0.2
14 May 2019 23:45 Habana Australia  0.2
14 May 2019 23:45 Barcoo Australia  0.2
14 May 2019 23:45 Etowri Australia  0.2
14 May 2019 23:45 Nindaroo Australia  0.2
14 May 2019 23:45 Bucasia Australia  0.2
14 May 2019 23:45 Eimeo Australia  0.2
14 May 2019 23:45 Andergrove Australia  0.2
14 May 2019 23:45 Blacks Beach Australia  0.2
14 May 2019 23:45 Slade Point Australia  0.2
14 May 2019 23:45 Amhurst Australia  0.2
15 May 2019 06:00 Matara Indonesia  0.2
15 May 2019 06:00 Urum Indonesia  0.2
15 May 2019 00:30 Aloszville Australia  0.1
17 May 2019 10:45 Wan Indonesia  0.1
17 May 2019 10:45 Konerau Indonesia  0.1
17 May 2019 11:00 Selemit Indonesia  0.1
17 May 2019 11:00 Pasirputih Indonesia  0.1
15 May 2019 21:15 Saint Helens Australia  0.1
14 May 2019 16:30 Merinda Australia  0.1
14 May 2019 20:45 Delta Australia  0.1
14 May 2019 20:45 Inveroona Australia  0.1
14 May 2019 20:45 Queens Beach Australia  0.1
14 May 2019 20:45 Bowen Australia  0.1
14 May 2019 18:00 Pongani Papua New Guinea  0.1
14 May 2019 18:00 Karaisa Papua New Guinea  0.1
14 May 2019 18:00 Bendoroda Papua New Guinea  0.1
15 May 2019 11:00 Mari Papua New Guinea  0.1
15 May 2019 10:45 Jara Papua New Guinea  0.1
15 May 2019 06:00 Merauke Indonesia  0.1
14 May 2019 16:30 Bootooloo Australia  0.1
14 May 2019 16:30 Yumbabullo Australia  0.1
17 May 2019 10:30 Babai Papua New Guinea  0.1
15 May 2019 06:00 Sarire Indonesia  0.1
17 May 2019 12:00 Alexandra Australia  0.1
17 May 2019 12:00 Te Kowai Australia  0.1
17 May 2019 12:00 Rosella Australia  0.1
17 May 2019 12:00 Chelona Australia  0.1
17 May 2019 12:00 Glenella Australia  0.1
17 May 2019 12:00 Bakers Creek Australia  0.1
17 May 2019 12:00 North Mackay Australia  0.1
17 May 2019 12:00 Mackay Australia  0.1
17 May 2019 12:00 Cremorne Australia  0.1
17 May 2019 12:00 Hay Point Australia  0.1
15 May 2019 09:45 Bula Papua New Guinea  0.1
17 May 2019 12:00 Munbura Australia  0.1
17 May 2019 12:00 Alligator Creek Australia  0.1
15 May 2019 08:15 Tamerau Indonesia  0.1
15 May 2019 08:15 Barattar Indonesia  0.1
14 May 2019 15:45 Deeral Australia  0.1
14 May 2019 15:45 Bellenden Ker Australia  0.1
15 May 2019 06:00 Daub Indonesia  0.1
15 May 2019 06:00 Tamarike Indonesia  0.1
15 May 2019 08:45 Kondomiraf Indonesia  0.1
14 May 2019 22:30 Taffy Islet Australia  0.1
14 May 2019 14:30 Emo Mission Papua New Guinea  0.1
14 May 2019 14:30 Waiwa Papua New Guinea  0.1
14 May 2019 14:30 Basada Papua New Guinea  0.1
14 May 2019 21:45 Mookarra Australia  0.1
14 May 2019 17:45 Karisoa Papua New Guinea  0.1
14 May 2019 18:30 Embogo Training Centre Papua New Guinea  0.1
14 May 2019 15:45 Ayton Australia  0.1
14 May 2019 18:00 Katuna Papua New Guinea  0.1
15 May 2019 20:00 Elalie Australia  0.1
14 May 2019 14:45 Mossman Australia  0.1
14 May 2019 14:45 Miallo Australia  0.1
14 May 2019 14:45 Wonga Australia  0.1
14 May 2019 14:45 Port Douglas Australia  0.1
14 May 2019 17:30 Mongna Papua New Guinea  0.1
17 May 2019 10:30 Avioua Papua New Guinea  0.1
17 May 2019 10:30 Veraibari Papua New Guinea  0.1
14 May 2019 13:15 Hockley Australia  0.1
14 May 2019 12:00 Kewanasap Mission Papua New Guinea  0.1
14 May 2019 12:00 Baiawa Papua New Guinea  0.1
14 May 2019 12:00 Batua Papua New Guinea  0.1
14 May 2019 12:00 Sirimo Papua New Guinea  0.1
15 May 2019 19:45 Kalarka Australia  0.1
15 May 2019 19:45 Clairview Australia  0.1
17 May 2019 10:15 Mirimairau Papua New Guinea  0.1
14 May 2019 12:15 Cairns Australia  0.1
14 May 2019 12:15 Kamma Australia  0.1
14 May 2019 12:15 Yarrabah Aboriginal Community Australia  0.1
14 May 2019 21:15 Cannonvale Australia  0.1
14 May 2019 21:15 Airlie Australia  0.1
17 May 2019 10:15 Uramu I Papua New Guinea  0.1
17 May 2019 10:00 Kaivu Papua New Guinea  0.1
17 May 2019 10:00 Mairipepea Papua New Guinea  0.1
17 May 2019 10:00 Moravamu Papua New Guinea  0.1
17 May 2019 10:00 Kamaua Papua New Guinea  0.1
17 May 2019 10:30 Mira Papua New Guinea  0.1
16 May 2019 22:45 Kaduaga Papua New Guinea  0.1
16 May 2019 22:45 Muwo I Papua New Guinea  0.1
16 May 2019 22:45 Losuia Papua New Guinea  0.1
16 May 2019 22:45 Kuluritu Papua New Guinea  0.1
16 May 2019 22:45 Yalaka Papua New Guinea  0.1
16 May 2019 22:45 Bodela Papua New Guinea  0.1
14 May 2019 18:00 Bambiti Papua New Guinea  0.1
14 May 2019 18:00 Mafuia Papua New Guinea  0.1
14 May 2019 18:00 Fofoma Papua New Guinea  0.1
14 May 2019 18:00 Berubona Mission Papua New Guinea  0.1
14 May 2019 18:15 Botana Papua New Guinea  0.1
14 May 2019 18:15 Ambasi Mission Papua New Guinea  0.1
14 May 2019 18:15 Koirapusi Papua New Guinea  0.1