Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for JOANINHA-19
in , Mauritius
31 Mar 2019 00 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone JOANINHA-19 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries Mauritius,
Exposed population 40 thousand in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 220 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.6 m (22 Mar 19:30 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 220 km/h 0.6 m n.a. 1.5
HWRF Overall 220 km/h 0.6 m n.a. 1.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

220 km/h

Up to 40 thousand in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 31 Mar 2019 00:00 UTC (Overall situation)
CategoryCountryPopulation 
CAT. 2Mauritius31,919
+
Mauritius31,772 
Other countries147 
CAT. 1Mauritius11,589 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 22 Mar 2019 00:00 187 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 22 Mar 2019 06:00 205 - - - - - - -
ORANGE 3 22 Mar 2019 12:00 198 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 22 Mar 2019 18:00 202 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 23 Mar 2019 00:00 198 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 23 Mar 2019 06:00 209 - - - - - - -
ORANGE 7 23 Mar 2019 12:00 216 - - - - - - -
ORANGE 8 23 Mar 2019 18:00 216 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 24 Mar 2019 00:00 205 - - - - - - -
ORANGE 10 24 Mar 2019 06:00 205 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 24 Mar 2019 12:00 202 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 24 Mar 2019 18:00 202 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 25 Mar 2019 00:00 209 - - - - - - -
ORANGE 14 25 Mar 2019 06:00 209 - - - - - - -
ORANGE 15 25 Mar 2019 12:00 216 - - - - - - -
ORANGE 16 25 Mar 2019 18:00 223 - - - - - - -
ORANGE 17 26 Mar 2019 00:00 230 - - - - - - -
ORANGE 18 26 Mar 2019 06:00 223 - - - - - - -
GREEN 19 26 Mar 2019 12:00 223 - - - - - - -
GREEN 20 26 Mar 2019 18:00 212 - - - - - - -
GREEN 21 27 Mar 2019 00:00 212 - - - - - - -
GREEN 22 27 Mar 2019 06:00 202 - - - - - - -
GREEN 23 27 Mar 2019 12:00 209 - - - - - - -
GREEN 24 27 Mar 2019 18:00 220 - - - - - - -
GREEN 25 28 Mar 2019 00:00 227 - - - - - - -
GREEN 26 28 Mar 2019 06:00 216 - - - - - - -
GREEN 27 28 Mar 2019 12:00 216 - - - - - - -
GREEN 28 28 Mar 2019 18:00 212 - - - - - - -
GREEN 29 29 Mar 2019 00:00 202 - - - - - - -
GREEN 30 29 Mar 2019 06:00 126 - - - - - - -
GREEN 31 29 Mar 2019 12:00 144 - - - - - - -
GREEN 32 29 Mar 2019 18:00 151 - - - - - - -
GREEN 33 30 Mar 2019 00:00 151 - - - - - - -
GREEN 34 30 Mar 2019 06:00 115 - - - - - - -
GREEN 35 30 Mar 2019 12:00 115 - - - - - - -
GREEN 36 30 Mar 2019 18:00 108 - - - - - - -
GREEN 37 31 Mar 2019 00:00 112 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 31 Mar 2019 00:00 UTC (Overall situation)

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 22 Mar 2019 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 2 22 Mar 2019 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 3 22 Mar 2019 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 4 22 Mar 2019 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 5 23 Mar 2019 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 6 23 Mar 2019 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 7 23 Mar 2019 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 8 23 Mar 2019 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 9 24 Mar 2019 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 10 24 Mar 2019 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 11 24 Mar 2019 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 12 24 Mar 2019 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 13 25 Mar 2019 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 14 25 Mar 2019 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 15 25 Mar 2019 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 16 25 Mar 2019 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 17 26 Mar 2019 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 18 26 Mar 2019 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 19 26 Mar 2019 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 20 26 Mar 2019 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 21 27 Mar 2019 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 22 27 Mar 2019 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 23 27 Mar 2019 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 24 27 Mar 2019 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 25 28 Mar 2019 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 26 28 Mar 2019 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 27 28 Mar 2019 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 28 28 Mar 2019 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 29 29 Mar 2019 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 30 29 Mar 2019 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 31 29 Mar 2019 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 32 29 Mar 2019 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 33 30 Mar 2019 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 34 30 Mar 2019 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 35 30 Mar 2019 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 36 30 Mar 2019 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 37 31 Mar 2019 00:00 - - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

0.6 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.6m in Anse Volbert Village, Seychelles. This height is estimated for 22 Mar 2019 19:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 31 Mar 2019 00:00 UTC (Overall situation)
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
22 Mar 2019 19:30 Anse Volbert Village Seychelles  0.6
22 Mar 2019 19:30 La Reunion Seychelles  0.6
22 Mar 2019 19:45 Victoria Seychelles  0.6
22 Mar 2019 19:45 Anse Boileau Seychelles  0.6
25 Mar 2019 23:30 Port Mathurin Mauritius  0.6
25 Mar 2019 18:30 La Ferme Mauritius  0.5
30 Mar 2019 16:15 Le Port Reunion  0.4
30 Mar 2019 16:15 La Possession Reunion  0.4
30 Mar 2019 16:15 Saint-Denis Reunion  0.4
30 Mar 2019 16:15 Saint-Marie Reunion  0.4
30 Mar 2019 16:15 Sainte-Suzanne Reunion  0.4
28 Mar 2019 20:15 Saint-Antoine Mauritius  0.4
28 Mar 2019 20:15 Riviere du Rempart Mauritius  0.4
29 Mar 2019 09:45 Riche-en-Eau Mauritius  0.3
29 Mar 2019 09:45 Maheboug Mauritius  0.3
29 Mar 2019 09:45 Grande Reviere Sud Est Mauritius  0.3
31 Mar 2019 07:15 Saint-Andre Reunion  0.3
31 Mar 2019 07:15 Bras-Panon Reunion  0.3
28 Mar 2019 14:15 Saint-Paul Reunion  0.3
28 Mar 2019 14:15 Saint-Leu Reunion  0.3
28 Mar 2019 14:15 Trois Bassins Reunion  0.3
28 Mar 2019 14:45 Saint-Benoit Reunion  0.3
26 Mar 2019 20:15 Trou aux Biches Mauritius  0.2
24 Mar 2019 16:00 Point Marianne British Indian Ocean Territory  0.2
24 Mar 2019 16:00 East Point Plantation British Indian Ocean Territory  0.2
27 Mar 2019 01:30 Sainte-Rose Reunion  0.2
27 Mar 2019 01:30 Cascades Reunion  0.2
25 Mar 2019 18:30 Les Avirons Reunion  0.2
25 Mar 2019 18:30 Etang Sale Reunion  0.2
25 Mar 2019 18:30 Saint-Louis Reunion  0.2
25 Mar 2019 18:30 Saint-Pierre Reunion  0.2
29 Mar 2019 10:30 Port Louis Mauritius  0.2
25 Mar 2019 18:30 Petite Ile Reunion  0.1
25 Mar 2019 18:30 Saint-Joseph Reunion  0.1
25 Mar 2019 03:45 Saint-Philippe Reunion  0.1
25 Mar 2019 18:15 Choisy Mauritius  0.1
25 Mar 2019 18:15 Chemin Grenier Mauritius  0.1
25 Mar 2019 18:15 Souillac Mauritius  0.1
25 Mar 2019 18:15 Black River Mauritius  0.1