Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for JOANINHA-19
in , Mauritius
31 Mar 2019 00 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone JOANINHA-19 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries Mauritius,
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 148 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.5 m (26 Mar 07:00 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 148 km/h 0.5 m 1036 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 148 km/h 0.5 m 1036 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 31 Mar 2019 00:00 UTC (Overall situation)
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormMauritius43,508
+
Mauritius43,361 
Other countries147 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 21 Mar 2019 12:00 130 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 22 Mar 2019 00:00 155 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 22 Mar 2019 12:00 162 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 23 Mar 2019 00:00 148 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 23 Mar 2019 12:00 148 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 24 Mar 2019 00:00 151 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 24 Mar 2019 12:00 140 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 25 Mar 2019 00:00 148 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 25 Mar 2019 12:00 140 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 26 Mar 2019 00:00 144 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 26 Mar 2019 12:00 148 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 27 Mar 2019 00:00 130 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 27 Mar 2019 12:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 28 Mar 2019 00:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 28 Mar 2019 12:00 108 - - - - - - -
GREEN 16 29 Mar 2019 00:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 17 29 Mar 2019 12:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 18 30 Mar 2019 00:00 104 - - - - - - -
GREEN 19 30 Mar 2019 12:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 20 31 Mar 2019 00:00 83 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall

1036 mm

Up to 410 thousand can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 31 Mar 2019 00:00 UTC (Overall situation)
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmMauritius, Reunion56,812
+
Mauritius43,361 
Other countries147 
Reunion13,304 
100-250 mmReunion350,316
+
Other countries194 
Reunion350,122 
50-100 mmSeychelles, Mauritius, Reunion473,351
+
Seychelles238 
Mauritius273,618 
Reunion199,495 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 21 Mar 2019 12:00 486 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 22 Mar 2019 00:00 853 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 22 Mar 2019 12:00 1266 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 23 Mar 2019 00:00 1353 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 23 Mar 2019 12:00 1113 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 24 Mar 2019 00:00 915 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 24 Mar 2019 12:00 761 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 25 Mar 2019 00:00 939 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 25 Mar 2019 12:00 1195 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 26 Mar 2019 00:00 996 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 26 Mar 2019 12:00 986 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 27 Mar 2019 00:00 1035 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 27 Mar 2019 12:00 612 - - - - - - -
Blue 14 28 Mar 2019 00:00 545 - - - - - - -
Blue 15 28 Mar 2019 12:00 695 - - - - - - -
Blue 16 29 Mar 2019 00:00 542 - - - - - - -
Blue 17 29 Mar 2019 12:00 987 - - - - - - -
Blue 18 30 Mar 2019 00:00 1163 - - - - - - -
Blue 19 30 Mar 2019 12:00 662 - - - - - - -
Blue 20 31 Mar 2019 00:00 325 -
- - - - - Reunion




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

0.5 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.5m in Port Mathurin, Mauritius. This height is estimated for 26 Mar 2019 07:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 31 Mar 2019 00:00 UTC (Overall situation)
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
26 Mar 2019 07:00 Port Mathurin Mauritius  0.5
22 Mar 2019 12:45 Victoria Seychelles  0.5
22 Mar 2019 12:45 Anse Boileau Seychelles  0.5
26 Mar 2019 01:00 La Ferme Mauritius  0.5
22 Mar 2019 07:30 Anse Volbert Village Seychelles  0.4
22 Mar 2019 07:30 La Reunion Seychelles  0.4
30 Mar 2019 13:15 Saint-Antoine Mauritius  0.3
30 Mar 2019 13:15 Riviere du Rempart Mauritius  0.3
27 Mar 2019 17:00 Trou aux Biches Mauritius  0.2
30 Mar 2019 03:30 Le Port Reunion  0.2
30 Mar 2019 03:30 La Possession Reunion  0.2
30 Mar 2019 03:30 Saint-Denis Reunion  0.2
30 Mar 2019 03:30 Saint-Marie Reunion  0.2
30 Mar 2019 03:30 Sainte-Suzanne Reunion  0.2
30 Mar 2019 04:15 Saint-Paul Reunion  0.2
30 Mar 2019 04:15 Saint-Leu Reunion  0.2
30 Mar 2019 04:15 Trois Bassins Reunion  0.2
29 Mar 2019 13:45 Saint-Andre Reunion  0.2
29 Mar 2019 13:45 Bras-Panon Reunion  0.2
25 Mar 2019 16:45 Grande Reviere Sud Est Mauritius  0.2
25 Mar 2019 02:00 Riche-en-Eau Mauritius  0.2
25 Mar 2019 02:00 Maheboug Mauritius  0.2
24 Mar 2019 19:45 Saint-Benoit Reunion  0.2
02 Apr 2019 04:30 Point Marianne British Indian Ocean Territory  0.2
02 Apr 2019 04:30 East Point Plantation British Indian Ocean Territory  0.2
29 Mar 2019 13:45 Port Louis Mauritius  0.2
29 Mar 2019 14:15 Les Avirons Reunion  0.1
29 Mar 2019 14:15 Saint-Pierre Reunion  0.1
29 Mar 2019 14:15 Petite Ile Reunion  0.1
29 Mar 2019 14:15 Saint-Joseph Reunion  0.1
29 Mar 2019 14:15 Saint-Louis Reunion  0.1
29 Mar 2019 14:15 Etang Sale Reunion  0.1
29 Mar 2019 13:30 Saint-Philippe Reunion  0.1
29 Mar 2019 13:30 Sainte-Rose Reunion  0.1
29 Mar 2019 13:30 Cascades Reunion  0.1
29 Mar 2019 13:45 Black River Mauritius  0.1
29 Mar 2019 13:45 Choisy Mauritius  0.1
29 Mar 2019 13:45 Chemin Grenier Mauritius  0.1
29 Mar 2019 14:00 Souillac Mauritius  0.1