Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for KATIA-17
in Mexico

Impact

Tropical Cyclone KATIA-17 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries United States
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 80 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (13 Sep 16:15 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 80 km/h 0.2 m n.a. 0.5
GFS Overall 80 km/h 0.2 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

97 km/h

Up to 230 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population

Estimations based on the bulletin of 11 Sep 2017 06:00 UTC (Overall situation)
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormUnited States228609 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 05 Sep 2017 18:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 06 Sep 2017 00:00 66 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 06 Sep 2017 06:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 06 Sep 2017 12:00 78 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 06 Sep 2017 18:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 07 Sep 2017 00:00 71 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 07 Sep 2017 06:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 07 Sep 2017 12:00 81 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 07 Sep 2017 18:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 08 Sep 2017 00:00 87 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 08 Sep 2017 06:00 78 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 08 Sep 2017 12:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 08 Sep 2017 18:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 09 Sep 2017 00:00 89 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 09 Sep 2017 06:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 16 09 Sep 2017 12:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 17 09 Sep 2017 18:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 18 10 Sep 2017 00:00 88 - - - - - - -
GREEN 19 10 Sep 2017 06:00 85 - - - - - - -
GREEN 20 10 Sep 2017 12:00 85 - - - - - - -
GREEN 21 10 Sep 2017 18:00 81 - - - - - - -
GREEN 22 11 Sep 2017 00:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 23 11 Sep 2017 06:00 80 -
- - - - - United States




Impact estimation for the next 72h





Rain exposed population

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 11 Sep 2017 06:00 UTC (Overall situation)

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 05 Sep 2017 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 2 06 Sep 2017 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 3 06 Sep 2017 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 4 06 Sep 2017 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 5 06 Sep 2017 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 6 07 Sep 2017 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 7 07 Sep 2017 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 8 07 Sep 2017 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 9 07 Sep 2017 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 10 08 Sep 2017 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 11 08 Sep 2017 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 12 08 Sep 2017 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 13 08 Sep 2017 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 14 09 Sep 2017 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 15 09 Sep 2017 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 16 09 Sep 2017 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 17 09 Sep 2017 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 18 10 Sep 2017 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 19 10 Sep 2017 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 20 10 Sep 2017 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 21 10 Sep 2017 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 22 11 Sep 2017 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 23 11 Sep 2017 06:00 - - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Balantanche, Mexico. This height is estimated for 13 Sep 2017 16:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Calculation based on the bulletin of 11 Sep 2017 06:00 UTC (Overall situation)
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
13 Sep 2017 16:15 Balantanche Mexico  0.2
14 Sep 2017 00:00 Las Pozas Nicaragua  0.2
14 Sep 2017 00:00 La Chacara Nicaragua  0.2
14 Sep 2017 00:00 El Capulin Nicaragua  0.2
14 Sep 2017 00:00 Condega Honduras  0.2
14 Sep 2017 00:00 Cedeno Honduras  0.2
14 Sep 2017 00:00 Mangle Alto Nicaragua  0.2
14 Sep 2017 00:00 Albania Honduras  0.2
13 Sep 2017 03:15 Chaparral Mexico  0.2
11 Sep 2017 15:45 Flake United States  0.1
11 Sep 2017 15:45 Elmgrove United States  0.1
11 Sep 2017 15:45 Crystal Beach United States  0.1
11 Sep 2017 15:45 Patton United States  0.1
11 Sep 2017 15:45 Bolivar Peninsula United States  0.1
11 Sep 2017 15:45 Caplen United States  0.1
11 Sep 2017 15:45 Gilchrist United States  0.1
11 Sep 2017 15:30 High Island United States  0.1
11 Sep 2017 15:30 Port Bolivar United States  0.1
11 Sep 2017 15:30 Fort Travis United States  0.1
11 Sep 2017 13:30 Bryan Beach United States  0.1
11 Sep 2017 13:30 Chinquapin United States  0.1
11 Sep 2017 15:30 Galveston United States  0.1
11 Sep 2017 15:15 Texas City Junction United States  0.1
11 Sep 2017 15:15 Bayou Vista United States  0.1
11 Sep 2017 15:15 Texas City United States  0.1
11 Sep 2017 15:15 Anderson Ways United States  0.1
11 Sep 2017 15:15 Virginia Point United States  0.1
11 Sep 2017 13:30 Quintana United States  0.1
11 Sep 2017 13:30 Surfside United States  0.1
11 Sep 2017 13:30 Mims United States  0.1
11 Sep 2017 13:30 Surfside Beach United States  0.1
11 Sep 2017 13:30 Port Morris United States  0.1
11 Sep 2017 13:30 Red Fish Cove United States  0.1
11 Sep 2017 13:30 Bay Harbor United States  0.1
11 Sep 2017 06:00 West Point United States  0.1
13 Sep 2017 15:45 Chenkan Mexico  0.1
11 Sep 2017 13:30 Gulf Park United States  0.1
11 Sep 2017 13:30 Hoskins United States  0.1
11 Sep 2017 13:30 Valasco Heights United States  0.1
11 Sep 2017 13:30 Freeport United States  0.1
12 Sep 2017 02:45 Buena Vista United States  0.1
11 Sep 2017 15:15 Sea Isle United States  0.1
11 Sep 2017 15:15 Hitchcock United States  0.1
11 Sep 2017 15:15 Jamaica Beach United States  0.1
11 Sep 2017 13:45 Hoskins United States  0.1
12 Sep 2017 02:30 Laguna Heights United States  0.1
12 Sep 2017 02:30 Port Isabel United States  0.1
12 Sep 2017 02:30 Kopernik Shores United States  0.1
12 Sep 2017 02:30 South Padre Island United States  0.1
12 Sep 2017 02:30 Boca Chica United States  0.1
12 Sep 2017 02:15 Ejido Guandalupe Victoria Mexico  0.1
12 Sep 2017 02:15 Rancho Magueyes Mexico  0.1
12 Sep 2017 02:15 El Mezquite Mexico  0.1
12 Sep 2017 02:15 El Mezquital Mexico  0.1
11 Sep 2017 14:00 Matagorda United States  0.1
12 Sep 2017 02:15 Fraccionamiento Nuevo Leon Mexico  0.1
11 Sep 2017 13:45 Port O'Connor United States  0.1
11 Sep 2017 15:45 Sabine United States  0.1
11 Sep 2017 15:45 Sabine Pass United States  0.1
12 Sep 2017 02:45 El Martillo United States  0.1
12 Sep 2017 02:45 Yarborough United States  0.1
12 Sep 2017 02:30 Los Ebanos Mexico  0.1
12 Sep 2017 02:30 Flour Bluff United States  0.1
12 Sep 2017 02:30 Caruthers Cove Colonia United States  0.1
12 Sep 2017 02:30 Port Ingleside United States  0.1
12 Sep 2017 02:30 Mustang Beach United States  0.1
12 Sep 2017 02:30 Port Aransas United States  0.1
12 Sep 2017 02:45 Orange Grove United States  0.1
12 Sep 2017 02:45 Peary Place United States  0.1
12 Sep 2017 02:15 San Jose de los Leones Mexico  0.1
13 Sep 2017 23:30 El Carmen Nicaragua  0.1
11 Sep 2017 06:00 Breton United States  0.1
13 Sep 2017 03:00 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
13 Sep 2017 03:00 Sabancuy Mexico  0.1
12 Sep 2017 02:15 Ingleside United States  0.1
12 Sep 2017 02:15 Kenney Lane West Colonia United States  0.1
12 Sep 2017 02:15 Indian Trails Lane Colonia United States  0.1
12 Sep 2017 02:15 Country Acres Colonia United States  0.1
12 Sep 2017 02:15 Country Estates Colonia United States  0.1
12 Sep 2017 02:15 Aransas Pass United States  0.1
12 Sep 2017 02:00 El Porvenir Mexico  0.1
12 Sep 2017 02:15 Estes United States  0.1
12 Sep 2017 02:15 Shell Ridge United States  0.1
11 Sep 2017 21:15 Tasbarraya Honduras  0.1
11 Sep 2017 21:15 Baltimore Honduras  0.1
11 Sep 2017 21:15 Rio Platano Honduras  0.1
11 Sep 2017 21:15 Huarta Honduras  0.1
11 Sep 2017 21:15 Tusi Cocal Honduras  0.1
12 Sep 2017 02:15 Rockport United States  0.1
12 Sep 2017 02:15 Fulton United States  0.1
13 Sep 2017 23:30 Gualora Honduras  0.1
13 Sep 2017 23:30 Las Piletas Honduras  0.1
13 Sep 2017 23:30 Barrancones Honduras  0.1
13 Sep 2017 23:30 Buena Vista Honduras  0.1
12 Sep 2017 18:00 Sun N Sand Beaches United States  0.1
12 Sep 2017 02:15 Las Guayabas Mexico  0.1
13 Sep 2017 04:30 Celestum Mexico  0.1
13 Sep 2017 21:45 Telchac Puerto Mexico  0.1
13 Sep 2017 21:45 Chabihau Mexico  0.1
12 Sep 2017 03:00 Boca Nueva Mexico  0.1
11 Sep 2017 15:30 Johnson's Bayou United States  0.1
11 Sep 2017 15:30 Constance Beach United States  0.1
11 Sep 2017 15:30 Peveto Beach United States  0.1
11 Sep 2017 15:30 Holly Beach United States  0.1
13 Sep 2017 22:15 Mina de Oro Mexico  0.1
13 Sep 2017 21:45 Pixoy Mexico  0.1

Calculation folder at this link