Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for MIDHILI-23
in India, Bangladesh
17 Nov 2023 00 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone MIDHILI-23 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries Bangladesh
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 115 km/h
Maximum storm surge
Vulnerability High (Bangladesh)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 115 km/h n.a. 478 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 115 km/h n.a. 478 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

115 km/h

Up to 1.1 million can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 17 Nov 2023 00:00 UTC (Overall situation)
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormBangladesh1,141,293 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 16 Nov 2023 18:00 86 -
- - - - - Bangladesh
GREEN 2 17 Nov 2023 00:00 83 -
- - - - - Bangladesh
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Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 17 Nov 2023 00:00 UTC (Overall situation)
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmIndia, Bangladesh, Myanmar6,302,118
+
India4,588,991 
Myanmar179,649 
Bangladesh1,533,477 
50-100 mmChina, India, Myanmar, Bangladesh29,128,105
+
China6,100 
India5,974,987 
Myanmar468,048 
Bangladesh22,678,969 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 16 Nov 2023 18:00 219 -
- - - - - Bangladesh
Blue 2 17 Nov 2023 00:00 399 6.3 million
- - - - China, India, Myanmar, Bangladesh




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs