Overall Orange Tropical Cyclone alert for MIDHILI-23 in India, Bangladesh from 16 Nov 2023 18:00 UTC to 17 Nov 2023 12:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for MIDHILI-23

in India, Bangladesh

18 Nov 2023 00 UTC

click on

to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone MIDHILI-23 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	ECMWF
Exposed countries	Bangladesh
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	65 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.8 m (16 Nov 05:30 UTC)
Vulnerability	High (Bangladesh)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
ECMWF Current	65 km/h	0.8 m	691 mm	0.5
ECMWF Overall	65 km/h	0.8 m	691 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

65 km/h

Up to 300 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 18 Nov 2023 00:00 UTC (Overall situation)

Category	Country	Population
Tropical Storm	Bangladesh	295,042

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
1	16 Nov 2023 00:00	65	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	16 Nov 2023 12:00	72	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	17 Nov 2023 00:00	79	-		-	-	-	-	-	Bangladesh
4	17 Nov 2023 12:00	65	-		-	-	-	-	-	Bangladesh
5	18 Nov 2023 00:00	58	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 18 Nov 2023 00:00 UTC (Overall situation)

Level	Country	Population
500-750 mm	Malaysia	79,145
250-500 mm	Nepal, Bangladesh, Malaysia, Thailand	2,150,932	+
	Nepal	14
	Bangladesh	126,781
	Thailand	81,999
	Malaysia	1,942,137
100-250 mm	Nepal, China, India, Bangladesh, Myanmar, Sri Lanka, Thailand, Malaysia, Indonesia	42,824,049	+
	China	03
	Nepal	2,222
	India	3,721,115
	Myanmar	2,164,009
	Bangladesh	30,252,809
	Thailand	1,392,385
	Sri Lanka	4,401,450
	Malaysia	633,167
	Indonesia	256,885
50-100 mm	China, Nepal, India, Myanmar, Bangladesh, Thailand, Vietnam, Laos, Cambodia, Sri Lanka, Malaysia, Indonesia, Maldives	117,175,192	+
	China	2,890,971
	Nepal	1,909
	India	31,654,122
	Myanmar	9,997,751
	Bangladesh	49,410,304
	Thailand	3,395,856
	Vietnam	3,858
	Laos	136
	Cambodia	165
	Sri Lanka	16,005,418
	Malaysia	1,849,694
	Indonesia	1,815,143
	Maldives	149,860

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	16 Nov 2023 00:00	125	-	-	-	-	-	-	India, Vietnam, Malaysia
2	16 Nov 2023 12:00	456	-	-	-	-	-	-	Bangladesh, India
3	17 Nov 2023 00:00	239	15.9 million		-	-	-	-	Bangladesh, India, Myanmar, Sri Lanka
4	17 Nov 2023 12:00	116	3 thousand		-	-	-	-	India, Bangladesh, Myanmar
5	18 Nov 2023 00:00	638	4 million				-	-	China, Nepal, Myanmar, India, Sri Lanka, Thailand, Malaysia, Indonesia

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.8 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.8m in Tho Ngoa, Vietnam. This height is estimated for 16 Nov 2023 05:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 18 Nov 2023 00:00 UTC (Overall situation)

Level	Country	Population
0.5 - 1.0 m	Vietnam	21,421
0.25 - 0.5 m	Vietnam	53,290

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 18 Nov 2023 00:00 UTC (Overall situation)

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	16 Nov 2023 05:30	Tho Ngoa	Vietnam	0.8
	16 Nov 2023 05:30	Ly Nhon Thon	Vietnam	0.8
	16 Nov 2023 05:15	Kiem Long	Vietnam	0.8
	16 Nov 2023 05:15	Ba Don	Vietnam	0.8
	16 Nov 2023 05:30	Vinh Son	Vietnam	0.7
	16 Nov 2023 05:30	Lang Loi	Vietnam	0.7
	16 Nov 2023 05:30	Vinh Ang	Vietnam	0.6
	16 Nov 2023 04:00	Ky Anh	Vietnam	0.5
	16 Nov 2023 04:00	Van Trang	Vietnam	0.5
	16 Nov 2023 04:00	Hai Khau	Vietnam	0.5
	16 Nov 2023 04:30	Thuan Thien	Vietnam	0.4
	16 Nov 2023 04:30	Thien Linh	Vietnam	0.4
	16 Nov 2023 04:30	Trung Thinh	Vietnam	0.4
	16 Nov 2023 04:30	Ha Tinh	Vietnam	0.4
	16 Nov 2023 04:30	Trung Nghia	Vietnam	0.4
	16 Nov 2023 04:30	Trung Tiet	Vietnam	0.4
	16 Nov 2023 04:15	Cau Thuong	Vietnam	0.4
	16 Nov 2023 04:15	Hau Con	Vietnam	0.4
	16 Nov 2023 04:15	Con Soi	Vietnam	0.4
	16 Nov 2023 03:30	Hoa Cam	Vietnam	0.3
	16 Nov 2023 03:30	Hoi Thong	Vietnam	0.3
	16 Nov 2023 04:00	Cau Lo	Vietnam	0.3
	16 Nov 2023 10:45	Kakinada	India	0.2
	16 Nov 2023 12:00	Bideipur	India	0.2
	16 Nov 2023 03:30	Vinh Lai	Vietnam	0.2
	16 Nov 2023 03:30	Tap Phuc	Vietnam	0.2
	16 Nov 2023 09:00	Ban Na Luang	Thailand	0.2
	16 Nov 2023 09:00	Ban Rai Prung	Thailand	0.2
	16 Nov 2023 09:00	Chaiya	Thailand	0.2
	16 Nov 2023 09:00	Ban Nua Nam	Thailand	0.2
	16 Nov 2023 09:00	Kanchanadit	Thailand	0.2
	16 Nov 2023 08:30	Ban Na Klua	Thailand	0.2
	16 Nov 2023 12:00	Rasalpur	India	0.2
	16 Nov 2023 08:00	Ban Tha Krachai	Thailand	0.2
	16 Nov 2023 09:00	Ban Pak Nam Tha Thong	Thailand	0.1
	16 Nov 2023 07:45	Ban Lum Phawa	Thailand	0.1
	16 Nov 2023 07:45	Ban Don Thup	Thailand	0.1
	16 Nov 2023 06:15	Ban Don Yuan	Thailand	0.1
	16 Nov 2023 06:15	Ban Na Bo	Thailand	0.1
	16 Nov 2023 06:15	Ban Lak So	Thailand	0.1
	16 Nov 2023 03:00	Vinh Ngai	Vietnam	0.1
	16 Nov 2023 12:00	Phumi Prek Svay	Cambodia	0.1
	16 Nov 2023 12:00	Phumi Ta Tei	Cambodia	0.1
	16 Nov 2023 12:00	Chimeal	Cambodia	0.1
	16 Nov 2023 12:00	Phumi Khsach Sa	Cambodia	0.1
	16 Nov 2023 12:00	Phumi Kandaol	Cambodia	0.1
	16 Nov 2023 12:00	Phumi Ta Ben	Cambodia	0.1
	16 Nov 2023 12:00	Phumi Chrouy Svay	Cambodia	0.1
	16 Nov 2023 11:15	Kabingyaung	Myanmar	0.1
	16 Nov 2023 11:15	Mayanchaung	Myanmar	0.1
	16 Nov 2023 11:15	Mergui	Myanmar	0.1
	16 Nov 2023 11:15	Kanbyin	Myanmar	0.1
	16 Nov 2023 11:15	Kyaukpya	Myanmar	0.1
	16 Nov 2023 12:00	Hukitala	India	0.1
	16 Nov 2023 12:00	Satabhaya	India	0.1
	16 Nov 2023 10:00	Hua Sai	Thailand	0.1
	16 Nov 2023 10:00	Ban Bang Chak	Thailand	0.1
	16 Nov 2023 10:00	Ban Map Bua	Thailand	0.1
	16 Nov 2023 12:00	Nizampatam	India	0.1
	16 Nov 2023 06:30	Ban Huai Kruat	Thailand	0.1
	16 Nov 2023 06:30	Ban Bang Man	Thailand	0.1
	16 Nov 2023 09:30	Vishakhapatnam	India	0.1
	16 Nov 2023 09:30	Chittivalasa	India	0.1
	16 Nov 2023 09:30	Bhimunipatnam	India	0.1
	16 Nov 2023 09:30	Konada	India	0.1
	16 Nov 2023 08:45	Ban Phang Mai Phai	Thailand	0.1
	16 Nov 2023 08:45	Sathing Phra	Thailand	0.1
	16 Nov 2023 08:45	Ban Bo Daeng	Thailand	0.1
	16 Nov 2023 03:15	Tien Yen	Vietnam	0.1
	16 Nov 2023 07:45	Pak Phanang	Thailand	0.1
	16 Nov 2023 07:45	Ban Ban Kong Khong	Thailand	0.1
	16 Nov 2023 09:00	Ban Na Thong	Thailand	0.1
	16 Nov 2023 09:00	Ban Sam Bo	Thailand	0.1
	16 Nov 2023 09:00	Kelambakkam	India	0.1
	16 Nov 2023 02:45	Chakicherla	India	0.1
	16 Nov 2023 02:45	Ullapalem	India	0.1
	16 Nov 2023 06:30	Ban Khlong Rang	Thailand	0.1
	16 Nov 2023 06:30	Ban Hin Sam Kon	Thailand	0.1
	16 Nov 2023 12:00	Medaw	Myanmar	0.1
	16 Nov 2023 12:00	Tawbya	Myanmar	0.1
	16 Nov 2023 12:00	Leiktaung	Myanmar	0.1
	16 Nov 2023 12:00	Awebindat	Myanmar	0.1
	16 Nov 2023 02:00	Srikurman	India	0.1
	16 Nov 2023 02:00	Kalingapatnam	India	0.1
	16 Nov 2023 05:45	Ban Hat Sai Ri	Thailand	0.1
	16 Nov 2023 05:45	Ban Choeng Kra	Thailand	0.1
	16 Nov 2023 05:45	Ban Thong Tanot	Thailand	0.1
	16 Nov 2023 05:45	Ban Don Yang	Thailand	0.1
	16 Nov 2023 05:45	Ban Pak Nam	Thailand	0.1
	16 Nov 2023 05:45	Ban Hua Krut	Thailand	0.1
	16 Nov 2023 07:15	Ban Khao Pak Khot	Thailand	0.1
	16 Nov 2023 07:15	Ban Pak Nakhon	Thailand	0.1
	16 Nov 2023 12:00	Thedangyi	Myanmar	0.1
	16 Nov 2023 07:00	Ban Talat Bang Not	Thailand	0.1
	16 Nov 2023 07:00	Amphoe Khanom	Thailand	0.1
	16 Nov 2023 07:00	Ko Samui	Thailand	0.1
	16 Nov 2023 05:45	Ban Bang Trong	Thailand	0.1
	16 Nov 2023 12:00	Sidongyaung	Myanmar	0.1
	16 Nov 2023 12:00	Thechaung	Myanmar	0.1
	16 Nov 2023 12:00	Kanmaw	Myanmar	0.1
	16 Nov 2023 12:00	Bemagyauk Ywa	Myanmar	0.1
	16 Nov 2023 12:00	Mawgaungdon Ywa	Myanmar	0.1
	16 Nov 2023 07:00	Ban Rai	Thailand	0.1
	16 Nov 2023 07:00	Ban Tha Sala	Thailand	0.1
	16 Nov 2023 06:30	Ban Theprat	Thailand	0.1
	16 Nov 2023 06:30	Ban Sa Kaeo	Thailand	0.1
	16 Nov 2023 11:45	Kottapalem	India	0.1
	16 Nov 2023 05:45	Ban Chom Phibun	Thailand	0.1
	16 Nov 2023 05:45	Ban Ton Liang	Thailand	0.1
	16 Nov 2023 05:45	Ban Sichon	Thailand	0.1
	16 Nov 2023 02:30	Vatturupallepalem	India	0.1
	16 Nov 2023 02:30	Govundlapalem	India	0.1
	16 Nov 2023 06:30	Ban Laem Din	Thailand	0.1
	16 Nov 2023 11:30	Chandipur	India	0.1
	16 Nov 2023 11:15	Kyauktwin	Myanmar	0.1
	16 Nov 2023 11:15	Thayetchaung	Myanmar	0.1
	16 Nov 2023 11:15	Pyinbyugyi	Myanmar	0.1
	16 Nov 2023 08:30	An Thoi	Vietnam	0.1
	16 Nov 2023 08:30	Ap Ca Coi	Vietnam	0.1
	16 Nov 2023 06:00	Ban Le	Thailand	0.1
	16 Nov 2023 12:00	Antong Sar	Cambodia	0.1
	16 Nov 2023 06:00	Ban Plai Laem	Thailand	0.1
	16 Nov 2023 11:00	Naupada	India	0.1
	16 Nov 2023 12:00	Ban Chamuang	Thailand	0.1
	16 Nov 2023 12:00	Ban Faeng Daeng	Thailand	0.1
	16 Nov 2023 12:00	Amphoe Bang Saphan	Thailand	0.1
	16 Nov 2023 12:00	Ban Na Phak Khuang	Thailand	0.1
	16 Nov 2023 10:00	Ban Bang Bao	Thailand	0.1
	16 Nov 2023 10:00	Dan Kao	Thailand	0.1
	16 Nov 2023 10:00	Ban Wai Chaek	Thailand	0.1
	16 Nov 2023 10:00	Ban Laem Thong Lang	Thailand	0.1
	16 Nov 2023 10:00	Ban Chek Bae	Thailand	0.1
	16 Nov 2023 10:00	Laem Ngop	Thailand	0.1
	16 Nov 2023 10:00	Ban Nong Khan Song	Thailand	0.1
	16 Nov 2023 10:00	Ban Pak Khlong Bang Phra	Thailand	0.1
	16 Nov 2023 10:00	Ban Laem Hin	Thailand	0.1
	16 Nov 2023 10:00	Ban Ao Cho	Thailand	0.1
	16 Nov 2023 10:00	Ban Pak Khlong Tha Luan	Thailand	0.1
	16 Nov 2023 10:00	Ban Takang	Thailand	0.1
	16 Nov 2023 07:45	Ban Pak Chuk	Thailand	0.1
	16 Nov 2023 07:45	Ban Ao Luk Tum	Thailand	0.1
	16 Nov 2023 07:45	Ban Ko Haa	Thailand	0.1
	16 Nov 2023 07:45	Ko Ra I	Thailand	0.1
	16 Nov 2023 07:45	Ban Chi Boi	Thailand	0.1
	16 Nov 2023 07:45	Ban Kok Ko	Thailand	0.1
	16 Nov 2023 07:45	Khura Buri	Thailand	0.1
	16 Nov 2023 07:45	Ban Kam Phuam	Thailand	0.1
	16 Nov 2023 07:30	Lankavanidibba	India	0.1
	16 Nov 2023 10:30	Peam Kay	Cambodia	0.1
	16 Nov 2023 10:30	Kaoh Rong	Cambodia	0.1
	16 Nov 2023 11:00	Kye	Myanmar	0.1
	16 Nov 2023 10:45	Ban Bang Rapha	Thailand	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.