Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for NORU-22
in Viet Nam, Laos, Philippines
27 Sep 2022 12 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone NORU-22 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries Vietnam, Laos, Thailand
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 202 km/h
Maximum storm surge
Vulnerability High (Vietnam)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 202 km/h n.a. 259 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 284 km/h 1.5 m 933 mm 2.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 27 Sep 2022 12:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormVietnam, Laos, Thailand1,254,066
+
Vietnam348 
Laos304,411 
Thailand949,306 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 22 Sep 2022 00:00 32 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 22 Sep 2022 06:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 22 Sep 2022 12:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 22 Sep 2022 18:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 23 Sep 2022 00:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 23 Sep 2022 06:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 23 Sep 2022 12:00 104 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 23 Sep 2022 18:00 119 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 24 Sep 2022 00:00 108 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 24 Sep 2022 06:00 137 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 24 Sep 2022 12:00 194 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 24 Sep 2022 18:00 284 -
- - - - - Philippines
ORANGE 13 25 Sep 2022 00:00 256 30 thousand
- - Philippines
RED 14 25 Sep 2022 06:00 238 160 thousand
- Philippines
RED 15 25 Sep 2022 12:00 220 920 thousand
- Philippines
RED 16 25 Sep 2022 18:00 184 300 thousand
- - - Philippines
GREEN 17 26 Sep 2022 00:00 155 -
- - - - - Philippines
GREEN 18 26 Sep 2022 06:00 180 - - - - - - -
GREEN 19 26 Sep 2022 12:00 180 -
- - - - - Paracel Islands
GREEN 20 26 Sep 2022 18:00 184 Few people
-
- - - China, Paracel Islands
GREEN 21 27 Sep 2022 00:00 238 Few people
-
- - Paracel Islands, Vietnam
GREEN 22 27 Sep 2022 06:00 230 Few people
- -
- - Vietnam, Paracel Islands
GREEN 23 27 Sep 2022 12:00 202 1.4 million
- - - Vietnam, China, Laos, Paracel Islands
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall

933 mm

Up to 3.6 million can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 27 Sep 2022 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
500-750 mmLaos, Vietnam17,622
+
Laos2,829 
Vietnam14,793 
250-500 mmVietnam, Laos, Thailand253,400
+
Laos22,300 
Vietnam228,722 
Thailand2,377 
100-250 mmLaos, Vietnam, Thailand, Myanmar, Cambodia3,300,601
+
Laos284,228 
Vietnam1,537,805 
Thailand1,292,936 
Myanmar129,323 
Cambodia56,308 
50-100 mmLaos, Vietnam, Thailand, Myanmar, Cambodia12,435,500
+
Laos584,923 
Vietnam2,730,505 
Thailand8,448,649 
Myanmar447,076 
Cambodia224,345 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 22 Sep 2022 00:00 26 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 22 Sep 2022 06:00 73 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 22 Sep 2022 12:00 92 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 22 Sep 2022 18:00 47 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 23 Sep 2022 00:00 118 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 23 Sep 2022 06:00 195 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 23 Sep 2022 12:00 269 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 23 Sep 2022 18:00 334 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 24 Sep 2022 00:00 277 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 24 Sep 2022 06:00 187 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 24 Sep 2022 12:00 240 -
- - - - - Philippines
Blue 12 24 Sep 2022 18:00 467 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 25 Sep 2022 00:00 484 4 thousand
- - - - Philippines
Blue 14 25 Sep 2022 06:00 396 540 thousand
- - - Philippines
Blue 15 25 Sep 2022 12:00 318 9.2 million
- - - Philippines
Blue 16 25 Sep 2022 18:00 265 50 thousand
- - - - Philippines
Blue 17 26 Sep 2022 00:00 194 -
- - - - - Philippines
Blue 18 26 Sep 2022 06:00 255 - - - - - - -
Blue 19 26 Sep 2022 12:00 170 - - - - - - -
Blue 20 26 Sep 2022 18:00 204 -
- - - - - Paracel Islands
Blue 21 27 Sep 2022 00:00 296 -
- - - - - China
Blue 22 27 Sep 2022 06:00 370 Few people
- - - - China, Vietnam, Laos
Blue 23 27 Sep 2022 12:00 931 16.7 million
- Vietnam, Laos, China, Thailand, Cambodia




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

No locations affected by storm surge > 10 cm

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 27 Sep 2022 12:00 UTC
    

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