Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for BLAS-22
in Mexico
21 Jun 2022 00 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone BLAS-22 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries United States
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 50 km/h
Maximum storm surge
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 50 km/h n.a. 171 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 162 km/h 0.5 m 882 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

162 km/h

Up to 5 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 21 Jun 2022 00:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormUnited States5,460 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 14 Jun 2022 06:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 14 Jun 2022 12:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 14 Jun 2022 18:00 86 -
- - - - - United States, Mexico
GREEN 4 15 Jun 2022 00:00 112 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 15 Jun 2022 06:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 15 Jun 2022 12:00 112 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 15 Jun 2022 18:00 119 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 16 Jun 2022 00:00 130 -
- - - - - United States
GREEN 9 16 Jun 2022 06:00 122 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 16 Jun 2022 12:00 137 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 16 Jun 2022 18:00 144 -
- - - - - United States
GREEN 12 17 Jun 2022 00:00 162 -
- - - - - United States
GREEN 13 17 Jun 2022 06:00 158 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 17 Jun 2022 12:00 151 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 17 Jun 2022 18:00 122 - - - - - - -
GREEN 16 18 Jun 2022 00:00 115 -
- - - - - United States
GREEN 17 18 Jun 2022 06:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 18 18 Jun 2022 12:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 19 18 Jun 2022 18:00 72 -
- - - - - Mexico
GREEN 20 19 Jun 2022 00:00 72 -
- - - - - United States
GREEN 21 19 Jun 2022 06:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 22 19 Jun 2022 12:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 23 19 Jun 2022 18:00 68 -
- - - - - Mexico
GREEN 24 20 Jun 2022 00:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 25 20 Jun 2022 06:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 26 20 Jun 2022 12:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 27 20 Jun 2022 18:00 50 - - - - - - -
GREEN 28 21 Jun 2022 00:00 86 -
- - - - - United States
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 21 Jun 2022 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmMexico3,401,958 
50-100 mmUnited States, Mexico, Guatemala5,908,580
+
United States158 
Mexico4,844,640 
Guatemala1,063,781 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 14 Jun 2022 06:00 208 Few people
- - - - Nicaragua
Blue 2 14 Jun 2022 12:00 118 -
- - - - - El Salvador
Blue 3 14 Jun 2022 18:00 84 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 15 Jun 2022 00:00 147 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 5 15 Jun 2022 06:00 133 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 6 15 Jun 2022 12:00 180 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 15 Jun 2022 18:00 214 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 16 Jun 2022 00:00 221 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 9 16 Jun 2022 06:00 203 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 10 16 Jun 2022 12:00 165 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 16 Jun 2022 18:00 158 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 17 Jun 2022 00:00 212 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 17 Jun 2022 06:00 243 - - - - - - -
Blue 14 17 Jun 2022 12:00 138 - - - - - - -
Blue 15 17 Jun 2022 18:00 172 - - - - - - -
Blue 16 18 Jun 2022 00:00 202 - - - - - - -
Blue 17 18 Jun 2022 06:00 138 - - - - - - -
Blue 18 18 Jun 2022 12:00 87 - - - - - - -
Blue 19 18 Jun 2022 18:00 45 - - - - - - -
Blue 20 19 Jun 2022 00:00 98 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 21 19 Jun 2022 06:00 96 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 22 19 Jun 2022 12:00 98 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 23 19 Jun 2022 18:00 98 -
- - - - - Mexico, Guatemala
Blue 24 20 Jun 2022 00:00 69 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 25 20 Jun 2022 06:00 49 - - - - - - -
Blue 26 20 Jun 2022 12:00 119 - - - - - - -
Blue 27 20 Jun 2022 18:00 78 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 28 21 Jun 2022 00:00 868 2.5 million
- - - - United States, Mexico, Belize, Guatemala, Honduras, El Salvador, Nicaragua




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

No locations affected by storm surge > 10 cm

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 21 Jun 2022 00:00 UTC
    

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