Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for TERATAI-21
Off-shore
02 Dec 2021 12 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone TERATAI-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 58 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (02 Dec 13:30 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 58 km/h 0.2 m 168 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 79 km/h 0.2 m 542 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

79 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 02 Dec 2021 12:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 30 Nov 2021 12:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 01 Dec 2021 00:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 01 Dec 2021 12:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 02 Dec 2021 00:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 02 Dec 2021 12:00 58 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 02 Dec 2021 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmIndonesia573,870 
50-100 mmIndonesia, Christmas Island17,610,697
+
Indonesia17,608,388 
Christmas Island2,308 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 30 Nov 2021 12:00 340 60 thousand
- - - - Indonesia
Blue 2 01 Dec 2021 00:00 225 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 01 Dec 2021 12:00 94 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 02 Dec 2021 00:00 50 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 02 Dec 2021 12:00 246 570 thousand
- - - - Indonesia, Christmas Island




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Indramaju, Indonesia. This height is estimated for 02 Dec 2021 13:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 02 Dec 2021 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
02 Dec 2021 13:30 Indramaju Indonesia  0.2
02 Dec 2021 13:30 Karangampel Indonesia  0.2
02 Dec 2021 18:45 Cilancang Indonesia  0.2
02 Dec 2021 18:45 Cirebon Indonesia  0.2
02 Dec 2021 18:45 Losan Indonesia  0.2
02 Dec 2021 21:45 Ketapang Indonesia  0.2
02 Dec 2021 21:45 Kramat Indonesia  0.2
02 Dec 2021 21:45 Cengkarengbelakang Indonesia  0.2
02 Dec 2021 15:30 Sidja Indonesia  0.2
02 Dec 2021 17:30 Klampok Indonesia  0.2
02 Dec 2021 17:30 Tegal Indonesia  0.2
02 Dec 2021 17:30 Wanasari Indonesia  0.2
02 Dec 2021 15:15 Pekalongan Indonesia  0.2
02 Dec 2021 21:45 Tipar Indonesia  0.2
02 Dec 2021 21:45 Balubuk Indonesia  0.2
02 Dec 2021 20:45 Pasirputih Indonesia  0.2
02 Dec 2021 20:45 Muaratjilamaja Indonesia  0.2
02 Dec 2021 22:45 Maringgai Indonesia  0.2
03 Dec 2021 00:00 Domas Indonesia  0.1
02 Dec 2021 20:30 Pedes Indonesia  0.1
02 Dec 2021 20:30 Sungaibuntu Indonesia  0.1
02 Dec 2021 15:15 Petaroekan Indonesia  0.1
02 Dec 2021 15:15 Sigedang Indonesia  0.1
02 Dec 2021 21:15 Tanara Indonesia  0.1
03 Dec 2021 00:00 Bulakamba Indonesia  0.1
02 Dec 2021 20:00 Pemalang Indonesia  0.1
02 Dec 2021 18:15 Patrol Indonesia  0.1
02 Dec 2021 18:15 Kandanghaur Indonesia  0.1
02 Dec 2021 18:15 Cangkring Indonesia  0.1
02 Dec 2021 23:30 Guring Indonesia  0.1
02 Dec 2021 23:30 Kota Agung Indonesia  0.1
02 Dec 2021 12:30 Babakancibeber Indonesia  0.1
02 Dec 2021 12:30 Kolitjaah Indonesia  0.1
02 Dec 2021 12:30 Tjiteureup Indonesia  0.1
02 Dec 2021 12:30 Labuhan Indonesia  0.1
02 Dec 2021 12:30 Kaduperasi Indonesia  0.1
02 Dec 2021 15:15 Binangoen Indonesia  0.1
02 Dec 2021 15:15 Ajah Indonesia  0.1
02 Dec 2021 21:00 Kiluan Indonesia  0.1
02 Dec 2021 21:00 Kekatang Indonesia  0.1
02 Dec 2021 21:00 Menango Indonesia  0.1
02 Dec 2021 21:00 Telukbetung Indonesia  0.1
02 Dec 2021 12:00 Petanahan Indonesia  0.1
02 Dec 2021 23:45 Merak Indonesia  0.1
02 Dec 2021 21:45 Karangberak Indonesia  0.1
02 Dec 2021 21:45 Sawangbalak Indonesia  0.1
02 Dec 2021 21:45 Bandjaragung Indonesia  0.1
02 Dec 2021 19:30 Aerdjeruk Indonesia  0.1
02 Dec 2021 19:30 Muarabinuangeun Indonesia  0.1
02 Dec 2021 19:00 Pahanuma Indonesia  0.1
02 Dec 2021 19:00 Belowa Indonesia  0.1
02 Dec 2021 19:00 Taoabi Indonesia  0.1