Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for RICK-21
in Mexico
23 Oct 2021 12 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone RICK-21 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries Mexico
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 137 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (26 Oct 08:30 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 137 km/h 0.3 m 193 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 173 km/h 0.4 m 857 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 23 Oct 2021 12:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormMexico173,864 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 22 Oct 2021 12:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 22 Oct 2021 18:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 23 Oct 2021 00:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 23 Oct 2021 06:00 112 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 23 Oct 2021 12:00 184 -
- - - - - Mexico
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall

857 mm

Up to 2.1 million can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 23 Oct 2021 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
500-750 mmMexico19,765 
250-500 mmMexico1,012,056 
100-250 mmMexico1,071,593 
50-100 mmMexico623,928 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 22 Oct 2021 12:00 224 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 22 Oct 2021 18:00 470 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 23 Oct 2021 00:00 194 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 23 Oct 2021 06:00 254 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 23 Oct 2021 12:00 791 2.1 million
- - Mexico




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Puerto Penasco, Mexico. This height is estimated for 26 Oct 2021 08:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 23 Oct 2021 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
26 Oct 2021 08:30 Puerto Penasco Mexico  0.3
26 Oct 2021 08:15 La Choya Mexico  0.3
25 Oct 2021 06:00 Zihuatanejo Mexico  0.3
26 Oct 2021 08:15 Rancho Bahia Mexico  0.3
25 Oct 2021 09:00 Lagunillas Mexico  0.2
25 Oct 2021 09:00 Barrio Nuevo Mexico  0.2
24 Oct 2021 12:45 Cedar Point United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 12:45 Beach City United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 12:45 Oak Island United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 12:45 Anahuac United States  0.2
25 Oct 2021 09:00 Joluta Mexico  0.2
24 Oct 2021 07:00 Johnson's Bayou United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 07:00 Constance Beach United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 07:00 Peveto Beach United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 07:00 Holly Beach United States  0.2
26 Oct 2021 09:00 Puerto Libertad Mexico  0.2
24 Oct 2021 07:15 Sabine United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 07:15 Sabine Pass United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 12:30 Morgan's Point United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 12:30 Red Bluff United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 12:30 Seabrook United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 12:30 Morgan Point United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 12:30 Baytown United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 12:30 Pelly United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 12:30 Smith Point United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 07:30 Cameron United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 12:30 Webster United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 12:30 Clear Lake City United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 12:30 Nassau Bay United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 12:30 Kilkare United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 12:30 Lakeside United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 12:30 Taylor Lake United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 12:30 La Porte United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 12:30 El Lago United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 12:30 Clear Lake Shores United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 12:30 Kemah United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 12:30 Shoreacres United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 12:30 Bayside Terrace United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 12:30 Todville United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 12:30 Bayview United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 12:30 Bacliff United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 12:30 San Leon United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 08:30 Nadeau United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 08:30 Texas City Junction United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 08:30 Bayou Vista United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 08:30 Texas City United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 08:30 Anderson Ways United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 08:30 Virginia Point United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 08:30 Galveston United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 08:30 Port Bolivar United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 08:30 Fort Travis United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 08:30 Flake United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 08:30 Elmgrove United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 08:00 Crystal Beach United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 08:00 Patton United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 08:00 Bolivar Peninsula United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 08:00 Caplen United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 08:00 Gilchrist United States  0.2
26 Oct 2021 08:30 El Desemboque Mexico  0.2
24 Oct 2021 07:30 High Island United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 08:45 Sixmile United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 08:45 Port Lavaca United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 08:45 Alamo Beach United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 08:45 Point Comfort United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 08:45 Magnolia Beach United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 08:45 Olivia United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 08:45 Weedhaven United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 08:45 Port Alto United States  0.2
26 Oct 2021 09:15 Tecomate Mexico  0.2
26 Oct 2021 09:15 Cabo Tepoca Mexico  0.2
23 Oct 2021 19:45 Cuantla Mexico  0.2
23 Oct 2021 19:45 Cuamecate Mexico  0.2
23 Oct 2021 17:45 La Paz Mexico  0.2
23 Oct 2021 17:45 Rosario Mexico  0.2
25 Oct 2021 08:30 Kenney Lane West Colonia United States  0.2
25 Oct 2021 08:30 Indian Trails Lane Colonia United States  0.2
25 Oct 2021 08:30 Country Acres Colonia United States  0.2
25 Oct 2021 08:30 Country Estates Colonia United States  0.2
25 Oct 2021 08:30 Aransas Pass United States  0.2
25 Oct 2021 08:30 Estes United States  0.2
25 Oct 2021 08:30 Rockport United States  0.2
25 Oct 2021 08:30 Shell Ridge United States  0.2
25 Oct 2021 08:30 Copano Village United States  0.2
25 Oct 2021 08:30 Fulton United States  0.2
25 Oct 2021 08:30 Holiday Beach United States  0.2
25 Oct 2021 08:30 Lamar United States  0.2
23 Oct 2021 17:45 Datilito Mexico  0.2
25 Oct 2021 21:30 El Barril Mexico  0.2
24 Oct 2021 15:15 Buenavista Mexico  0.1
23 Oct 2021 19:45 Novillero Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 08:30 Agua de las Flores Mexico  0.1
23 Oct 2021 22:00 Arista Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 20:45 San Rafael Mexico  0.1
23 Oct 2021 19:15 Pizota Mexico  0.1
23 Oct 2021 19:15 Puerto Vallarta Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 15:30 Solo Dios Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 21:00 Bahia Kino Mexico  0.1
23 Oct 2021 14:15 Costa Rica Mexico  0.1
23 Oct 2021 14:15 Pesqueria Mexico  0.1
23 Oct 2021 14:15 San Dionisio del Mar Mexico  0.1
23 Oct 2021 18:45 Guasimas Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 03:00 Calvario Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 20:45 San Bruno Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 20:45 Mulege Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 05:15 Carancahua United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 05:15 El Campo Club Community United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 05:15 Camp Hulen United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 05:15 Palacios United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 05:15 Collegeport United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 05:15 Simpsonville United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 05:15 Citrus Grove United States  0.1
25 Oct 2021 21:00 Los Dolores Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 08:00 Hoskins United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 08:00 Peterson Landing United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 08:00 Port Morris United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 08:00 Red Fish Cove United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 08:00 Bay Harbor United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 08:00 Sea Isle United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 08:00 Hitchcock United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 08:00 Jamaica Beach United States  0.1
23 Oct 2021 20:30 Toro Mocho Mexico  0.1
23 Oct 2021 21:30 Cachimba Mexico  0.1
23 Oct 2021 23:00 San Francisco del Mar Mexico  0.1
23 Oct 2021 23:00 La Majada Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 09:15 Melchor Ocampo Mexico  0.1
23 Oct 2021 18:30 Empalme Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 08:45 Huajapan Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 08:45 El Roble Mexico  0.1
23 Oct 2021 17:30 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.1
23 Oct 2021 17:30 El Guatamota Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 02:15 Las Pinas Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 02:15 Playa Azul Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 20:45 Tastiota Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 03:00 San Juanico Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 03:00 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 03:00 Buenaventura Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 04:30 Maudlowe United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 04:30 Tivoli United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 04:30 Spanish Village United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 04:30 Austwell United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 04:30 Seadrift United States  0.1
23 Oct 2021 18:00 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.1
23 Oct 2021 18:00 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.1
23 Oct 2021 19:45 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 08:00 Indianola United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 08:00 Port O'Connor United States  0.1
25 Oct 2021 20:00 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 20:00 San Juanico Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 20:30 San Cosme Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 20:30 Santa Marta Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 20:45 San Ignacio Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 20:30 Guaymas Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 21:00 San Jose Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 21:00 Atanacio Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 21:00 El Paredoncito Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 21:00 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 18:00 El Castillo Mexico  0.1
23 Oct 2021 17:45 Madero Amarillo Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 19:30 La Fortuna Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 19:30 El Cardoncito Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 20:30 Borabampo Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 20:45 San Carlos Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 01:15 Coyuquillas Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 02:45 San Blas Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 02:45 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
23 Oct 2021 13:00 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 20:15 Ligui Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 20:15 Tripui Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 19:15 Boca del Rio Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 19:15 La Playa Colorada Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 08:00 Lagarto Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 08:00 Santa Maria Xandani Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 20:45 San Bruno Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 20:45 Loreto Mexico  0.1
23 Oct 2021 18:00 Camahuiroa Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 23:30 Nuxco Mexico  0.1
23 Oct 2021 14:45 La Playa Mexico  0.1
23 Oct 2021 19:45 Cachoana Mexico  0.1
23 Oct 2021 16:15 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
23 Oct 2021 16:15 El Nuevo Mexico  0.1
23 Oct 2021 16:30 La Lima Mexico  0.1
23 Oct 2021 18:00 Las Bocas Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 06:45 San Francisco Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 06:45 Monteon Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 03:00 Jarilla Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 21:00 Topolobampo Mexico  0.1
23 Oct 2021 19:00 La Florida Mexico  0.1
23 Oct 2021 19:00 San Carlos Mexico  0.1
23 Oct 2021 18:00 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.1