Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for RICK-21
in Mexico
22 Oct 2021 12 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone RICK-21 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries Mexico
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 72 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (25 Oct 12:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 72 km/h 0.3 m 224 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 173 km/h 0.4 m 857 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

173 km/h

Up to 250 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 22 Oct 2021 12:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormMexico248,814 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 22 Oct 2021 12:00 184 -
- - - - - Mexico
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 22 Oct 2021 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
750-1000 mmMexico06 
500-750 mmMexico52,108 
250-500 mmMexico605,299 
100-250 mmMexico829,048 
50-100 mmMexico529,132 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 22 Oct 2021 12:00 887 1.5 million
- Mexico




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Las Pinas, Mexico. This height is estimated for 25 Oct 2021 12:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 22 Oct 2021 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
25 Oct 2021 12:00 Las Pinas Mexico  0.3
25 Oct 2021 12:00 Playa Azul Mexico  0.3
25 Oct 2021 12:00 Chula Mexico  0.3
25 Oct 2021 09:00 Melchor Ocampo Mexico  0.3
24 Oct 2021 11:45 Cedar Point United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 11:45 Beach City United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 11:45 Oak Island United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 11:45 Anahuac United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 11:15 Morgan's Point United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 11:15 Red Bluff United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 11:15 Seabrook United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 11:15 Morgan Point United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 11:15 Baytown United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 11:15 Pelly United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 11:15 Smith Point United States  0.2
25 Oct 2021 12:00 Calla de Campos Mexico  0.2
24 Oct 2021 11:45 Webster United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 11:45 Clear Lake City United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 11:45 Nassau Bay United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 11:45 Kilkare United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 11:45 Lakeside United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 11:45 Taylor Lake United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 11:45 La Porte United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 11:45 El Lago United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 11:45 Clear Lake Shores United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 11:45 Kemah United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 11:45 Shoreacres United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 11:45 Bayside Terrace United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 11:45 Todville United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 11:45 Bayview United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 11:45 Bacliff United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 11:45 San Leon United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 07:30 Johnson's Bayou United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 07:30 Constance Beach United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 07:30 Peveto Beach United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 07:30 Holly Beach United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 07:45 Cameron United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 07:15 Sabine United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 07:15 Sabine Pass United States  0.2
25 Oct 2021 08:30 La Choya Mexico  0.2
25 Oct 2021 08:30 Puerto Penasco Mexico  0.2
24 Oct 2021 10:15 Sixmile United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 10:15 Port Lavaca United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 10:15 Alamo Beach United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 10:15 Point Comfort United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 10:15 Magnolia Beach United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 10:15 Olivia United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 10:15 Weedhaven United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 10:15 Port Alto United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 07:45 Port Bolivar United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 07:45 Fort Travis United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 07:45 Flake United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 07:45 Elmgrove United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 07:45 Crystal Beach United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 07:45 Patton United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 07:45 Bolivar Peninsula United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 07:45 Caplen United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 07:45 Gilchrist United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 07:30 High Island United States  0.2
25 Oct 2021 08:30 Rancho Bahia Mexico  0.2
24 Oct 2021 09:45 Nadeau United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 09:45 Texas City Junction United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 09:45 Bayou Vista United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 09:45 Texas City United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 08:15 Anderson Ways United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 08:15 Virginia Point United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 08:15 Galveston United States  0.2
25 Oct 2021 08:45 Kenney Lane West Colonia United States  0.2
25 Oct 2021 08:45 Indian Trails Lane Colonia United States  0.2
25 Oct 2021 08:45 Country Acres Colonia United States  0.2
25 Oct 2021 08:45 Country Estates Colonia United States  0.2
25 Oct 2021 08:45 Aransas Pass United States  0.2
25 Oct 2021 08:45 Estes United States  0.2
25 Oct 2021 08:45 Rockport United States  0.2
25 Oct 2021 08:45 Shell Ridge United States  0.2
25 Oct 2021 08:45 Copano Village United States  0.2
25 Oct 2021 08:45 Fulton United States  0.2
25 Oct 2021 08:45 Holiday Beach United States  0.2
25 Oct 2021 08:45 Lamar United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 05:45 Carancahua United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 05:45 El Campo Club Community United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 05:45 Camp Hulen United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 05:45 Palacios United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 05:45 Collegeport United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 05:45 Simpsonville United States  0.2
24 Oct 2021 05:45 Citrus Grove United States  0.2
25 Oct 2021 09:15 Joluta Mexico  0.2
25 Oct 2021 08:45 Puerto Libertad Mexico  0.2
23 Oct 2021 20:00 Novillero Mexico  0.1
23 Oct 2021 20:00 Cuantla Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2021 21:15 La Playa Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2021 20:45 La Paz Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2021 20:45 Rosario Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 07:15 Hoskins United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 07:15 Peterson Landing United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 07:15 Port Morris United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 07:15 Red Fish Cove United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 07:15 Bay Harbor United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 07:15 Sea Isle United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 07:15 Hitchcock United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 07:15 Jamaica Beach United States  0.1
25 Oct 2021 08:15 El Desemboque Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 09:15 Indianola United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 09:15 Port O'Connor United States  0.1
25 Oct 2021 12:00 Las Trojitas Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 08:30 Cabo Tepoca Mexico  0.1
23 Oct 2021 02:45 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2021 20:45 Datilito Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 08:15 Tecomate Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 04:45 Maudlowe United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 04:45 Tivoli United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 04:45 Spanish Village United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 04:45 Austwell United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 04:45 Seadrift United States  0.1
23 Oct 2021 19:45 Cuamecate Mexico  0.1
23 Oct 2021 03:00 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
23 Oct 2021 03:15 Cachoana Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2021 16:45 Buenaventura Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2021 16:45 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.1
25 Oct 2021 08:45 Agua de las Flores Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2021 20:30 Las Barrillas Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2021 20:30 Coatzacoalcos Mexico  0.1
23 Oct 2021 03:00 El Nuevo Mexico  0.1
23 Oct 2021 03:00 El Castillo Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2021 16:45 San Juanico Mexico  0.1
22 Oct 2021 16:45 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 06:00 Corpus Christi United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 06:00 North Beach United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 06:00 Gardendale United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 06:00 Doyle United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 06:00 Orange Grove United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 06:00 Peary Place United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 06:00 Portland United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 06:00 Flour Bluff United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 06:00 Caruthers Cove Colonia United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 06:00 Ingleside United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 06:00 Port Ingleside United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 04:45 Gregory United States  0.1
25 Oct 2021 09:15 Lagunillas Mexico  0.1
24 Oct 2021 03:30 Mustang Beach United States  0.1
24 Oct 2021 03:30 Port Aransas United States  0.1