Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for NAMTHEUN-21
Off-shore
12 Oct 2021 18 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone NAMTHEUN-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries Japan
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 79 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.4 m (14 Oct 07:45 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 79 km/h 0.4 m 195 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 108 km/h 0.5 m 613 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

108 km/h

Up to Few people can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 12 Oct 2021 18:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormJapan172 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 10 Oct 2021 00:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 10 Oct 2021 06:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 10 Oct 2021 12:00 108 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 10 Oct 2021 18:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 11 Oct 2021 00:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 11 Oct 2021 06:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 11 Oct 2021 12:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 11 Oct 2021 18:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 12 Oct 2021 00:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 12 Oct 2021 06:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 12 Oct 2021 12:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 12 Oct 2021 18:00 119 -
- - - - - Japan
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 12 Oct 2021 18:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmJapan42 
50-100 mmJapan130 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 10 Oct 2021 00:00 267 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 10 Oct 2021 06:00 158 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 10 Oct 2021 12:00 197 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 10 Oct 2021 18:00 219 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 11 Oct 2021 00:00 330 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 11 Oct 2021 06:00 486 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 11 Oct 2021 12:00 148 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 11 Oct 2021 18:00 227 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 12 Oct 2021 00:00 203 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 12 Oct 2021 06:00 172 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 12 Oct 2021 12:00 241 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 12 Oct 2021 18:00 1281 Few people
- - - - Japan




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.4m in Watari, Japan. This height is estimated for 14 Oct 2021 07:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 12 Oct 2021 18:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
14 Oct 2021 07:45 Watari Japan  0.4
14 Oct 2021 07:45 Hayakawa Japan  0.4
14 Oct 2021 07:45 Yamashita Japan  0.4
14 Oct 2021 07:45 Yokoyama Japan  0.4
14 Oct 2021 07:45 Shibamachi Japan  0.4
14 Oct 2021 07:45 Warabi Japan  0.4
14 Oct 2021 07:45 Kaikomba Japan  0.4
14 Oct 2021 07:45 Shimo-Masuda Japan  0.4
14 Oct 2021 07:45 Sangenchaya Japan  0.4
14 Oct 2021 07:45 Kasano Japan  0.4
14 Oct 2021 07:45 Sakamoto Japan  0.4
14 Oct 2021 07:45 Hanagama Japan  0.4
14 Oct 2021 07:45 Arahama Japan  0.4
14 Oct 2021 07:45 Kabasaki Japan  0.4
14 Oct 2021 07:45 Ninokura Japan  0.4
14 Oct 2021 07:45 Ainokama Japan  0.4
14 Oct 2021 07:45 Kita-Kama Japan  0.4
14 Oct 2021 07:45 Fujitsuka Japan  0.4
14 Oct 2021 07:45 Ido Japan  0.4
14 Oct 2021 07:45 Fukanuma Japan  0.4
14 Oct 2021 07:30 Tago Japan  0.4
14 Oct 2021 07:30 Niida Japan  0.4
14 Oct 2021 07:30 Shinhama Japan  0.4
14 Oct 2021 07:30 Wada-Shinden Japan  0.4
14 Oct 2021 07:30 Gamo Japan  0.4
14 Oct 2021 07:30 Shiogama Japan  0.4
14 Oct 2021 07:30 Shobudahama Japan  0.4
14 Oct 2021 07:30 Umenomiya-Jutaku Japan  0.4
14 Oct 2021 07:30 Schiogama Japan  0.4
14 Oct 2021 07:30 Uenodai Japan  0.4
14 Oct 2021 07:30 Tsukihama Japan  0.4
14 Oct 2021 07:30 Takaki Japan  0.4
14 Oct 2021 07:30 Ono Japan  0.4
14 Oct 2021 07:30 Takagi Japan  0.4
14 Oct 2021 07:30 Hamaichi Japan  0.4
13 Oct 2021 23:45 Nagasuna Japan  0.4
13 Oct 2021 23:45 Shirane Japan  0.4
13 Oct 2021 23:45 Toyooka Japan  0.4
13 Oct 2021 23:45 Kuji Japan  0.4
13 Oct 2021 23:45 Nakaminato Japan  0.4
13 Oct 2021 23:45 Narusawa Japan  0.4
13 Oct 2021 23:45 Mizuki Japan  0.4
13 Oct 2021 23:45 Moto-Kawarago Japan  0.4
13 Oct 2021 23:45 Hitachi Japan  0.4
13 Oct 2021 23:45 Ogitsu Japan  0.4
13 Oct 2021 23:45 Tajirihama Japan  0.4
12 Oct 2021 22:00 Komagamine Japan  0.4
12 Oct 2021 22:00 Iso Japan  0.4
12 Oct 2021 22:00 Nakumura Japan  0.4
12 Oct 2021 22:00 Tsurishi Japan  0.4
12 Oct 2021 22:00 Tachiya Japan  0.4
12 Oct 2021 22:00 Haragama Japan  0.4
12 Oct 2021 22:00 Kashima Japan  0.4
12 Oct 2021 22:00 Umekawa Japan  0.4
12 Oct 2021 22:00 Takahira Japan  0.4
12 Oct 2021 22:00 Isobe Japan  0.4
12 Oct 2021 22:00 Minami-Ibi Japan  0.4
14 Oct 2021 07:45 Ishinomaki Japan  0.3
14 Oct 2021 07:45 Moto-Funaba Japan  0.3
14 Oct 2021 07:45 Inai Japan  0.3
14 Oct 2021 07:45 Watanoha Japan  0.3
14 Oct 2021 07:45 Kotake Japan  0.3
14 Oct 2021 16:00 Nitoda Japan  0.3
14 Oct 2021 16:00 Odomari Japan  0.3
14 Oct 2021 16:00 Kitsunezaki Japan  0.3
14 Oct 2021 16:00 Takenohama Japan  0.3
14 Oct 2021 16:00 Onagawahama Japan  0.3
14 Oct 2021 16:00 Fukkiura Japan  0.3
14 Oct 2021 16:30 Tomobe Japan  0.3
14 Oct 2021 16:30 Kawaziri Japan  0.3
14 Oct 2021 16:30 Kawajiri Japan  0.3
14 Oct 2021 16:30 Kitakubo Japan  0.3
14 Oct 2021 16:30 Hama Japan  0.3
14 Oct 2021 16:30 Ono-Yasashi Japan  0.3
12 Oct 2021 21:45 Naraha Japan  0.3
12 Oct 2021 21:45 Odaka Japan  0.3
12 Oct 2021 21:45 Namie Japan  0.3
12 Oct 2021 21:45 Bogoya Japan  0.3
12 Oct 2021 21:45 Kami-Shigeoka Japan  0.3
12 Oct 2021 21:45 Ide Japan  0.3
12 Oct 2021 21:45 Tomioka Japan  0.3
12 Oct 2021 21:45 Futaba Japan  0.3
12 Oct 2021 21:45 Onaba Japan  0.3
12 Oct 2021 21:45 Kiyohashi Japan  0.3
12 Oct 2021 21:45 Oragahama Japan  0.3
14 Oct 2021 16:30 Aratame Japan  0.3
14 Oct 2021 16:30 Omori Japan  0.3
14 Oct 2021 16:30 Arayashik Japan  0.3
14 Oct 2021 16:30 Yotsukura Japan  0.3
14 Oct 2021 16:30 Kami-Asamigawa Japan  0.3
14 Oct 2021 16:30 Shimo-Kitabo Japan  0.3
12 Oct 2021 21:45 Hokota Japan  0.3
12 Oct 2021 21:45 Noda Japan  0.3
12 Oct 2021 21:45 Katsuori Japan  0.3
12 Oct 2021 21:45 Taiyo Japan  0.3
12 Oct 2021 21:45 Otake Japan  0.3
12 Oct 2021 21:45 Dainigorisawa Japan  0.3
12 Oct 2021 21:45 Muyokama Japan  0.3
12 Oct 2021 21:45 Omi Japan  0.3
12 Oct 2021 21:45 Kyochikama Japan  0.3
12 Oct 2021 21:45 Hamatsuga Japan  0.3
12 Oct 2021 21:45 Aotsuka Japan  0.3
12 Oct 2021 21:45 Kyuchu Japan  0.3
12 Oct 2021 21:45 Kashima Japan  0.3
12 Oct 2021 21:45 Koya Japan  0.3
14 Oct 2021 00:15 Kayahama Japan  0.3
14 Oct 2021 16:15 Koamikura Japan  0.3
14 Oct 2021 16:15 Ikenohama Japan  0.3
14 Oct 2021 16:15 Aji Japan  0.3
14 Oct 2021 16:15 Kobuchi Japan  0.3
14 Oct 2021 16:15 Ommaehama Japan  0.3
14 Oct 2021 16:15 Oharahama Japan  0.3
14 Oct 2021 16:15 Yagawa Japan  0.3
14 Oct 2021 16:15 Samenoura Japan  0.3
14 Oct 2021 16:15 Kukunari Japan  0.3
14 Oct 2021 16:15 Futawatashi Japan  0.3
14 Oct 2021 16:15 Ayukawahama Japan  0.3
14 Oct 2021 16:15 Oshika Japan  0.3
14 Oct 2021 16:15 Tatsuhama Japan  0.3
14 Oct 2021 07:30 Tomari Japan  0.3
14 Oct 2021 07:30 Izushima Japan  0.3
14 Oct 2021 07:30 Kuwahama Japan  0.3
14 Oct 2021 07:30 Yoriiso Japan  0.3
14 Oct 2021 07:30 Niiyama Japan  0.3
14 Oct 2021 07:30 Terama Japan  0.3
12 Oct 2021 22:15 Asahi Yokaichiba Japan  0.3
12 Oct 2021 22:15 Yatabe Japan  0.3
12 Oct 2021 22:15 Choshi Japan  0.3
14 Oct 2021 16:45 Kisara Japan  0.3
14 Oct 2021 16:45 Isohara Japan  0.3
14 Oct 2021 16:45 Yunami Japan  0.3
14 Oct 2021 16:45 Shuku Japan  0.3
14 Oct 2021 16:45 Kubota Japan  0.3
14 Oct 2021 16:45 Ueda Japan  0.3
14 Oct 2021 16:45 Terashita Japan  0.3
14 Oct 2021 16:45 Hirakata Japan  0.3
14 Oct 2021 16:45 Soeno Japan  0.3
14 Oct 2021 16:45 Tanebe Japan  0.3
14 Oct 2021 16:45 Obama Japan  0.3
14 Oct 2021 16:45 Onahama Japan  0.3
14 Oct 2021 16:45 Sumiyoshi Japan  0.3
14 Oct 2021 16:45 Ohahama Japan  0.3
14 Oct 2021 16:45 Ena Japan  0.3
14 Oct 2021 16:45 Shimo-Takaku Japan  0.3
14 Oct 2021 16:45 Toyoma Japan  0.3
12 Oct 2021 21:30 Aramachi Japan  0.3
12 Oct 2021 21:30 Oritate Japan  0.3
12 Oct 2021 21:30 Shizugawa Japan  0.3
12 Oct 2021 21:30 Tsukihama Japan  0.3
12 Oct 2021 21:30 Ogatsu Japan  0.3
12 Oct 2021 21:30 Aratohama Japan  0.3
12 Oct 2021 21:30 Aikawa Japan  0.3
12 Oct 2021 21:30 Funagoshi Japan  0.3
12 Oct 2021 21:30 Terahama Japan  0.3
12 Oct 2021 21:30 Ohama Japan  0.3
12 Oct 2021 21:30 Ozashi Japan  0.3
12 Oct 2021 21:30 Kodaki Japan  0.3
12 Oct 2021 21:30 Isatomae Japan  0.3
12 Oct 2021 21:30 Kumazawa Japan  0.3
12 Oct 2021 21:30 Minato Japan  0.3
12 Oct 2021 21:30 Osu Japan  0.3
12 Oct 2021 21:30 Natari Japan  0.3
12 Oct 2021 21:30 Tomarihama Japan  0.3
13 Oct 2021 13:30 Natsumi Japan  0.3
13 Oct 2021 13:30 Kamigama Japan  0.3
12 Oct 2021 22:00 Okunoya Japan  0.3
15 Oct 2021 10:00 Tokawacho Japan  0.2
15 Oct 2021 10:00 Inuwaka Japan  0.2
13 Oct 2021 18:15 Afetna Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
13 Oct 2021 18:15 Susupi Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
13 Oct 2021 18:15 Laolao Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
13 Oct 2021 18:15 Garapan Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
13 Oct 2021 18:15 Mutcho Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
13 Oct 2021 18:15 Chalan Kanoa Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
13 Oct 2021 18:15 Aslito Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
13 Oct 2021 18:15 Tanapag Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
13 Oct 2021 18:15 Saipan Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
13 Oct 2021 18:15 San Roque Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
13 Oct 2021 18:15 Kagman Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
13 Oct 2021 18:00 Piti Guam  0.2
13 Oct 2021 18:00 Asan Guam  0.2
13 Oct 2021 18:00 Hagatna Guam  0.2
13 Oct 2021 18:00 Sinajana Guam  0.2
13 Oct 2021 18:00 Mongmong Guam  0.2
13 Oct 2021 18:00 Tamuning Guam  0.2
13 Oct 2021 18:00 Barrigada Guam  0.2
13 Oct 2021 18:00 Camp Quezon Guam  0.2
13 Oct 2021 18:00 Harmon Village Guam  0.2
13 Oct 2021 18:00 Oceanview Guam  0.2
13 Oct 2021 18:00 Dededo Guam  0.2
13 Oct 2021 18:00 South Acres Guam  0.2
13 Oct 2021 18:00 Asbeco Guam  0.2
13 Oct 2021 18:00 Adacao Guam  0.2
13 Oct 2021 18:00 Ipapao Guam  0.2
13 Oct 2021 18:00 Potts Junction Guam  0.2
13 Oct 2021 18:00 Perez Acres Guam  0.2
13 Oct 2021 18:00 Spring Hill Subdivision Guam  0.2
13 Oct 2021 18:00 Upi Guam  0.2
13 Oct 2021 18:00 Gayinero Guam  0.2
13 Oct 2021 18:00 Asatdas Guam  0.2
13 Oct 2021 18:00 Lupog Guam  0.2
13 Oct 2021 17:30 Agat Guam  0.2
13 Oct 2021 17:30 Camp Bright Guam  0.2
13 Oct 2021 17:30 Umatac Guam  0.2
13 Oct 2021 17:30 Santa Rita Guam  0.2
13 Oct 2021 17:30 Merizo Guam  0.2
13 Oct 2021 17:30 Inarajan Guam  0.2
13 Oct 2021 17:30 Talofofo Guam  0.2
13 Oct 2021 17:30 Ylig Guam  0.2
13 Oct 2021 17:30 Yona Guam  0.2
13 Oct 2021 18:00 Songsong Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
13 Oct 2021 18:00 Lockwood Terrace Guam  0.2
13 Oct 2021 18:15 Sunharon Roads Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
13 Oct 2021 18:15 Teteto Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
13 Oct 2021 18:00 Rota Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
13 Oct 2021 18:00 Sinapalo Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
14 Oct 2021 02:00 Higashi Japan  0.2
14 Oct 2021 01:00 Omura Japan  0.2
14 Oct 2021 01:00 Ogigaura Japan  0.2
14 Oct 2021 01:00 Sakaiura Japan  0.2
14 Oct 2021 02:00 Shomushon Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
14 Oct 2021 02:00 Marasu Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
14 Oct 2021 02:00 Ishinomura Japan  0.1
14 Oct 2021 09:45 Oki Japan  0.1
14 Oct 2021 01:45 Hyogidaira Japan  0.1