Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for ROSE-21
Off-shore

Impact

Tropical Cyclone ROSE-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 76 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (22 Sep 10:15 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 76 km/h 0.2 m 144 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 162 km/h 0.3 m 342 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

162 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 20 Sep 2021 06:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 19 Sep 2021 18:00 50 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 20 Sep 2021 00:00 47 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 20 Sep 2021 06:00 76 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 20 Sep 2021 06:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 19 Sep 2021 18:00 71 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 20 Sep 2021 00:00 74 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 20 Sep 2021 06:00 228 - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Prazeres, Cape Verde. This height is estimated for 22 Sep 2021 10:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 20 Sep 2021 06:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
22 Sep 2021 10:15 Prazeres Cape Verde  0.2
22 Sep 2021 10:15 Espingueira Cape Verde  0.2
22 Sep 2021 10:15 Derrubado Cape Verde  0.2
22 Sep 2021 10:15 Curral Velho Cape Verde  0.2
22 Sep 2021 10:15 Joao Barrosa Cape Verde  0.2
22 Sep 2021 10:15 Fundo de Figueiras Cape Verde  0.2
22 Sep 2021 10:15 Cabeco Dos Tarefes Cape Verde  0.2
22 Sep 2021 10:15 Gata Cape Verde  0.2
20 Sep 2021 16:45 Vila de Sal Rei Cape Verde  0.1
20 Sep 2021 16:45 Provoacao Velha Cape Verde  0.1
20 Sep 2021 16:45 Povocao Velha Cape Verde  0.1
20 Sep 2021 16:45 Sal Rel Cape Verde  0.1
20 Sep 2021 16:45 Cabecadas Cape Verde  0.1
20 Sep 2021 16:45 Rabil Cape Verde  0.1
20 Sep 2021 16:45 Ponta Adiante Cape Verde  0.1
20 Sep 2021 16:45 Bofareira Cape Verde  0.1
21 Sep 2021 01:00 Morro Cape Verde  0.1
21 Sep 2021 01:00 Vila do Maio Cape Verde  0.1
21 Sep 2021 01:00 Calheta Cape Verde  0.1
21 Sep 2021 01:00 Morrinho Cape Verde  0.1
21 Sep 2021 01:00 Cascabulho Cape Verde  0.1
21 Sep 2021 01:00 Santo Antonio Cape Verde  0.1
21 Sep 2021 01:00 Pedro Vaz Cape Verde  0.1
21 Sep 2021 01:00 Alcatraz Cape Verde  0.1
22 Sep 2021 02:00 Palmeira Cape Verde  0.1
22 Sep 2021 02:00 Beirona Cape Verde  0.1
22 Sep 2021 02:00 Santa Maria Cape Verde  0.1
22 Sep 2021 02:00 Vila Santa Maria Cape Verde  0.1
22 Sep 2021 02:00 Feijoal Cape Verde  0.1
22 Sep 2021 02:00 Pedra Lume Cape Verde  0.1
23 Sep 2021 03:00 Mindelo Cape Verde  0.1
23 Sep 2021 03:00 Salamansa Cape Verde  0.1
23 Sep 2021 03:00 Madeiral Cape Verde  0.1
23 Sep 2021 03:00 Calhau Cape Verde  0.1
23 Sep 2021 03:00 Ponta da Cruz Cape Verde  0.1
23 Sep 2021 03:15 Pedrinha Cape Verde  0.1
23 Sep 2021 03:15 Sao Pedro Cape Verde  0.1
23 Sep 2021 03:15 Vila do Porto Novo Cape Verde  0.1
23 Sep 2021 03:15 Porto Novo Cape Verde  0.1
20 Sep 2021 16:00 Barreiro Cape Verde  0.1
20 Sep 2021 16:00 Figueira da Horta Cape Verde  0.1
20 Sep 2021 16:00 Vila do Maio (Porto Inglez) Cape Verde  0.1
20 Sep 2021 16:00 Maio Cape Verde  0.1