Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for HILDA-21
Off-shore
31 Jul 2021 06 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone HILDA-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 94 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (03 Aug 00:45 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 94 km/h 0.3 m 106 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 151 km/h 0.4 m 656 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

151 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 31 Jul 2021 06:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 30 Jul 2021 18:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 31 Jul 2021 00:00 104 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 31 Jul 2021 06:00 133 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 31 Jul 2021 06:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmMexico8,089 
50-100 mmMexico355,733 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 30 Jul 2021 18:00 204 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 31 Jul 2021 00:00 185 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 31 Jul 2021 06:00 334 8 thousand
- - - - Mexico




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Santa Rosalia, Mexico. This height is estimated for 03 Aug 2021 00:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 31 Jul 2021 06:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
03 Aug 2021 00:45 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.3
03 Aug 2021 00:45 San Bruno Mexico  0.3
31 Jul 2021 09:45 San Jose Mexico  0.3
31 Jul 2021 09:45 Atanacio Mexico  0.3
31 Jul 2021 09:45 El Paredoncito Mexico  0.3
31 Jul 2021 09:30 Borabampo Mexico  0.3
31 Jul 2021 21:45 Cuantla Mexico  0.3
31 Jul 2021 21:45 Cuamecate Mexico  0.3
03 Aug 2021 00:45 Las Bocas Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 00:45 Camahuiroa Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 00:45 Los Dolores Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 00:45 Mulege Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 00:45 Liliba Mexico  0.2
31 Jul 2021 11:15 San Francisco Mexico  0.2
31 Jul 2021 11:15 Monteon Mexico  0.2
31 Jul 2021 11:15 La Lima Mexico  0.2
31 Jul 2021 21:30 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 00:45 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.2
31 Jul 2021 23:00 Las Arenitas Mexico  0.2
31 Jul 2021 23:00 La Boca Mexico  0.2
31 Jul 2021 09:30 Loreto Mexico  0.2
31 Jul 2021 09:30 Ligui Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 00:45 San Bruno Mexico  0.2
31 Jul 2021 09:15 San Ignacio Mexico  0.2
31 Jul 2021 09:30 Tripui Mexico  0.2
01 Aug 2021 20:15 San Juanico Mexico  0.2
01 Aug 2021 20:15 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.2
01 Aug 2021 20:15 Buenaventura Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 00:45 San Juanico Mexico  0.2
31 Jul 2021 21:15 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
31 Jul 2021 21:30 Novillero Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 00:30 San Cosme Mexico  0.2
31 Jul 2021 09:00 Los Burros Mexico  0.2
01 Aug 2021 20:00 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 00:45 El Aquajito Mexico  0.2
31 Jul 2021 09:30 Cachoana Mexico  0.2
31 Jul 2021 09:30 Datilito Mexico  0.2
31 Jul 2021 09:30 La Paz Mexico  0.2
31 Jul 2021 09:30 Rosario Mexico  0.2
31 Jul 2021 11:15 San Blas Mexico  0.2
31 Jul 2021 11:15 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 02:30 La Florida Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 02:30 Adolfo Lopez Mateos Mexico  0.2
31 Jul 2021 11:45 El Nuevo Mexico  0.2
31 Jul 2021 11:45 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 00:30 Santa Marta Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 01:00 Topolobampo Mexico  0.2
01 Aug 2021 20:00 Queretaro Mexico  0.2
31 Jul 2021 09:45 San Juan de la Costa Mexico  0.2
01 Aug 2021 05:30 Boca del Rio Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 00:30 Tambobiche Mexico  0.2
31 Jul 2021 11:15 Toro Mocho Mexico  0.2
01 Aug 2021 05:45 La Playa Colorada Mexico  0.2
31 Jul 2021 11:30 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.2
31 Jul 2021 22:00 La Puerta Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 00:00 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 00:00 El Guatamota Mexico  0.2
03 Aug 2021 00:00 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.2
01 Aug 2021 06:15 El Castillo Mexico  0.2
01 Aug 2021 18:30 Altata Mexico  0.1
01 Aug 2021 06:00 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
31 Jul 2021 23:00 La Fortuna Mexico  0.1
31 Jul 2021 23:00 El Cardoncito Mexico  0.1
02 Aug 2021 22:30 San Carlos Mexico  0.1
02 Aug 2021 22:30 Madero Amarillo Mexico  0.1
31 Jul 2021 22:15 Jarilla Mexico  0.1
02 Aug 2021 23:15 Puerto Magdalena Mexico  0.1
31 Jul 2021 11:45 Caimanero Mexico  0.1
02 Aug 2021 22:15 Quinones Mexico  0.1
02 Aug 2021 23:15 Perihuete Mexico  0.1
31 Jul 2021 22:45 Dimas Mexico  0.1
02 Aug 2021 22:30 Florida Mexico  0.1
02 Aug 2021 22:30 Mazatlan Mexico  0.1
03 Aug 2021 01:00 La Ventana Mexico  0.1
03 Aug 2021 01:00 Ensenada de los Muertos Mexico  0.1
01 Aug 2021 09:15 Estero la Bocana Mexico  0.1
02 Aug 2021 22:15 Rancho Datilari Mexico  0.1
02 Aug 2021 22:00 Punta Mita Mexico  0.1
02 Aug 2021 22:00 Cruz de Juanacaxtle Mexico  0.1
02 Aug 2021 22:30 Rancho Conejo Mexico  0.1
02 Aug 2021 22:30 El Tomale Mexico  0.1
01 Aug 2021 09:15 Playa Oceano Pacifico Mexico  0.1
31 Jul 2021 21:30 La Palmita Mexico  0.1
02 Aug 2021 22:30 Agua Fresca Mexico  0.1
02 Aug 2021 23:00 Marmol Mexico  0.1
03 Aug 2021 00:45 La Trinadad Mexico  0.1
31 Jul 2021 10:30 Las Palmas Mexico  0.1
31 Jul 2021 10:30 La Ribera Mexico  0.1
31 Jul 2021 10:30 Punta Colorada Mexico  0.1
31 Jul 2021 10:30 Punta Arena Mexico  0.1
31 Jul 2021 10:30 Los Tesos Mexico  0.1
02 Aug 2021 22:45 Barron Mexico  0.1