Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for HILDA-21
Off-shore

Impact

Tropical Cyclone HILDA-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 72 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (31 Jul 11:15 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 72 km/h 0.3 m 224 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 108 km/h 0.5 m 588 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

108 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 31 Jul 2021 00:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 30 Jul 2021 00:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 30 Jul 2021 12:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 31 Jul 2021 00:00 83 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 31 Jul 2021 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmMexico167,331 
50-100 mmMexico603,753 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 30 Jul 2021 00:00 433 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 30 Jul 2021 12:00 299 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 31 Jul 2021 00:00 544 170 thousand
- - - - Mexico




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in San Jose, Mexico. This height is estimated for 31 Jul 2021 11:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 31 Jul 2021 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
31 Jul 2021 11:15 San Jose Mexico  0.3
31 Jul 2021 11:15 Atanacio Mexico  0.3
31 Jul 2021 11:15 El Paredoncito Mexico  0.3
31 Jul 2021 11:15 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.3
31 Jul 2021 11:15 San Bruno Mexico  0.3
31 Jul 2021 11:15 Borabampo Mexico  0.3
02 Aug 2021 14:00 Mulege Mexico  0.3
02 Aug 2021 14:00 Los Dolores Mexico  0.3
31 Jul 2021 11:15 Camahuiroa Mexico  0.3
31 Jul 2021 11:15 Las Bocas Mexico  0.3
31 Jul 2021 11:15 Liliba Mexico  0.3
31 Jul 2021 11:15 Loreto Mexico  0.3
31 Jul 2021 11:15 Ligui Mexico  0.3
31 Jul 2021 11:00 Tripui Mexico  0.3
31 Jul 2021 11:00 San Ignacio Mexico  0.3
31 Jul 2021 11:00 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.3
31 Jul 2021 11:15 San Juanico Mexico  0.3
31 Jul 2021 11:30 Cachoana Mexico  0.3
31 Jul 2021 11:15 San Bruno Mexico  0.3
31 Jul 2021 11:30 Los Burros Mexico  0.2
31 Jul 2021 11:30 El Aquajito Mexico  0.2
31 Jul 2021 11:15 San Cosme Mexico  0.2
31 Jul 2021 11:15 Datilito Mexico  0.2
31 Jul 2021 11:15 La Paz Mexico  0.2
31 Jul 2021 11:15 Rosario Mexico  0.2
31 Jul 2021 11:30 Santa Marta Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 13:00 Cuantla Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 13:00 Cuamecate Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 12:45 Novillero Mexico  0.2
31 Jul 2021 11:30 San Juan de la Costa Mexico  0.2
31 Jul 2021 11:15 Tambobiche Mexico  0.2
01 Aug 2021 08:30 San Juanico Mexico  0.2
01 Aug 2021 08:30 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.2
01 Aug 2021 08:30 Buenaventura Mexico  0.2
31 Jul 2021 22:30 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
31 Jul 2021 19:30 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.2
31 Jul 2021 19:30 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.2
31 Jul 2021 10:45 Topolobampo Mexico  0.2
31 Jul 2021 04:45 Las Arenitas Mexico  0.2
31 Jul 2021 04:45 La Boca Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 12:45 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.2
01 Aug 2021 08:45 La Florida Mexico  0.2
01 Aug 2021 08:45 Adolfo Lopez Mateos Mexico  0.2
31 Jul 2021 11:15 Boca del Rio Mexico  0.2
31 Jul 2021 11:15 La Playa Colorada Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 22:45 El Nuevo Mexico  0.2
31 Jul 2021 09:00 San Francisco Mexico  0.2
31 Jul 2021 09:00 Monteon Mexico  0.2
31 Jul 2021 09:00 La Lima Mexico  0.2
01 Aug 2021 07:30 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
31 Jul 2021 11:15 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
02 Aug 2021 13:00 La Puerta Mexico  0.2
01 Aug 2021 17:30 Toro Mocho Mexico  0.2
01 Aug 2021 22:30 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.2
01 Aug 2021 22:30 El Guatamota Mexico  0.2
31 Jul 2021 00:00 San Blas Mexico  0.2
31 Jul 2021 10:45 Altata Mexico  0.2
31 Jul 2021 10:45 El Castillo Mexico  0.2
01 Aug 2021 08:30 Queretaro Mexico  0.2
01 Aug 2021 08:30 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.2
31 Jul 2021 20:45 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.2
01 Aug 2021 17:45 La Fortuna Mexico  0.2
01 Aug 2021 17:45 El Cardoncito Mexico  0.2
01 Aug 2021 07:30 Caimanero Mexico  0.2
01 Aug 2021 07:30 Jarilla Mexico  0.2
31 Jul 2021 11:15 La Ventana Mexico  0.2
31 Jul 2021 11:15 Perihuete Mexico  0.2
01 Aug 2021 02:30 San Carlos Mexico  0.1
01 Aug 2021 02:30 Madero Amarillo Mexico  0.1
31 Jul 2021 11:30 Dimas Mexico  0.1
31 Jul 2021 11:30 Ensenada de los Muertos Mexico  0.1
31 Jul 2021 20:45 Puerto Magdalena Mexico  0.1
01 Aug 2021 07:30 La Palmita Mexico  0.1
01 Aug 2021 07:45 Marmol Mexico  0.1
01 Aug 2021 07:45 Florida Mexico  0.1
01 Aug 2021 16:30 Punta Mita Mexico  0.1
02 Aug 2021 13:30 La Trinadad Mexico  0.1
02 Aug 2021 13:15 Las Palmas Mexico  0.1
02 Aug 2021 13:15 La Ribera Mexico  0.1
02 Aug 2021 13:15 Punta Colorada Mexico  0.1
02 Aug 2021 13:15 Punta Arena Mexico  0.1
02 Aug 2021 13:15 Los Tesos Mexico  0.1
31 Jul 2021 21:00 Los Inocentes Mexico  0.1
31 Jul 2021 20:30 Quinones Mexico  0.1
31 Jul 2021 11:30 Los Frailes Mexico  0.1
31 Jul 2021 20:15 Estero la Bocana Mexico  0.1
31 Jul 2021 20:30 Rancho Datilari Mexico  0.1
31 Jul 2021 20:30 Rancho Conejo Mexico  0.1
31 Jul 2021 20:30 El Tomale Mexico  0.1
01 Aug 2021 07:30 Barron Mexico  0.1
01 Aug 2021 08:15 Agua Fresca Mexico  0.1
01 Aug 2021 08:15 Cunano Mexico  0.1
01 Aug 2021 07:45 Mazatlan Mexico  0.1
01 Aug 2021 07:45 Cruz de Juanacaxtle Mexico  0.1
31 Jul 2021 21:00 Bahia Asuncion Mexico  0.1
31 Jul 2021 21:00 Playa Oceano Pacifico Mexico  0.1
31 Jul 2021 21:30 Chola Mexico  0.1