Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for BLANCA-21
Off-shore

Impact

Tropical Cyclone BLANCA-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 94 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (01 Jun 22:45 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 94 km/h 0.3 m 142 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 97 km/h 0.3 m 981 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

97 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 01 Jun 2021 18:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 30 May 2021 18:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 31 May 2021 00:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 31 May 2021 06:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 31 May 2021 12:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 31 May 2021 18:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 01 Jun 2021 00:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 01 Jun 2021 06:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 01 Jun 2021 12:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 01 Jun 2021 18:00 101 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 01 Jun 2021 18:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 30 May 2021 18:00 195 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 31 May 2021 00:00 467 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 31 May 2021 06:00 478 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 31 May 2021 12:00 365 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 31 May 2021 18:00 372 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 01 Jun 2021 00:00 276 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 01 Jun 2021 06:00 218 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 01 Jun 2021 12:00 258 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 01 Jun 2021 18:00 480 - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Datilito, Mexico. This height is estimated for 01 Jun 2021 22:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 01 Jun 2021 18:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
01 Jun 2021 22:45 Datilito Mexico  0.3
01 Jun 2021 22:45 La Paz Mexico  0.3
01 Jun 2021 22:45 Rosario Mexico  0.3
03 Jun 2021 00:30 Cuamecate Mexico  0.2
03 Jun 2021 00:30 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
03 Jun 2021 00:30 El Nuevo Mexico  0.2
02 Jun 2021 00:00 El Castillo Mexico  0.2
02 Jun 2021 00:00 Las Arenitas Mexico  0.2
02 Jun 2021 00:00 Los Burros Mexico  0.2
01 Jun 2021 23:15 La Lima Mexico  0.2
01 Jun 2021 23:00 San Juan de la Costa Mexico  0.2
01 Jun 2021 23:15 Boca del Rio Mexico  0.2
01 Jun 2021 22:45 Cuantla Mexico  0.2
01 Jun 2021 22:45 Novillero Mexico  0.2
01 Jun 2021 23:00 Altata Mexico  0.2
01 Jun 2021 23:15 La Ventana Mexico  0.2
01 Jun 2021 23:15 Ensenada de los Muertos Mexico  0.2
01 Jun 2021 23:15 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
01 Jun 2021 22:45 La Playa Colorada Mexico  0.2
01 Jun 2021 23:30 La Boca Mexico  0.2
01 Jun 2021 23:15 Perihuete Mexico  0.2
01 Jun 2021 23:15 Dimas Mexico  0.2
01 Jun 2021 23:30 Tambobiche Mexico  0.2
02 Jun 2021 18:45 Jarilla Mexico  0.2
02 Jun 2021 18:45 La Puerta Mexico  0.2
04 Jun 2021 01:15 Toro Mocho Mexico  0.2
01 Jun 2021 23:00 La Palmita Mexico  0.2
01 Jun 2021 23:00 Caimanero Mexico  0.2
01 Jun 2021 23:00 Barron Mexico  0.2
02 Jun 2021 01:00 San Blas Mexico  0.2
02 Jun 2021 01:00 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
01 Jun 2021 23:00 Punta Mita Mexico  0.2
01 Jun 2021 23:00 San Francisco Mexico  0.2
01 Jun 2021 23:00 Monteon Mexico  0.2
01 Jun 2021 23:00 La Fortuna Mexico  0.2
01 Jun 2021 23:00 El Cardoncito Mexico  0.2
01 Jun 2021 23:00 Los Frailes Mexico  0.2
01 Jun 2021 22:45 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.2
02 Jun 2021 01:00 San Carlos Mexico  0.2
04 Jun 2021 00:45 Florida Mexico  0.2
04 Jun 2021 00:45 Mazatlan Mexico  0.2
01 Jun 2021 23:00 Marmol Mexico  0.1
01 Jun 2021 22:45 Cruz de Juanacaxtle Mexico  0.1
01 Jun 2021 22:45 Puerto Vallarta Mexico  0.1
02 Jun 2021 00:15 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.1
04 Jun 2021 01:00 Punta Colorada Mexico  0.1
04 Jun 2021 01:00 Punta Arena Mexico  0.1
04 Jun 2021 01:00 Los Tesos Mexico  0.1
01 Jun 2021 18:45 Tierra Colorada Mexico  0.1
01 Jun 2021 23:30 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.1
01 Jun 2021 23:15 La Trinadad Mexico  0.1
01 Jun 2021 23:15 Las Palmas Mexico  0.1
01 Jun 2021 23:15 La Ribera Mexico  0.1
02 Jun 2021 00:45 Madero Amarillo Mexico  0.1
02 Jun 2021 00:45 El Guatamota Mexico  0.1
02 Jun 2021 06:30 Puerto Magdalena Mexico  0.1
01 Jun 2021 23:45 Agua Fresca Mexico  0.1
01 Jun 2021 23:45 Cunano Mexico  0.1
01 Jun 2021 23:45 Los Inocentes Mexico  0.1
02 Jun 2021 22:15 El Marques Mexico  0.1
01 Jun 2021 22:30 Chola Mexico  0.1
01 Jun 2021 22:45 Pizota Mexico  0.1
02 Jun 2021 01:15 La Florida Mexico  0.1
01 Jun 2021 23:15 Todos Santos Mexico  0.1
01 Jun 2021 23:15 El Pescadero Mexico  0.1
02 Jun 2021 23:30 Corrales Mexico  0.1
02 Jun 2021 23:30 Aquiles Serdan Mexico  0.1
02 Jun 2021 23:30 Ipala Mexico  0.1
02 Jun 2021 04:45 Cuitzmala Mexico  0.1
02 Jun 2021 04:45 La Manzanilla Mexico  0.1
02 Jun 2021 04:45 Barra de Navidad Mexico  0.1
02 Jun 2021 23:00 La Tuza Mexico  0.1