Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for FARAJI-21
Off-shore
10 Feb 2021 18 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone FARAJI-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 187 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (10 Feb 19:30 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 187 km/h 0.3 m 432 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 263 km/h 0.4 m 1208 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 10 Feb 2021 18:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 05 Feb 2021 06:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 05 Feb 2021 12:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 05 Feb 2021 18:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 06 Feb 2021 00:00 151 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 06 Feb 2021 06:00 104 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 06 Feb 2021 12:00 137 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 06 Feb 2021 18:00 151 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 07 Feb 2021 00:00 184 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 07 Feb 2021 06:00 212 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 07 Feb 2021 12:00 194 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 07 Feb 2021 18:00 202 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 08 Feb 2021 00:00 198 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 08 Feb 2021 06:00 234 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 08 Feb 2021 12:00 241 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 08 Feb 2021 18:00 263 - - - - - - -
GREEN 16 09 Feb 2021 00:00 245 - - - - - - -
GREEN 17 09 Feb 2021 06:00 245 - - - - - - -
GREEN 18 09 Feb 2021 12:00 227 - - - - - - -
GREEN 19 09 Feb 2021 18:00 205 - - - - - - -
GREEN 20 10 Feb 2021 00:00 184 - - - - - - -
GREEN 21 10 Feb 2021 06:00 187 - - - - - - -
GREEN 22 10 Feb 2021 12:00 173 - - - - - - -
GREEN 23 10 Feb 2021 18:00 194 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall

1208 mm

No people can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)





Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 10 Feb 2021 18:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 05 Feb 2021 06:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 05 Feb 2021 12:00 178 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 05 Feb 2021 18:00 309 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 06 Feb 2021 00:00 255 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 06 Feb 2021 06:00 252 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 06 Feb 2021 12:00 234 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 06 Feb 2021 18:00 251 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 07 Feb 2021 00:00 342 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 07 Feb 2021 06:00 294 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 07 Feb 2021 12:00 268 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 07 Feb 2021 18:00 343 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 08 Feb 2021 00:00 399 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 08 Feb 2021 06:00 578 - - - - - - -
Blue 14 08 Feb 2021 12:00 515 - - - - - - -
Blue 15 08 Feb 2021 18:00 654 - - - - - - -
Blue 16 09 Feb 2021 00:00 552 - - - - - - -
Blue 17 09 Feb 2021 06:00 465 - - - - - - -
Blue 18 09 Feb 2021 12:00 491 - - - - - - -
Blue 19 09 Feb 2021 18:00 441 - - - - - - -
Blue 20 10 Feb 2021 00:00 505 - - - - - - -
Blue 21 10 Feb 2021 06:00 437 - - - - - - -
Blue 22 10 Feb 2021 12:00 571 - - - - - - -
Blue 23 10 Feb 2021 18:00 779 - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in La Ferme, Mauritius. This height is estimated for 10 Feb 2021 19:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 10 Feb 2021 18:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
10 Feb 2021 19:30 La Ferme Mauritius  0.3
10 Feb 2021 19:30 Port Mathurin Mauritius  0.3
10 Feb 2021 21:00 Point Marianne British Indian Ocean Territory  0.1
10 Feb 2021 21:00 East Point Plantation British Indian Ocean Territory  0.1