Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for EIGHTEEN-21
in Australia
01 Feb 2021 00 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone EIGHTEEN-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Australia
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 61 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (01 Feb 02:30 UTC)
Vulnerability Low (Australia)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 61 km/h 0.3 m 17 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 86 km/h 1.3 m 296 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

86 km/h

Up to Few people can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 01 Feb 2021 00:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormAustralia01 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 31 Jan 2021 12:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 31 Jan 2021 18:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 01 Feb 2021 00:00 72 -
- - - - - Australia
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 01 Feb 2021 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmAustralia2,714 
50-100 mmIndonesia, Australia34,887,132
+
Indonesia34,872,963 
Australia14,169 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 31 Jan 2021 12:00 16 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 31 Jan 2021 18:00 16 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 01 Feb 2021 00:00 158 3 thousand
- - - - Indonesia, Australia




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Dampier, Australia. This height is estimated for 01 Feb 2021 02:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 01 Feb 2021 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
01 Feb 2021 02:30 Dampier Australia  0.3
01 Feb 2021 02:30 Karratha Australia  0.3
01 Feb 2021 06:00 Vasse Australia  0.3
01 Feb 2021 06:00 Broadwater Australia  0.3
01 Feb 2021 06:00 Busselton Australia  0.3
01 Feb 2021 06:00 Wonnerup Australia  0.3
01 Feb 2021 06:00 Ludlow Australia  0.3
01 Feb 2021 06:00 Dalyellup Australia  0.3
01 Feb 2021 06:00 Bunbury Australia  0.3
01 Feb 2021 03:15 Kencong Indonesia  0.2
01 Feb 2021 03:15 Lodjedjer Indonesia  0.2
01 Feb 2021 00:15 Babakancibeber Indonesia  0.2
01 Feb 2021 00:15 Kolitjaah Indonesia  0.2
01 Feb 2021 00:15 Tjiteureup Indonesia  0.2
01 Feb 2021 00:15 Labuhan Indonesia  0.2
01 Feb 2021 00:15 Kaduperasi Indonesia  0.2
01 Feb 2021 06:00 Binningup Australia  0.2
01 Feb 2021 06:00 Myalup Australia  0.2
01 Feb 2021 06:00 Picton Australia  0.2
01 Feb 2021 06:00 Eaton Australia  0.2
01 Feb 2021 06:00 Burragenup Australia  0.2
01 Feb 2021 06:00 Australind Australia  0.2
01 Feb 2021 00:30 Wickham Australia  0.2
01 Feb 2021 00:30 Point Samson Australia  0.2
01 Feb 2021 00:30 Cossack Australia  0.2
01 Feb 2021 01:00 Tjikawung Indonesia  0.2
01 Feb 2021 01:00 Sumur Indonesia  0.2
01 Feb 2021 01:00 Aerdjeruk Indonesia  0.2
01 Feb 2021 06:00 Dunsborough Australia  0.2
01 Feb 2021 06:00 Quindalup Australia  0.2
01 Feb 2021 06:00 Milyeannup Australia  0.2
01 Feb 2021 05:15 Carrarang Australia  0.2
01 Feb 2021 05:15 Tamala Australia  0.2
01 Feb 2021 06:00 Gunyulgup Australia  0.2
01 Feb 2021 06:00 Yallingup Australia  0.2
01 Feb 2021 01:45 Ah Chong I Australia  0.2
01 Feb 2021 01:00 Guring Indonesia  0.2
01 Feb 2021 01:00 Kota Agung Indonesia  0.2
01 Feb 2021 02:00 Merak Indonesia  0.2
01 Feb 2021 02:00 Domas Indonesia  0.2
01 Feb 2021 00:15 Chilachap Indonesia  0.2
01 Feb 2021 00:15 Adipala Indonesia  0.2
01 Feb 2021 00:15 Binangoen Indonesia  0.2
01 Feb 2021 04:45 Learmonth Australia  0.2
01 Feb 2021 03:00 Maringgai Indonesia  0.2
01 Feb 2021 00:15 Ajah Indonesia  0.2
01 Feb 2021 01:15 East Lewis I Australia  0.2
01 Feb 2021 01:00 Kalianda Indonesia  0.2
01 Feb 2021 05:00 Onslow Australia  0.2
01 Feb 2021 01:00 Waiharoe Indonesia  0.2
01 Feb 2021 01:00 Karangberak Indonesia  0.2
01 Feb 2021 01:00 Umbulan Pepanggar Indonesia  0.2
01 Feb 2021 00:15 Kekatang Indonesia  0.2
01 Feb 2021 00:15 Menango Indonesia  0.2
01 Feb 2021 00:15 Tandjungkarang Indonesia  0.2
01 Feb 2021 00:15 Telukbetung Indonesia  0.2
01 Feb 2021 00:15 Tarahan Indonesia  0.2
01 Feb 2021 01:00 Bandjaragung Indonesia  0.2
01 Feb 2021 00:45 Bakau Indonesia  0.1
01 Feb 2021 00:45 Ketapang Indonesia  0.1
01 Feb 2021 00:00 Carnarvon Australia  0.1
01 Feb 2021 00:00 Pangkalan Indonesia  0.1
01 Feb 2021 00:00 Batoe Porong Indonesia  0.1
01 Feb 2021 00:00 Kebanjar Indonesia  0.1
01 Feb 2021 05:00 Kalbarri Australia  0.1
01 Feb 2021 00:00 Baliga Indonesia  0.1
01 Feb 2021 00:00 Laboean Indonesia  0.1
01 Feb 2021 06:00 Augusta Australia  0.1
01 Feb 2021 05:00 Cape Cuvier Australia  0.1
01 Feb 2021 00:45 Anjer-Kidu Indonesia  0.1
01 Feb 2021 04:30 Pringgabaja Indonesia  0.1
01 Feb 2021 04:30 Lombok Indonesia  0.1
01 Feb 2021 01:00 Sawangbalak Indonesia  0.1
01 Feb 2021 00:00 Glenroy Australia  0.1
01 Feb 2021 00:30 Sindangsari Indonesia  0.1
01 Feb 2021 00:30 Cijulang Indonesia  0.1
01 Feb 2021 00:30 Cikalong Indonesia  0.1
01 Feb 2021 00:30 Pangadaran Indonesia  0.1
01 Feb 2021 01:15 Putih Indonesia  0.1
01 Feb 2021 02:30 Gnaraloo Australia  0.1
01 Feb 2021 05:30 Useless Loop Australia  0.1
01 Feb 2021 03:15 Condro Indonesia  0.1
01 Feb 2021 06:00 Falcon Australia  0.1
01 Feb 2021 06:00 Mandurah Australia  0.1
01 Feb 2021 06:00 Warnbro Australia  0.1
01 Feb 2021 06:00 Peelhurst Australia  0.1
01 Feb 2021 06:00 Singleton Australia  0.1
01 Feb 2021 06:00 Karnup Australia  0.1
01 Feb 2021 05:00 Quobba Australia  0.1
01 Feb 2021 03:15 Dirk Hartog Australia  0.1
01 Feb 2021 01:15 Tampang Indonesia  0.1
01 Feb 2021 01:45 Muntjar Indonesia  0.1
01 Feb 2021 01:45 Blimbing Indonesia  0.1
01 Feb 2021 01:45 Dadapan Indonesia  0.1
01 Feb 2021 01:45 Banyuwangi Indonesia  0.1
01 Feb 2021 01:45 Banjuwangi Indonesia  0.1
01 Feb 2021 01:45 Gilimanuk Indonesia  0.1
01 Feb 2021 01:45 Penginoeman Indonesia  0.1
01 Feb 2021 01:45 Belimbingsari Indonesia  0.1
01 Feb 2021 01:45 Tjandikesuma Indonesia  0.1
01 Feb 2021 05:30 Exmouth Australia  0.1
01 Feb 2021 01:15 Belimbing Indonesia  0.1
01 Feb 2021 04:30 Djareweh Indonesia  0.1
01 Feb 2021 01:30 Karbang Indonesia  0.1
01 Feb 2021 01:30 Walur Indonesia  0.1
01 Feb 2021 01:30 Pasarpulaupisang Indonesia  0.1
01 Feb 2021 01:30 Wainapal Indonesia  0.1
01 Feb 2021 01:30 Krui Indonesia  0.1
01 Feb 2021 01:30 Kerbang Indonesia  0.1
01 Feb 2021 01:30 Padangnegeri Indonesia  0.1
01 Feb 2021 01:30 Tandjungbaringin Indonesia  0.1
01 Feb 2021 04:30 Sunut Indonesia  0.1
01 Feb 2021 00:00 Sumberkuning Indonesia  0.1
01 Feb 2021 02:15 Warroora Australia  0.1