Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for IOTA-20
in Honduras, Nicaragua
14 Nov 2020 12 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone IOTA-20 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries Honduras, Nicaragua, Colombia
Exposed population 30 thousand in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 86 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (14 Nov 12:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Honduras)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 86 km/h 0.2 m 413 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 274 km/h 2.6 m 1066 mm 1.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

274 km/h

Up to 320 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 14 Nov 2020 12:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
CAT. 3Honduras653 
CAT. 2Honduras9,785 
CAT. 1Honduras, Nicaragua14,944
+
Honduras14,888 
Nicaragua56 
Tropical StormHonduras, Nicaragua, Colombia319,817
+
Honduras239,045 
Nicaragua75,764 
Colombia5,008 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 13 Nov 2020 12:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 13 Nov 2020 18:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 14 Nov 2020 00:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 14 Nov 2020 06:00 108 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 14 Nov 2020 12:00 209 30 thousand
- - Honduras, Nicaragua, Colombia
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 14 Nov 2020 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
500-750 mmHonduras4,907 
250-500 mmHonduras, Nicaragua, Colombia109,434
+
Honduras58,767 
Nicaragua50,015 
Colombia652 
100-250 mmHonduras, Nicaragua, Colombia373,423
+
Honduras251,309 
Nicaragua98,345 
Colombia23,769 
50-100 mmHonduras, Nicaragua, Colombia362,903
+
Honduras223,877 
Nicaragua40,441 
Colombia98,585 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 13 Nov 2020 12:00 418 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 13 Nov 2020 18:00 410 3 thousand
- - - - Colombia, Venezuela
Blue 3 14 Nov 2020 00:00 466 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 14 Nov 2020 06:00 654 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 14 Nov 2020 12:00 675 490 thousand
- - Honduras, Nicaragua, Colombia




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Ciudad del Carmen, Mexico. This height is estimated for 14 Nov 2020 12:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 14 Nov 2020 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
14 Nov 2020 12:00 Ciudad del Carmen Mexico  0.2
14 Nov 2020 16:30 Raya Honduras  0.2
14 Nov 2020 16:30 Clubki Honduras  0.2
14 Nov 2020 16:30 Cabo Gracias Viejo Nicaragua  0.2
14 Nov 2020 16:30 Irlaya Honduras  0.2
14 Nov 2020 16:30 Cabo Gracias a Dios Honduras  0.2
14 Nov 2020 13:45 Barra del Rio Maiz Nicaragua  0.2
14 Nov 2020 13:45 Barra Punta Gorda Nicaragua  0.2
14 Nov 2020 16:45 Ninayeri Nicaragua  0.2
14 Nov 2020 16:45 Ledakura Nicaragua  0.2
14 Nov 2020 16:45 Graytown Nicaragua  0.2
14 Nov 2020 16:45 Awastara Nicaragua  0.2
14 Nov 2020 13:45 Diego Panama  0.2
14 Nov 2020 13:45 Miguel de la Borda Panama  0.2
14 Nov 2020 13:45 Vista Hermosa Panama  0.2
14 Nov 2020 13:45 El Salto Panama  0.2
14 Nov 2020 13:45 La Vigia Panama  0.2
14 Nov 2020 13:45 Chilar Panama  0.2
14 Nov 2020 13:45 El Charcon Panama  0.2
14 Nov 2020 13:45 Terminal del Plan Panama  0.2
14 Nov 2020 13:45 La Ensenada Panama  0.2
14 Nov 2020 13:30 Nevamar Colombia  0.2
14 Nov 2020 13:30 Rio Canas Colombia  0.2
14 Nov 2020 13:30 Olga Colombia  0.2
14 Nov 2020 13:30 La Victoria Colombia  0.2
14 Nov 2020 13:30 Dibulla Colombia  0.2
14 Nov 2020 16:00 Tasbapauni Nicaragua  0.2
14 Nov 2020 16:00 Set Net Nicaragua  0.2
14 Nov 2020 16:30 Hualpasika Nicaragua  0.1
14 Nov 2020 16:30 Wounta Nicaragua  0.1
14 Nov 2020 16:30 Coco Haulover Nicaragua  0.1
14 Nov 2020 13:30 Canco Honduras  0.1
14 Nov 2020 13:30 Barra Kruta Honduras  0.1
14 Nov 2020 13:30 Kanko Honduras  0.1
14 Nov 2020 12:45 Chirimena Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 12:45 Chipumena Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 12:45 Guaical Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 12:45 Flores Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 12:45 El Aguasal Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 12:45 Carenero Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 12:45 Higuerote Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 12:45 Buche Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 12:45 Sotillo Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 12:45 Boca Vieja Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 12:45 Pueblo Nuevo Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 12:45 Paparo Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 15:45 El Coquito Colombia  0.1
14 Nov 2020 15:45 La Esmeralda Colombia  0.1
14 Nov 2020 15:45 Canaveral Colombia  0.1
14 Nov 2020 15:45 Los Naranjos Colombia  0.1
14 Nov 2020 15:45 Mata de Platano Colombia  0.1
14 Nov 2020 15:45 La Poza Colombia  0.1
14 Nov 2020 15:45 Hacienda la Beatriz Colombia  0.1
14 Nov 2020 15:45 Guschaca Colombia  0.1
14 Nov 2020 15:45 Buritaca Colombia  0.1
14 Nov 2020 15:45 Don Diego Colombia  0.1
14 Nov 2020 15:15 Sandy Bay Sirpi Nicaragua  0.1
14 Nov 2020 15:15 Barra de Rio Grande Nicaragua  0.1
14 Nov 2020 15:45 Wankluma Nicaragua  0.1
14 Nov 2020 15:00 Kukra Hill Nicaragua  0.1
14 Nov 2020 15:00 Haulover Nicaragua  0.1
14 Nov 2020 15:00 Laguna de Perlas Nicaragua  0.1
14 Nov 2020 17:15 Alley Jamaica  0.1
14 Nov 2020 17:15 Brazalitta Jamaica  0.1
14 Nov 2020 17:15 Mahoe Gardens Jamaica  0.1
14 Nov 2020 16:45 Crucira Nicaragua  0.1
14 Nov 2020 14:00 La Enea Colombia  0.1
14 Nov 2020 14:00 Punta Guamachito Colombia  0.1
14 Nov 2020 14:45 Hacienda Barravieja Colombia  0.1
14 Nov 2020 14:45 Puebloviejo Colombia  0.1
14 Nov 2020 14:45 Tasajera Colombia  0.1
14 Nov 2020 14:45 Palmira Colombia  0.1
14 Nov 2020 14:45 Isla del Rosario Colombia  0.1
14 Nov 2020 14:00 Monkey Point Nicaragua  0.1
14 Nov 2020 15:00 Baru Colombia  0.1
14 Nov 2020 15:00 Pendales Colombia  0.1
14 Nov 2020 15:00 Porto Nao Colombia  0.1
14 Nov 2020 15:00 Polonia Colombia  0.1
14 Nov 2020 15:00 Santa Ana Colombia  0.1
14 Nov 2020 15:00 Ararca Colombia  0.1
14 Nov 2020 15:00 Pasacaballo Colombia  0.1
14 Nov 2020 15:00 Piedrecitas Colombia  0.1
14 Nov 2020 15:00 Leticia Colombia  0.1
14 Nov 2020 15:00 Caserio El Cobado Colombia  0.1
14 Nov 2020 15:00 Cobado Colombia  0.1
14 Nov 2020 15:00 Puerto Cospique Colombia  0.1
14 Nov 2020 16:30 Taborda Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 16:30 El Palito Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 16:30 Goaigoaza Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 16:30 Sta. Rosa Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 16:30 Puerto Cabello Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 16:30 Sta. Lucia Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 16:30 Pto Borburata Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 16:30 Quizandal Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 16:30 Ganango Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 16:30 Flamenco Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 16:30 Las Caneyes Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 16:30 Patanemo Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 16:30 Palermo Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 16:30 Turiamo Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 16:30 San Nicolas Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 16:00 Tahuantla Nicaragua  0.1
14 Nov 2020 16:00 Puerto Isabel Nicaragua  0.1
14 Nov 2020 16:15 Amerisco Nicaragua  0.1
14 Nov 2020 17:15 Todasana Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 17:15 Urama Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 17:15 La Virginia Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 17:15 Caruao Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 17:15 Chuspa Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 16:00 Karata Nicaragua  0.1
14 Nov 2020 16:00 Huahua Nicaragua  0.1
14 Nov 2020 15:15 Palmarito Colombia  0.1
14 Nov 2020 15:15 Cairano Colombia  0.1
14 Nov 2020 15:15 Loma de Arena Colombia  0.1
14 Nov 2020 15:15 Galerazamba Colombia  0.1
14 Nov 2020 15:15 Helenita Colombia  0.1
14 Nov 2020 15:15 Las Tres Marias Colombia  0.1
14 Nov 2020 15:15 Boca Tocino Colombia  0.1
14 Nov 2020 15:15 San Vicente Colombia  0.1
14 Nov 2020 15:15 San Diego Colombia  0.1
14 Nov 2020 15:15 Hacienda Manates Colombia  0.1
14 Nov 2020 15:15 Salina del Rey Colombia  0.1
14 Nov 2020 15:15 Salina de Rey Colombia  0.1
14 Nov 2020 16:15 Yahurabila Honduras  0.1
14 Nov 2020 16:15 Barra de Caratasca Honduras  0.1
14 Nov 2020 16:15 Kaski Honduras  0.1
14 Nov 2020 16:15 Dapat Honduras  0.1
14 Nov 2020 16:15 Cauauira Honduras  0.1
14 Nov 2020 17:15 Puerto Cabezas Nicaragua  0.1
14 Nov 2020 17:15 Tuapi Nicaragua  0.1
14 Nov 2020 16:45 Lama Laya Nicaragua  0.1
14 Nov 2020 14:30 Wakitupu Panama  0.1
14 Nov 2020 14:30 Ustupo Panama  0.1
14 Nov 2020 18:00 Moron Venezuela  0.1
14 Nov 2020 12:45 El Cabo Colombia  0.1
14 Nov 2020 12:45 Amaiquiro Colombia  0.1
14 Nov 2020 12:45 Junain Colombia  0.1
14 Nov 2020 13:30 La Guardia Colombia  0.1
14 Nov 2020 15:00 Puerto Salgar Colombia  0.1
14 Nov 2020 15:00 Maizal Colombia  0.1
14 Nov 2020 15:00 La Playa Colombia  0.1
14 Nov 2020 15:00 Cementos Caribe Colombia  0.1
14 Nov 2020 15:00 Los Ladrones Colombia  0.1
14 Nov 2020 15:00 El Bluff Nicaragua  0.1
14 Nov 2020 16:00 Tay Lirila Honduras  0.1