Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for LOWELL-20
Off-shore
22 Sep 2020 18 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone LOWELL-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 83 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (23 Sep 00:00 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 83 km/h 0.3 m 74 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 108 km/h 0.5 m 591 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

108 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 22 Sep 2020 18:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 20 Sep 2020 18:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 21 Sep 2020 00:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 21 Sep 2020 06:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 21 Sep 2020 12:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 21 Sep 2020 18:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 22 Sep 2020 00:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 22 Sep 2020 06:00 101 -
- - - - - Mexico
GREEN 8 22 Sep 2020 12:00 108 -
- - - - - Mexico
GREEN 9 22 Sep 2020 18:00 112 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 22 Sep 2020 18:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 20 Sep 2020 18:00 266 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 21 Sep 2020 00:00 166 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 21 Sep 2020 06:00 137 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 21 Sep 2020 12:00 109 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 21 Sep 2020 18:00 145 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 22 Sep 2020 00:00 175 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 22 Sep 2020 06:00 167 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 22 Sep 2020 12:00 81 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 22 Sep 2020 18:00 205 - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Puerto Venustiano Carranza, Mexico. This height is estimated for 23 Sep 2020 00:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 22 Sep 2020 18:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
23 Sep 2020 00:00 Puerto Venustiano Carranza Mexico  0.3
22 Sep 2020 21:15 Bahia Kino Mexico  0.3
23 Sep 2020 00:00 Desembarcadero de Miller Mexico  0.3
22 Sep 2020 21:00 San Rafael Mexico  0.3
23 Sep 2020 00:00 Bahia de Tortugas Mexico  0.3
22 Sep 2020 21:00 Guasimas Mexico  0.3
23 Sep 2020 00:00 Cedros Mexico  0.3
22 Sep 2020 20:45 Tastiota Mexico  0.2
22 Sep 2020 21:00 El Barril Mexico  0.2
23 Sep 2020 00:00 Isla Natividad Mexico  0.2
22 Sep 2020 21:00 San Bruno Mexico  0.2
22 Sep 2020 20:45 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.2
22 Sep 2020 20:30 Guaymas Mexico  0.2
22 Sep 2020 20:30 Empalme Mexico  0.2
22 Sep 2020 22:30 Novillero Mexico  0.2
22 Sep 2020 22:30 Cuantla Mexico  0.2
22 Sep 2020 22:30 Cuamecate Mexico  0.2
22 Sep 2020 20:15 Cachoana Mexico  0.2
22 Sep 2020 20:45 Atanacio Mexico  0.2
22 Sep 2020 20:45 El Paredoncito Mexico  0.2
22 Sep 2020 20:45 Borabampo Mexico  0.2
22 Sep 2020 21:15 San Ignacio Mexico  0.2
22 Sep 2020 21:15 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.2
22 Sep 2020 22:45 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.2
22 Sep 2020 20:45 San Carlos Mexico  0.2
22 Sep 2020 20:45 Mulege Mexico  0.2
22 Sep 2020 21:00 Los Dolores Mexico  0.2
22 Sep 2020 21:15 San Jose Mexico  0.2
22 Sep 2020 23:15 Datilito Mexico  0.2
22 Sep 2020 23:15 La Paz Mexico  0.2
22 Sep 2020 20:00 Camahuiroa Mexico  0.2
22 Sep 2020 21:00 San Cosme Mexico  0.2
22 Sep 2020 21:00 Santa Marta Mexico  0.2
22 Sep 2020 21:00 Liliba Mexico  0.2
22 Sep 2020 20:30 Las Bocas Mexico  0.2
22 Sep 2020 20:15 Topolobampo Mexico  0.2
22 Sep 2020 20:00 El Castillo Mexico  0.2
22 Sep 2020 20:00 Las Arenitas Mexico  0.2
22 Sep 2020 20:45 San Juanico Mexico  0.2
23 Sep 2020 00:00 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.2
23 Sep 2020 00:00 El Guatamota Mexico  0.2
22 Sep 2020 20:45 San Bruno Mexico  0.2
22 Sep 2020 20:45 Loreto Mexico  0.2
22 Sep 2020 22:00 Tripui Mexico  0.2
22 Sep 2020 20:30 El Aquajito Mexico  0.2
22 Sep 2020 22:30 Rosario Mexico  0.2
22 Sep 2020 22:45 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
22 Sep 2020 22:45 El Nuevo Mexico  0.2
22 Sep 2020 20:30 Ligui Mexico  0.2
22 Sep 2020 22:30 La Ventana Mexico  0.2
22 Sep 2020 22:30 Ensenada de los Muertos Mexico  0.2
22 Sep 2020 22:45 La Puerta Mexico  0.2
22 Sep 2020 23:30 Buenaventura Mexico  0.2
22 Sep 2020 23:30 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.2
22 Sep 2020 23:30 La Florida Mexico  0.2
22 Sep 2020 23:30 San Carlos Mexico  0.2
22 Sep 2020 22:15 Toro Mocho Mexico  0.2
22 Sep 2020 22:45 Jarilla Mexico  0.2
22 Sep 2020 22:00 San Juan de la Costa Mexico  0.2
22 Sep 2020 23:00 San Juanico Mexico  0.2
22 Sep 2020 23:00 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.2
22 Sep 2020 21:15 Los Burros Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 22:15 La Playa Colorada Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 22:45 Caimanero Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 22:00 Tambobiche Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 21:30 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 22:45 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 22:00 Boca del Rio Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 22:15 Altata Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 23:00 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 22:30 Adolfo Lopez Mateos Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 22:30 Queretaro Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 22:15 La Fortuna Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 22:15 El Cardoncito Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 22:15 Los Frailes Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 22:30 La Palmita Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 23:15 Madero Amarillo Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 22:30 Rancho Datilari Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 22:30 Rancho Conejo Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 22:00 La Trinadad Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 22:30 La Boca Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 22:00 Las Palmas Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 21:45 Punta Mita Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 21:45 Cruz de Juanacaxtle Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 22:00 La Ribera Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 22:00 Punta Colorada Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 22:00 Punta Arena Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 22:00 Los Tesos Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 22:30 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 23:30 Puerto Magdalena Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 23:15 Estero la Bocana Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 23:00 Perihuete Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 23:00 Dimas Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 21:45 Pizota Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 22:00 San Francisco Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 22:00 Monteon Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 22:15 Florida Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 22:15 Mazatlan Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 22:30 El Tomale Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 21:15 Chola Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 23:45 Playa Oceano Pacifico Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 21:45 Corrales Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 22:00 Los Inocentes Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 22:00 Barron Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 21:30 Aquiles Serdan Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 20:45 Ipala Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 22:15 Quinones Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 22:30 Marmol Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 23:45 Bahia Asuncion Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 22:30 Agua Fresca Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 22:15 Cunano Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 22:15 San Jose del Cabo Mexico  0.1