Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for LOWELL-20
Off-shore
21 Sep 2020 12 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone LOWELL-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 65 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (21 Sep 14:30 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 65 km/h 0.3 m 292 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 79 km/h 0.5 m 736 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

79 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 21 Sep 2020 12:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 20 Sep 2020 00:00 47 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 20 Sep 2020 12:00 47 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 21 Sep 2020 00:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 21 Sep 2020 12:00 65 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 21 Sep 2020 12:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 20 Sep 2020 00:00 145 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 20 Sep 2020 12:00 549 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 21 Sep 2020 00:00 287 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 21 Sep 2020 12:00 345 - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Puerto Venustiano Carranza, Mexico. This height is estimated for 21 Sep 2020 14:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 21 Sep 2020 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
21 Sep 2020 14:30 Puerto Venustiano Carranza Mexico  0.3
21 Sep 2020 14:30 Desembarcadero de Miller Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2020 22:30 Bahia Kino Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2020 14:30 Bahia de Tortugas Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2020 22:45 Guaymas Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2020 22:45 Empalme Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2020 22:45 San Rafael Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2020 23:15 El Barril Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2020 23:00 San Bruno Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2020 23:00 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2020 22:45 Tastiota Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2020 23:00 Guasimas Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2020 22:45 San Ignacio Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2020 22:45 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2020 23:30 Atanacio Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2020 23:30 El Paredoncito Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2020 23:30 Borabampo Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2020 19:30 San Juanico Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2020 19:30 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2020 19:30 Buenaventura Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2020 19:30 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2020 19:45 Cedros Mexico  0.2
22 Sep 2020 00:00 Camahuiroa Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2020 23:30 Mulege Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2020 23:30 Los Dolores Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2020 23:15 San Jose Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2020 23:30 Loreto Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2020 23:30 Ligui Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2020 23:30 Tripui Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2020 20:15 Novillero Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2020 20:15 Cuantla Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2020 20:15 Cuamecate Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2020 23:00 San Carlos Mexico  0.2
22 Sep 2020 00:00 Datilito Mexico  0.2
22 Sep 2020 00:00 La Paz Mexico  0.2
22 Sep 2020 00:00 Rosario Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2020 23:30 San Bruno Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 23:30 San Juanico Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 00:00 Las Bocas Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 23:00 Liliba Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 23:45 San Cosme Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 00:00 Perihuete Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 00:00 Toro Mocho Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 00:00 Dimas Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 14:45 Isla Natividad Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 19:30 La Florida Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 19:30 San Carlos Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 23:15 El Aquajito Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 17:45 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 17:45 El Guatamota Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 23:30 Santa Marta Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 19:30 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 19:15 Adolfo Lopez Mateos Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 19:15 Queretaro Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 00:00 La Boca Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 12:00 Cachoana Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 23:30 San Juan de la Costa Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 00:00 Tambobiche Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 00:00 Los Burros Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 00:00 Boca del Rio Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 21:45 El Castillo Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 21:45 Las Arenitas Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 00:00 La Ventana Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 00:00 Ensenada de los Muertos Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 23:30 Topolobampo Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 20:00 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 20:00 El Nuevo Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 00:00 Altata Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 00:00 La Playa Colorada Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 00:00 San Francisco Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 00:00 Monteon Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 19:15 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 23:30 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 23:45 Barron Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 23:45 La Palmita Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 23:45 Caimanero Mexico  0.1