Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for LOWELL-20
Off-shore

Impact

Tropical Cyclone LOWELL-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 54 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (21 Sep 01:30 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 54 km/h 0.3 m 166 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 108 km/h 0.5 m 591 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

108 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 21 Sep 2020 00:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 20 Sep 2020 18:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 21 Sep 2020 00:00 86 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 21 Sep 2020 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
50-100 mmMexico01 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 20 Sep 2020 18:00 266 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 21 Sep 2020 00:00 319 -
- - - - - Mexico




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Puerto Venustiano Carranza, Mexico. This height is estimated for 21 Sep 2020 01:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 21 Sep 2020 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
21 Sep 2020 01:30 Puerto Venustiano Carranza Mexico  0.3
21 Sep 2020 02:30 San Rafael Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2020 02:15 Bahia Kino Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2020 02:00 Guaymas Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2020 02:00 Empalme Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2020 02:00 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2020 02:00 El Guatamota Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2020 01:15 Desembarcadero de Miller Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2020 01:45 Datilito Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2020 01:45 La Paz Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2020 01:45 Rosario Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2020 06:00 Bahia de Tortugas Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2020 02:30 Guasimas Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2020 06:00 Cedros Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2020 02:15 Tastiota Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2020 00:00 Boca del Rio Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2020 00:00 La Playa Colorada Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2020 01:45 Camahuiroa Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2020 00:45 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2020 00:30 San Juanico Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2020 00:30 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2020 00:30 Buenaventura Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2020 00:45 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2020 02:30 San Bruno Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2020 00:45 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2020 00:45 Novillero Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2020 02:30 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2020 02:30 El Barril Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2020 01:00 Topolobampo Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2020 00:30 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2020 00:45 La Puerta Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2020 00:30 Cuantla Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2020 00:30 Cuamecate Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2020 00:30 Adolfo Lopez Mateos Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2020 00:30 Queretaro Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2020 01:15 Atanacio Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2020 01:15 El Paredoncito Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2020 01:15 Borabampo Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2020 00:45 Caimanero Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 00:45 Jarilla Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 01:30 San Ignacio Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 01:30 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 02:15 Las Bocas Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 01:00 San Juan de la Costa Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 01:30 Mulege Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 06:00 Isla Natividad Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 01:45 Los Dolores Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 00:00 La Florida Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 00:00 San Carlos Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 01:30 San Carlos Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 00:45 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 00:45 El Nuevo Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 01:45 San Jose Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 01:45 Liliba Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 01:15 Tripui Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 01:15 San Cosme Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 01:30 Loreto Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 01:30 Ligui Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 01:30 San Bruno Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 00:45 Cachoana Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 01:30 San Juanico Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 00:45 El Aquajito Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 00:15 Quinones Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 01:15 Santa Marta Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 00:15 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 00:30 La Ventana Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 00:30 Ensenada de los Muertos Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 01:00 Tambobiche Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 01:00 Los Burros Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 00:45 La Palmita Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 00:15 Toro Mocho Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 00:15 Rancho Datilari Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 00:45 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 00:00 Puerto Magdalena Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 00:00 Madero Amarillo Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 00:15 El Tomale Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 00:15 Agua Fresca Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 00:15 Cunano Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 00:15 Los Inocentes Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 00:00 Altata Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 00:00 El Castillo Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 00:15 Rancho Conejo Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 00:00 Las Arenitas Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 01:45 Perihuete Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 01:45 Dimas Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 01:00 La Trinadad Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 01:00 Las Palmas Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 01:45 La Boca Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 00:00 Estero la Bocana Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 00:30 La Fortuna Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 00:30 El Cardoncito Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 00:30 Los Frailes Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 00:45 La Ribera Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 00:45 Punta Colorada Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 00:45 Punta Arena Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 00:45 Los Tesos Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 00:00 Playa Oceano Pacifico Mexico  0.1