Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for LOWELL-20
Off-shore

Impact

Tropical Cyclone LOWELL-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 47 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.5 m (20 Sep 23:00 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 47 km/h 0.5 m 549 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 79 km/h 0.5 m 736 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

79 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 20 Sep 2020 12:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 20 Sep 2020 00:00 47 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 20 Sep 2020 12:00 54 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 20 Sep 2020 12:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 20 Sep 2020 00:00 145 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 20 Sep 2020 12:00 654 - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.5 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.5m in Puerto Venustiano Carranza, Mexico. This height is estimated for 20 Sep 2020 23:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 20 Sep 2020 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
20 Sep 2020 23:00 Puerto Venustiano Carranza Mexico  0.5
20 Sep 2020 18:00 Desembarcadero de Miller Mexico  0.4
20 Sep 2020 23:00 Bahia de Tortugas Mexico  0.3
20 Sep 2020 18:00 Cedros Mexico  0.3
20 Sep 2020 23:15 Isla Natividad Mexico  0.2
20 Sep 2020 23:15 Bahia Kino Mexico  0.2
20 Sep 2020 18:30 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.2
20 Sep 2020 18:30 El Guatamota Mexico  0.2
20 Sep 2020 15:45 Novillero Mexico  0.2
20 Sep 2020 15:45 Cuantla Mexico  0.2
20 Sep 2020 15:45 Cuamecate Mexico  0.2
20 Sep 2020 14:30 San Rafael Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2020 00:00 San Bruno Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2020 00:00 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.2
20 Sep 2020 23:30 Guasimas Mexico  0.2
20 Sep 2020 17:00 Perihuete Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2020 00:00 El Barril Mexico  0.2
20 Sep 2020 16:00 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.2
20 Sep 2020 16:45 El Nuevo Mexico  0.2
20 Sep 2020 16:45 Toro Mocho Mexico  0.2
20 Sep 2020 17:15 Cachoana Mexico  0.2
21 Sep 2020 00:00 Tastiota Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2020 16:15 Jarilla Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2020 16:15 La Puerta Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2020 17:00 Camahuiroa Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2020 17:30 El Castillo Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2020 17:30 Las Arenitas Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2020 17:00 Dimas Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 00:00 Guaymas Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 00:00 Empalme Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2020 16:15 Caimanero Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2020 16:30 Datilito Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2020 16:30 La Paz Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2020 16:00 Buenaventura Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2020 16:00 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2020 21:30 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2020 17:00 La Boca Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2020 15:45 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 00:00 Mulege Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 00:00 Los Dolores Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 00:00 Atanacio Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 00:00 El Paredoncito Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 00:00 Borabampo Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2020 17:15 Topolobampo Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 00:00 San Carlos Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 00:00 San Ignacio Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 00:00 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2020 23:45 Las Bocas Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2020 16:15 La Palmita Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2020 16:15 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2020 15:30 Boca del Rio Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2020 15:30 La Playa Colorada Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2020 16:30 La Fortuna Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2020 16:30 El Cardoncito Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2020 16:30 Los Frailes Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2020 21:45 San Juanico Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2020 21:45 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 00:00 Liliba Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2020 21:15 La Florida Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2020 21:15 San Carlos Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2020 16:15 Monteon Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2020 15:45 Rosario Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2020 16:15 Punta Mita Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2020 16:15 San Francisco Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2020 16:15 Cruz de Juanacaxtle Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 00:00 San Jose Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2020 22:00 Adolfo Lopez Mateos Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2020 22:00 Queretaro Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2020 17:45 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.1
21 Sep 2020 00:00 San Juanico Mexico  0.1
20 Sep 2020 17:15 Altata Mexico  0.1