Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for LOWELL-20
Off-shore
22 Sep 2020 06 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone LOWELL-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries Mexico
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 90 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (22 Sep 10:15 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 90 km/h 0.3 m 315 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 126 km/h 1.0 m 535 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

126 km/h

Up to Few people can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 22 Sep 2020 06:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormMexico227 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 20 Sep 2020 18:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 21 Sep 2020 00:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 21 Sep 2020 06:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 21 Sep 2020 12:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 21 Sep 2020 18:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 22 Sep 2020 00:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 22 Sep 2020 06:00 104 -
- - - - - Mexico
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 22 Sep 2020 06:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 20 Sep 2020 18:00 327 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 21 Sep 2020 00:00 272 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 21 Sep 2020 06:00 129 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 21 Sep 2020 12:00 352 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 21 Sep 2020 18:00 517 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 22 Sep 2020 00:00 299 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 22 Sep 2020 06:00 490 - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Bahia Kino, Mexico. This height is estimated for 22 Sep 2020 10:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 22 Sep 2020 06:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
22 Sep 2020 10:15 Bahia Kino Mexico  0.3
22 Sep 2020 11:45 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.3
22 Sep 2020 11:45 El Guatamota Mexico  0.3
22 Sep 2020 10:00 Desembarcadero de Miller Mexico  0.3
22 Sep 2020 10:45 San Rafael Mexico  0.3
22 Sep 2020 09:15 Toro Mocho Mexico  0.3
22 Sep 2020 10:30 Puerto Venustiano Carranza Mexico  0.3
22 Sep 2020 09:45 Bahia de Tortugas Mexico  0.3
22 Sep 2020 10:45 Guasimas Mexico  0.3
22 Sep 2020 09:15 El Nuevo Mexico  0.3
22 Sep 2020 11:00 San Bruno Mexico  0.3
22 Sep 2020 11:00 El Barril Mexico  0.3
22 Sep 2020 11:00 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.2
22 Sep 2020 10:00 Guaymas Mexico  0.2
22 Sep 2020 10:00 Empalme Mexico  0.2
22 Sep 2020 10:45 Tastiota Mexico  0.2
22 Sep 2020 10:45 Las Bocas Mexico  0.2
22 Sep 2020 10:45 Camahuiroa Mexico  0.2
22 Sep 2020 10:15 Cedros Mexico  0.2
22 Sep 2020 09:00 Jarilla Mexico  0.2
22 Sep 2020 09:00 La Puerta Mexico  0.2
22 Sep 2020 09:00 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.2
22 Sep 2020 09:15 Novillero Mexico  0.2
22 Sep 2020 09:00 Caimanero Mexico  0.2
22 Sep 2020 10:15 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.2
22 Sep 2020 10:15 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.2
22 Sep 2020 11:00 Mulege Mexico  0.2
22 Sep 2020 11:00 Los Dolores Mexico  0.2
22 Sep 2020 11:15 San Ignacio Mexico  0.2
22 Sep 2020 11:15 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.2
22 Sep 2020 10:45 San Carlos Mexico  0.2
22 Sep 2020 10:00 Atanacio Mexico  0.2
22 Sep 2020 10:00 El Paredoncito Mexico  0.2
22 Sep 2020 10:00 Borabampo Mexico  0.2
22 Sep 2020 10:15 Cachoana Mexico  0.2
22 Sep 2020 10:15 El Castillo Mexico  0.2
22 Sep 2020 10:15 Las Arenitas Mexico  0.2
22 Sep 2020 10:15 Liliba Mexico  0.2
22 Sep 2020 10:30 Loreto Mexico  0.2
22 Sep 2020 10:30 Ligui Mexico  0.2
22 Sep 2020 10:30 Tripui Mexico  0.2
22 Sep 2020 09:30 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
22 Sep 2020 10:00 San Cosme Mexico  0.2
22 Sep 2020 10:15 San Jose Mexico  0.2
22 Sep 2020 10:45 Datilito Mexico  0.2
22 Sep 2020 10:45 La Paz Mexico  0.2
22 Sep 2020 10:45 San Bruno Mexico  0.2
22 Sep 2020 09:15 La Florida Mexico  0.2
22 Sep 2020 09:15 San Carlos Mexico  0.2
22 Sep 2020 10:45 Topolobampo Mexico  0.2
22 Sep 2020 10:45 San Juanico Mexico  0.2
22 Sep 2020 10:15 Rosario Mexico  0.2
22 Sep 2020 10:15 El Aquajito Mexico  0.2
22 Sep 2020 08:15 Cuantla Mexico  0.2
22 Sep 2020 08:15 Cuamecate Mexico  0.2
22 Sep 2020 10:00 Adolfo Lopez Mateos Mexico  0.2
22 Sep 2020 10:00 Queretaro Mexico  0.2
22 Sep 2020 10:00 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.2
22 Sep 2020 10:00 Boca del Rio Mexico  0.2
22 Sep 2020 09:15 La Palmita Mexico  0.2
22 Sep 2020 09:15 Perihuete Mexico  0.2
22 Sep 2020 09:15 Dimas Mexico  0.2
22 Sep 2020 10:15 San Juanico Mexico  0.2
22 Sep 2020 10:15 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.2
22 Sep 2020 10:00 Altata Mexico  0.2
22 Sep 2020 11:00 La Ventana Mexico  0.2
22 Sep 2020 11:00 Ensenada de los Muertos Mexico  0.2
22 Sep 2020 08:00 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.2
22 Sep 2020 11:00 Buenaventura Mexico  0.2
22 Sep 2020 10:00 La Playa Colorada Mexico  0.2
22 Sep 2020 10:15 Puerto Magdalena Mexico  0.2
22 Sep 2020 09:30 La Boca Mexico  0.2
22 Sep 2020 11:45 Santa Marta Mexico  0.2
22 Sep 2020 10:30 Madero Amarillo Mexico  0.2
22 Sep 2020 10:00 Rancho Datilari Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 10:00 Quinones Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 10:15 Isla Natividad Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 10:00 Rancho Conejo Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 11:45 San Juan de la Costa Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 11:00 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 11:00 Los Burros Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 11:15 Tambobiche Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 08:30 Punta Mita Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 08:30 San Francisco Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 08:30 Monteon Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 09:15 La Fortuna Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 09:15 El Cardoncito Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 09:15 Los Frailes Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 08:45 Marmol Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 08:45 Florida Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 08:45 Mazatlan Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 08:15 Cruz de Juanacaxtle Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 09:30 Barron Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 11:00 Playa Oceano Pacifico Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 11:00 Estero la Bocana Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 08:30 Chola Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 10:00 El Tomale Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 09:45 Agua Fresca Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 09:45 Cunano Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 10:45 La Trinadad Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 10:45 Las Palmas Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 09:45 Los Inocentes Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 10:30 Bahia Asuncion Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 09:30 La Ribera Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 09:30 Punta Colorada Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 09:30 Punta Arena Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 09:30 Los Tesos Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 08:45 Corrales Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 08:45 Aquiles Serdan Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 08:45 Ipala Mexico  0.1