Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for LOWELL-20
Off-shore
22 Sep 2020 00 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone LOWELL-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Mexico
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 86 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (22 Sep 04:00 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 86 km/h 0.2 m 175 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 108 km/h 0.5 m 591 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

108 km/h

Up to Few people can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 22 Sep 2020 00:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormMexico227 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 20 Sep 2020 18:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 21 Sep 2020 00:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 21 Sep 2020 06:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 21 Sep 2020 12:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 21 Sep 2020 18:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 22 Sep 2020 00:00 94 -
- - - - - Mexico
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 22 Sep 2020 00:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 20 Sep 2020 18:00 266 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 21 Sep 2020 00:00 166 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 21 Sep 2020 06:00 137 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 21 Sep 2020 12:00 109 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 21 Sep 2020 18:00 145 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 22 Sep 2020 00:00 395 - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Puerto Venustiano Carranza, Mexico. This height is estimated for 22 Sep 2020 04:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 22 Sep 2020 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
22 Sep 2020 04:00 Puerto Venustiano Carranza Mexico  0.2
22 Sep 2020 00:45 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.2
22 Sep 2020 00:45 El Guatamota Mexico  0.2
22 Sep 2020 04:15 Desembarcadero de Miller Mexico  0.2
22 Sep 2020 04:00 Bahia de Tortugas Mexico  0.2
22 Sep 2020 02:00 Bahia Kino Mexico  0.2
22 Sep 2020 01:00 Datilito Mexico  0.2
22 Sep 2020 01:00 La Paz Mexico  0.2
22 Sep 2020 00:15 Rosario Mexico  0.2
22 Sep 2020 01:15 Cachoana Mexico  0.2
22 Sep 2020 04:00 Cedros Mexico  0.2
22 Sep 2020 01:45 San Rafael Mexico  0.2
22 Sep 2020 00:30 Atanacio Mexico  0.2
22 Sep 2020 00:30 El Paredoncito Mexico  0.2
22 Sep 2020 00:30 Borabampo Mexico  0.2
22 Sep 2020 00:00 San Ignacio Mexico  0.2
22 Sep 2020 00:00 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.2
22 Sep 2020 00:00 San Cosme Mexico  0.2
22 Sep 2020 00:00 Santa Marta Mexico  0.2
22 Sep 2020 00:00 San Jose Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 00:15 Las Bocas Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 00:45 Guaymas Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 00:45 Empalme Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 00:15 San Bruno Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 00:15 Mulege Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 00:00 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 00:00 Novillero Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 00:30 Camahuiroa Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 00:00 San Juan de la Costa Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 00:00 Liliba Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 01:15 Topolobampo Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 00:15 Los Dolores Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 00:00 Madero Amarillo Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 00:00 Tripui Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 00:00 San Carlos Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 00:00 San Juanico Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 00:15 San Bruno Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 00:00 El Aquajito Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 00:15 Cuantla Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 00:00 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 00:00 Loreto Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 00:45 Tastiota Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 00:00 Guasimas Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 00:15 Los Burros Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 04:00 Isla Natividad Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 00:00 Ligui Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 00:00 Puerto Magdalena Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 00:00 San Carlos Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 00:00 La Puerta Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 00:00 La Fortuna Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 00:00 El Cardoncito Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 00:00 Los Frailes Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 00:15 Tambobiche Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 00:15 Cuamecate Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 00:00 Boca del Rio Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 00:15 La Playa Colorada Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 00:00 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 00:00 La Ventana Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 00:00 Ensenada de los Muertos Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 00:00 El Barril Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 00:00 Jarilla Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 00:00 Buenaventura Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 00:00 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 00:00 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 00:00 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 00:00 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 00:00 Caimanero Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 01:15 El Castillo Mexico  0.1
22 Sep 2020 01:15 Las Arenitas Mexico  0.1