Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for LOWELL-20 Off-shore from 20 Sep 2020 21:00 UTC to 25 Sep 2020 21:00 UTC

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GDACS NOAA

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone LOWELL-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	65 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.5 m (28 Sep 06:30 UTC)
Vulnerability	--

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
GFS Current	65 km/h	0.5 m	27 mm	0.5
GFS Overall	108 km/h	0.5 m	591 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

108 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 25 Sep 2020 18:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
1	20 Sep 2020 18:00	61	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	21 Sep 2020 00:00	54	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	21 Sep 2020 06:00	61	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	21 Sep 2020 12:00	79	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	21 Sep 2020 18:00	79	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	22 Sep 2020 00:00	86	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	22 Sep 2020 06:00	101	-		-	-	-	-	-	Mexico
8	22 Sep 2020 12:00	108	-		-	-	-	-	-	Mexico
9	22 Sep 2020 18:00	83	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
10	23 Sep 2020 00:00	83	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
11	23 Sep 2020 06:00	83	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
12	23 Sep 2020 12:00	76	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
13	23 Sep 2020 18:00	65	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
14	24 Sep 2020 00:00	68	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
15	24 Sep 2020 06:00	76	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
16	24 Sep 2020 12:00	68	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
17	24 Sep 2020 18:00	68	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
18	25 Sep 2020 00:00	68	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
19	25 Sep 2020 06:00	61	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
20	25 Sep 2020 12:00	61	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
21	25 Sep 2020 18:00	65	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000
1	20 Sep 2020 18:00	266	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	21 Sep 2020 00:00	166	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	21 Sep 2020 06:00	137	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	21 Sep 2020 12:00	109	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	21 Sep 2020 18:00	145	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	22 Sep 2020 00:00	175	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	22 Sep 2020 06:00	167	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	22 Sep 2020 12:00	81	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	22 Sep 2020 18:00	74	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
10	23 Sep 2020 00:00	202	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
11	23 Sep 2020 06:00	117	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
12	23 Sep 2020 12:00	125	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
13	23 Sep 2020 18:00	81	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
14	24 Sep 2020 00:00	59	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
15	24 Sep 2020 06:00	84	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
16	24 Sep 2020 12:00	186	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
17	24 Sep 2020 18:00	57	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
18	25 Sep 2020 00:00	47	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
19	25 Sep 2020 06:00	82	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
20	25 Sep 2020 12:00	108	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
21	25 Sep 2020 18:00	299	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

StormSurge

0.5 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.5m in Puerto Venustiano Carranza, Mexico. This height is estimated for 28 Sep 2020 06:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 25 Sep 2020 18:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	28 Sep 2020 06:30	Puerto Venustiano Carranza	Mexico	0.5
	26 Sep 2020 17:45	Desembarcadero de Miller	Mexico	0.4
	25 Sep 2020 18:00	Bahia de Tortugas	Mexico	0.4
	28 Sep 2020 01:15	Puerto Cortes	Mexico	0.4
	28 Sep 2020 01:15	El Guatamota	Mexico	0.4
	26 Sep 2020 17:45	Cedros	Mexico	0.3
	27 Sep 2020 12:45	Bahia Kino	Mexico	0.3
	28 Sep 2020 11:45	San Rafael	Mexico	0.3
	26 Sep 2020 12:00	Isla Natividad	Mexico	0.3
	28 Sep 2020 11:15	Tastiota	Mexico	0.3
	28 Sep 2020 11:15	El Barril	Mexico	0.3
	28 Sep 2020 11:15	San Bruno	Mexico	0.3
	28 Sep 2020 11:15	Santa Rosalia	Mexico	0.3
	28 Sep 2020 11:15	Mulege	Mexico	0.3
	27 Sep 2020 12:15	Guasimas	Mexico	0.3
	28 Sep 2020 11:45	Guaymas	Mexico	0.3
	28 Sep 2020 11:45	Empalme	Mexico	0.3
	28 Sep 2020 11:30	Atanacio	Mexico	0.3
	28 Sep 2020 11:30	El Paredoncito	Mexico	0.3
	28 Sep 2020 11:30	Borabampo	Mexico	0.3
	28 Sep 2020 10:15	Cachoana	Mexico	0.3
	28 Sep 2020 10:45	San Ignacio	Mexico	0.3
	28 Sep 2020 10:45	Santa Rosalia	Mexico	0.3
	28 Sep 2020 11:15	Los Dolores	Mexico	0.3
	28 Sep 2020 11:15	San Carlos	Mexico	0.2
	28 Sep 2020 10:15	Camahuiroa	Mexico	0.2
	28 Sep 2020 11:00	San Jose	Mexico	0.2
	28 Sep 2020 11:15	Liliba	Mexico	0.2
	28 Sep 2020 10:30	Topolobampo	Mexico	0.2
	28 Sep 2020 11:15	Loreto	Mexico	0.2
	28 Sep 2020 11:15	Ligui	Mexico	0.2
	28 Sep 2020 11:15	Tripui	Mexico	0.2
	28 Sep 2020 10:30	El Castillo	Mexico	0.2
	28 Sep 2020 10:30	Las Arenitas	Mexico	0.2
	28 Sep 2020 11:15	San Bruno	Mexico	0.2
	28 Sep 2020 11:15	San Juanico	Mexico	0.2
	28 Sep 2020 10:15	Las Bocas	Mexico	0.2
	28 Sep 2020 10:15	Datilito	Mexico	0.2
	28 Sep 2020 10:00	La Paz	Mexico	0.2
	28 Sep 2020 10:45	San Cosme	Mexico	0.2
	28 Sep 2020 10:45	Santa Marta	Mexico	0.2
	28 Sep 2020 11:00	El Aquajito	Mexico	0.2
	27 Sep 2020 23:15	Novillero	Mexico	0.2
	27 Sep 2020 23:15	Cuantla	Mexico	0.2
	27 Sep 2020 23:15	Cuamecate	Mexico	0.2
	28 Sep 2020 10:45	Rosario	Mexico	0.2
	28 Sep 2020 10:15	Boca del Rio	Mexico	0.2
	28 Sep 2020 10:30	San Juan de la Costa	Mexico	0.2
	28 Sep 2020 10:45	Tambobiche	Mexico	0.2
	28 Sep 2020 10:45	Los Burros	Mexico	0.2
	27 Sep 2020 23:45	Agua del Coyote	Mexico	0.2
	27 Sep 2020 23:45	Las Tinajas	Mexico	0.2
	27 Sep 2020 23:00	La Playa Colorada	Mexico	0.2
	26 Sep 2020 11:30	Buenaventura	Mexico	0.2
	28 Sep 2020 09:30	Santa Cruz	Mexico	0.2
	28 Sep 2020 09:30	El Nuevo	Mexico	0.2
	28 Sep 2020 09:30	Toro Mocho	Mexico	0.2
	28 Sep 2020 09:45	Isla de Palmito del Verde	Mexico	0.2
	28 Sep 2020 09:45	La Ventana	Mexico	0.2
	28 Sep 2020 09:45	Ensenada de los Muertos	Mexico	0.2
	28 Sep 2020 10:15	Santa Cruz	Mexico	0.2
	28 Sep 2020 10:00	La Boca	Mexico	0.2
	28 Sep 2020 00:15	San Juanico	Mexico	0.2
	28 Sep 2020 00:15	Boca del Melgoita	Mexico	0.2
	28 Sep 2020 09:45	Perihuete	Mexico	0.2
	28 Sep 2020 10:00	Altata	Mexico	0.2
	27 Sep 2020 23:45	Santo Domingo	Mexico	0.2
	28 Sep 2020 00:15	Puerto Magdalena	Mexico	0.2
	28 Sep 2020 00:15	San Carlos	Mexico	0.2
	28 Sep 2020 00:15	Madero Amarillo	Mexico	0.2
	28 Sep 2020 10:00	Punta Mita	Mexico	0.2
	28 Sep 2020 10:00	San Francisco	Mexico	0.2
	28 Sep 2020 10:00	Monteon	Mexico	0.2
	27 Sep 2020 23:45	Adolfo Lopez Mateos	Mexico	0.2
	27 Sep 2020 23:45	Queretaro	Mexico	0.2
	28 Sep 2020 12:15	La Florida	Mexico	0.2
	28 Sep 2020 10:00	La Fortuna	Mexico	0.2
	28 Sep 2020 10:00	El Cardoncito	Mexico	0.2
	28 Sep 2020 10:00	Los Frailes	Mexico	0.2
	28 Sep 2020 09:30	La Puerta	Mexico	0.2
	28 Sep 2020 10:00	Cruz de Juanacaxtle	Mexico	0.2
	28 Sep 2020 09:30	Jarilla	Mexico	0.2
	28 Sep 2020 10:00	Dimas	Mexico	0.2
	28 Sep 2020 09:30	Caimanero	Mexico	0.2
	28 Sep 2020 10:00	La Trinadad	Mexico	0.2
	28 Sep 2020 09:30	Pizota	Mexico	0.2
	28 Sep 2020 10:00	Las Palmas	Mexico	0.2
	28 Sep 2020 10:00	La Ribera	Mexico	0.2
	28 Sep 2020 10:00	Punta Colorada	Mexico	0.2
	28 Sep 2020 10:00	Punta Arena	Mexico	0.2
	28 Sep 2020 10:00	Los Tesos	Mexico	0.2
	28 Sep 2020 09:30	Chola	Mexico	0.2
	28 Sep 2020 09:30	Corrales	Mexico	0.2
	28 Sep 2020 09:30	Aquiles Serdan	Mexico	0.2
	28 Sep 2020 09:30	Ipala	Mexico	0.2
	28 Sep 2020 09:30	La Palmita	Mexico	0.2
	28 Sep 2020 09:45	Marmol	Mexico	0.2
	28 Sep 2020 09:45	Florida	Mexico	0.2
	28 Sep 2020 09:15	Mazatlan	Mexico	0.2
	28 Sep 2020 09:45	Barron	Mexico	0.2
	28 Sep 2020 00:45	Puerto Charley	Mexico	0.1
	27 Sep 2020 23:30	Rancho Datilari	Mexico	0.1
	27 Sep 2020 23:45	Bahia Asuncion	Mexico	0.1
	28 Sep 2020 00:00	Estero la Bocana	Mexico	0.1
	27 Sep 2020 23:15	Rancho Conejo	Mexico	0.1
	27 Sep 2020 23:15	El Tomale	Mexico	0.1
	27 Sep 2020 23:15	Agua Fresca	Mexico	0.1
	27 Sep 2020 23:45	Playa Oceano Pacifico	Mexico	0.1
	27 Sep 2020 23:15	Cunano	Mexico	0.1
	28 Sep 2020 09:45	San Jose del Cabo	Mexico	0.1
	27 Sep 2020 00:15	Quinones	Mexico	0.1
	27 Sep 2020 23:15	Los Inocentes	Mexico	0.1
	28 Sep 2020 10:00	El Tule	Mexico	0.1
	27 Sep 2020 23:00	Todos Santos	Mexico	0.1
	27 Sep 2020 23:00	El Pescadero	Mexico	0.1
	28 Sep 2020 10:15	San Lucas	Mexico	0.1
	27 Sep 2020 23:00	La Tinaja	Mexico	0.1
	27 Sep 2020 23:00	Pozo de Cota	Mexico	0.1