Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for LOWELL-20
Off-shore
24 Sep 2020 18 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone LOWELL-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 68 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.5 m (24 Sep 23:30 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 68 km/h 0.5 m 57 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 108 km/h 0.5 m 591 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

108 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 24 Sep 2020 18:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 20 Sep 2020 18:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 21 Sep 2020 00:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 21 Sep 2020 06:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 21 Sep 2020 12:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 21 Sep 2020 18:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 22 Sep 2020 00:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 22 Sep 2020 06:00 101 -
- - - - - Mexico
GREEN 8 22 Sep 2020 12:00 108 -
- - - - - Mexico
GREEN 9 22 Sep 2020 18:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 23 Sep 2020 00:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 23 Sep 2020 06:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 23 Sep 2020 12:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 23 Sep 2020 18:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 24 Sep 2020 00:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 24 Sep 2020 06:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 16 24 Sep 2020 12:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 17 24 Sep 2020 18:00 68 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 24 Sep 2020 18:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 20 Sep 2020 18:00 266 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 21 Sep 2020 00:00 166 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 21 Sep 2020 06:00 137 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 21 Sep 2020 12:00 109 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 21 Sep 2020 18:00 145 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 22 Sep 2020 00:00 175 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 22 Sep 2020 06:00 167 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 22 Sep 2020 12:00 81 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 22 Sep 2020 18:00 74 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 23 Sep 2020 00:00 202 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 23 Sep 2020 06:00 117 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 23 Sep 2020 12:00 125 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 23 Sep 2020 18:00 81 - - - - - - -
Blue 14 24 Sep 2020 00:00 59 - - - - - - -
Blue 15 24 Sep 2020 06:00 84 - - - - - - -
Blue 16 24 Sep 2020 12:00 186 - - - - - - -
Blue 17 24 Sep 2020 18:00 229 - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

0.5 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.5m in Puerto Venustiano Carranza, Mexico. This height is estimated for 24 Sep 2020 23:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 24 Sep 2020 18:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
24 Sep 2020 23:30 Puerto Venustiano Carranza Mexico  0.5
24 Sep 2020 23:15 Desembarcadero de Miller Mexico  0.5
24 Sep 2020 23:45 Bahia de Tortugas Mexico  0.4
24 Sep 2020 18:45 Bahia Kino Mexico  0.4
24 Sep 2020 18:15 Cedros Mexico  0.3
24 Sep 2020 18:30 San Rafael Mexico  0.3
27 Sep 2020 01:45 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.3
27 Sep 2020 01:45 El Guatamota Mexico  0.3
24 Sep 2020 18:30 Guasimas Mexico  0.3
24 Sep 2020 18:15 Isla Natividad Mexico  0.3
24 Sep 2020 19:15 San Ignacio Mexico  0.3
24 Sep 2020 19:15 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.3
24 Sep 2020 18:00 Camahuiroa Mexico  0.3
24 Sep 2020 19:00 Tastiota Mexico  0.3
24 Sep 2020 18:45 El Barril Mexico  0.3
24 Sep 2020 18:30 Guaymas Mexico  0.2
24 Sep 2020 18:30 Empalme Mexico  0.2
24 Sep 2020 19:15 San Bruno Mexico  0.2
24 Sep 2020 19:30 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.2
24 Sep 2020 19:15 Mulege Mexico  0.2
24 Sep 2020 19:15 Los Dolores Mexico  0.2
24 Sep 2020 19:00 San Carlos Mexico  0.2
24 Sep 2020 19:15 Liliba Mexico  0.2
27 Sep 2020 11:30 Atanacio Mexico  0.2
27 Sep 2020 11:30 El Paredoncito Mexico  0.2
27 Sep 2020 11:30 Borabampo Mexico  0.2
24 Sep 2020 18:00 Las Bocas Mexico  0.2
27 Sep 2020 11:15 Cachoana Mexico  0.2
24 Sep 2020 19:00 San Juanico Mexico  0.2
24 Sep 2020 19:00 San Jose Mexico  0.2
24 Sep 2020 19:00 Loreto Mexico  0.2
24 Sep 2020 19:00 Ligui Mexico  0.2
24 Sep 2020 19:00 Tripui Mexico  0.2
24 Sep 2020 19:00 San Bruno Mexico  0.2
24 Sep 2020 20:15 Datilito Mexico  0.2
24 Sep 2020 20:15 La Paz Mexico  0.2
24 Sep 2020 19:00 San Cosme Mexico  0.2
27 Sep 2020 11:15 Topolobampo Mexico  0.2
24 Sep 2020 19:00 Santa Marta Mexico  0.2
24 Sep 2020 18:45 El Aquajito Mexico  0.2
24 Sep 2020 19:45 Rosario Mexico  0.2
24 Sep 2020 19:30 San Juan de la Costa Mexico  0.2
27 Sep 2020 10:45 El Castillo Mexico  0.2
27 Sep 2020 10:45 Las Arenitas Mexico  0.2
25 Sep 2020 05:45 Buenaventura Mexico  0.2
25 Sep 2020 05:45 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.2
24 Sep 2020 19:15 Tambobiche Mexico  0.2
24 Sep 2020 19:15 Los Burros Mexico  0.2
24 Sep 2020 20:00 Novillero Mexico  0.2
24 Sep 2020 20:00 Cuantla Mexico  0.2
24 Sep 2020 20:00 Cuamecate Mexico  0.2
25 Sep 2020 11:30 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.2
24 Sep 2020 18:00 San Juanico Mexico  0.2
24 Sep 2020 18:00 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.2
25 Sep 2020 05:30 La Florida Mexico  0.2
25 Sep 2020 05:30 San Carlos Mexico  0.2
24 Sep 2020 19:00 La Ventana Mexico  0.2
24 Sep 2020 19:00 Ensenada de los Muertos Mexico  0.2
24 Sep 2020 19:00 Boca del Rio Mexico  0.2
24 Sep 2020 19:15 La Playa Colorada Mexico  0.2
24 Sep 2020 19:15 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
27 Sep 2020 10:00 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
27 Sep 2020 10:00 El Nuevo Mexico  0.2
27 Sep 2020 00:45 Madero Amarillo Mexico  0.2
24 Sep 2020 21:30 Toro Mocho Mexico  0.2
25 Sep 2020 05:00 Adolfo Lopez Mateos Mexico  0.2
25 Sep 2020 05:00 Queretaro Mexico  0.2
25 Sep 2020 05:15 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.2
27 Sep 2020 10:00 La Fortuna Mexico  0.2
27 Sep 2020 10:00 El Cardoncito Mexico  0.2
27 Sep 2020 10:00 Los Frailes Mexico  0.2
24 Sep 2020 19:30 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.2
27 Sep 2020 10:30 Altata Mexico  0.2
25 Sep 2020 06:00 Puerto Magdalena Mexico  0.2
24 Sep 2020 19:15 Punta Mita Mexico  0.2
24 Sep 2020 19:15 San Francisco Mexico  0.2
24 Sep 2020 19:15 Monteon Mexico  0.2
24 Sep 2020 19:45 La Puerta Mexico  0.2
24 Sep 2020 19:45 Jarilla Mexico  0.1
27 Sep 2020 10:15 La Boca Mexico  0.1
27 Sep 2020 10:15 Perihuete Mexico  0.1
24 Sep 2020 19:15 La Trinadad Mexico  0.1
24 Sep 2020 19:45 Caimanero Mexico  0.1
24 Sep 2020 19:45 Las Palmas Mexico  0.1
24 Sep 2020 19:15 Cruz de Juanacaxtle Mexico  0.1
24 Sep 2020 19:45 La Ribera Mexico  0.1
24 Sep 2020 19:45 Punta Colorada Mexico  0.1
24 Sep 2020 19:45 Punta Arena Mexico  0.1
24 Sep 2020 19:45 Los Tesos Mexico  0.1
27 Sep 2020 10:15 Dimas Mexico  0.1
27 Sep 2020 00:15 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.1
27 Sep 2020 00:15 Quinones Mexico  0.1
24 Sep 2020 20:30 Aquiles Serdan Mexico  0.1
24 Sep 2020 20:30 Ipala Mexico  0.1
27 Sep 2020 10:15 La Palmita Mexico  0.1
24 Sep 2020 21:00 Marmol Mexico  0.1
24 Sep 2020 21:00 Florida Mexico  0.1
24 Sep 2020 21:00 Mazatlan Mexico  0.1
27 Sep 2020 00:00 El Tomale Mexico  0.1
27 Sep 2020 00:00 Agua Fresca Mexico  0.1
27 Sep 2020 00:00 Cunano Mexico  0.1
24 Sep 2020 21:00 Pizota Mexico  0.1
27 Sep 2020 00:15 Rancho Datilari Mexico  0.1
24 Sep 2020 20:45 Corrales Mexico  0.1
25 Sep 2020 05:45 Estero la Bocana Mexico  0.1
25 Sep 2020 05:30 Playa Oceano Pacifico Mexico  0.1
27 Sep 2020 10:00 Barron Mexico  0.1
24 Sep 2020 20:30 Chola Mexico  0.1
27 Sep 2020 00:00 Los Inocentes Mexico  0.1
27 Sep 2020 00:00 Rancho Conejo Mexico  0.1
25 Sep 2020 05:30 Bahia Asuncion Mexico  0.1
27 Sep 2020 10:15 San Jose del Cabo Mexico  0.1
27 Sep 2020 00:30 Todos Santos Mexico  0.1
27 Sep 2020 00:30 El Pescadero Mexico  0.1
27 Sep 2020 10:15 El Tule Mexico  0.1
27 Sep 2020 10:15 San Lucas Mexico  0.1