Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for LOWELL-20
Off-shore
23 Sep 2020 00 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone LOWELL-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 86 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.7 m (23 Sep 05:45 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 86 km/h 0.7 m 183 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 126 km/h 1.0 m 535 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

126 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 23 Sep 2020 00:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 20 Sep 2020 18:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 21 Sep 2020 00:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 21 Sep 2020 06:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 21 Sep 2020 12:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 21 Sep 2020 18:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 22 Sep 2020 00:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 22 Sep 2020 06:00 90 -
- - - - - Mexico
GREEN 8 22 Sep 2020 12:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 22 Sep 2020 18:00 126 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 23 Sep 2020 00:00 115 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 23 Sep 2020 00:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 20 Sep 2020 18:00 327 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 21 Sep 2020 00:00 272 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 21 Sep 2020 06:00 129 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 21 Sep 2020 12:00 352 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 21 Sep 2020 18:00 517 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 22 Sep 2020 00:00 299 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 22 Sep 2020 06:00 315 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 22 Sep 2020 12:00 327 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 22 Sep 2020 18:00 481 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 23 Sep 2020 00:00 203 - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

0.7 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.7m in Puerto Venustiano Carranza, Mexico. This height is estimated for 23 Sep 2020 05:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 23 Sep 2020 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
23 Sep 2020 05:45 Puerto Venustiano Carranza Mexico  0.7
23 Sep 2020 05:45 Desembarcadero de Miller Mexico  0.6
23 Sep 2020 05:15 Cedros Mexico  0.6
23 Sep 2020 05:15 Bahia de Tortugas Mexico  0.5
23 Sep 2020 05:30 Isla Natividad Mexico  0.4
23 Sep 2020 00:30 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.3
23 Sep 2020 00:30 El Guatamota Mexico  0.3
23 Sep 2020 04:45 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.2
23 Sep 2020 05:00 Buenaventura Mexico  0.2
23 Sep 2020 04:45 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.2
23 Sep 2020 05:00 San Juanico Mexico  0.2
23 Sep 2020 03:30 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.2
23 Sep 2020 04:45 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.2
23 Sep 2020 04:45 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.2
23 Sep 2020 04:30 La Florida Mexico  0.2
23 Sep 2020 05:00 San Carlos Mexico  0.2
23 Sep 2020 02:45 Toro Mocho Mexico  0.2
23 Sep 2020 00:00 Guaymas Mexico  0.2
23 Sep 2020 00:00 Empalme Mexico  0.2
23 Sep 2020 04:15 Adolfo Lopez Mateos Mexico  0.2
23 Sep 2020 04:15 Queretaro Mexico  0.2
23 Sep 2020 00:00 Quinones Mexico  0.2
23 Sep 2020 05:30 Puerto Magdalena Mexico  0.2
23 Sep 2020 05:30 Madero Amarillo Mexico  0.2
23 Sep 2020 00:00 Estero la Bocana Mexico  0.1
23 Sep 2020 00:30 Punta Mita Mexico  0.1
23 Sep 2020 00:30 San Francisco Mexico  0.1
23 Sep 2020 00:30 Monteon Mexico  0.1
23 Sep 2020 04:00 Playa Oceano Pacifico Mexico  0.1
23 Sep 2020 00:00 Datilito Mexico  0.1
23 Sep 2020 00:00 La Paz Mexico  0.1
23 Sep 2020 00:00 Rosario Mexico  0.1
23 Sep 2020 00:00 Altata Mexico  0.1
23 Sep 2020 00:00 El Castillo Mexico  0.1
23 Sep 2020 00:30 Cachoana Mexico  0.1
23 Sep 2020 03:00 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
23 Sep 2020 03:00 El Nuevo Mexico  0.1
23 Sep 2020 00:45 Las Arenitas Mexico  0.1
23 Sep 2020 00:15 Rancho Datilari Mexico  0.1
23 Sep 2020 00:15 Rancho Conejo Mexico  0.1
23 Sep 2020 00:00 La Playa Colorada Mexico  0.1
23 Sep 2020 04:45 Bahia Asuncion Mexico  0.1
23 Sep 2020 00:45 Topolobampo Mexico  0.1
23 Sep 2020 00:00 Caimanero Mexico  0.1
23 Sep 2020 00:00 Jarilla Mexico  0.1
23 Sep 2020 00:00 La Puerta Mexico  0.1
23 Sep 2020 00:30 La Ventana Mexico  0.1
23 Sep 2020 00:30 Ensenada de los Muertos Mexico  0.1
23 Sep 2020 00:00 Tripui Mexico  0.1
23 Sep 2020 00:00 San Cosme Mexico  0.1
23 Sep 2020 00:00 Boca del Rio Mexico  0.1