Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for JULIO-20
Off-shore
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone JULIO-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 90 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (06 Sep 13:30 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 90 km/h 0.2 m 128 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 122 km/h 0.2 m 563 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

122 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 06 Sep 2020 00:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 05 Sep 2020 18:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 06 Sep 2020 00:00 94 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 06 Sep 2020 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmMexico279 
100-250 mmMexico60,387 
50-100 mmMexico152,951 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 05 Sep 2020 18:00 205 10 thousand
- - - - Mexico
Blue 2 06 Sep 2020 00:00 368 60 thousand
- - - Mexico




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Salinas, Mexico. This height is estimated for 06 Sep 2020 13:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 06 Sep 2020 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
06 Sep 2020 13:30 Salinas Mexico  0.2
06 Sep 2020 13:30 Buen Pais Mexico  0.2
06 Sep 2020 13:30 Alvarado Mexico  0.2
06 Sep 2020 01:45 Anton Lizardo Mexico  0.2
06 Sep 2020 12:15 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.1
06 Sep 2020 11:00 Datilito Mexico  0.1
06 Sep 2020 11:00 La Paz Mexico  0.1
06 Sep 2020 11:00 Rosario Mexico  0.1
06 Sep 2020 05:30 Las Arenitas Mexico  0.1
06 Sep 2020 05:30 La Boca Mexico  0.1
06 Sep 2020 04:30 Topolobampo Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2020 07:00 Atanacio Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2020 07:00 El Paredoncito Mexico  0.1
08 Sep 2020 07:00 Borabampo Mexico  0.1
06 Sep 2020 16:45 San Juan de la Costa Mexico  0.1
06 Sep 2020 04:30 Cachoana Mexico  0.1
06 Sep 2020 04:30 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.1
06 Sep 2020 04:30 El Guatamota Mexico  0.1
06 Sep 2020 11:45 Majada Villalobos Mexico  0.1
06 Sep 2020 11:45 Salina Cruz Mexico  0.1