Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for NISARGA-20
in India
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone NISARGA-20 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries India, Pakistan
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 115 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.7 m (03 Jun 08:45 UTC)
Vulnerability High (India)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 115 km/h 0.7 m 110 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 115 km/h 0.7 m 259 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

115 km/h

Up to 25.6 million can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 03 Jun 2020 06:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormIndia, Pakistan25,625,342
+
India25,622,302 
Pakistan3,040 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 02 Jun 2020 18:00 83 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 2 03 Jun 2020 00:00 112 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 3 03 Jun 2020 06:00 115 -
- - - - - India, Pakistan
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 03 Jun 2020 06:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmIndia1,527,728 
50-100 mmIndia52,241,803 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 02 Jun 2020 18:00 143 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 03 Jun 2020 00:00 125 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 03 Jun 2020 06:00 138 1.5 million
- - - - India




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.7 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.7m in Bankot, India. This height is estimated for 03 Jun 2020 08:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 03 Jun 2020 06:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
03 Jun 2020 08:45 Bankot India  0.7
03 Jun 2020 08:45 Kelshi India  0.7
03 Jun 2020 08:45 Anjanwel India  0.7
03 Jun 2020 06:45 Boria India  0.6
03 Jun 2020 06:45 Guhagar India  0.6
03 Jun 2020 06:45 Jaigarh India  0.6
03 Jun 2020 09:00 Srivardhan India  0.5
05 Jun 2020 14:00 Kambhat India  0.5
05 Jun 2020 14:00 Kavi India  0.5
05 Jun 2020 14:00 Sarod India  0.5
05 Jun 2020 14:15 Wadgam India  0.5
03 Jun 2020 06:15 Mirya India  0.5
03 Jun 2020 06:15 Ratnagiri India  0.5
05 Jun 2020 13:30 Asarsa India  0.5
04 Jun 2020 19:00 Harinagar India  0.4
04 Jun 2020 19:00 Tankari India  0.4
04 Jun 2020 19:00 Muler India  0.4
03 Jun 2020 06:00 Purangad India  0.4
03 Jun 2020 06:00 Purnagad India  0.4
03 Jun 2020 09:15 Agar Panchaitan India  0.4
05 Jun 2020 13:30 Dahej India  0.4
03 Jun 2020 06:00 Adiura India  0.4
05 Jun 2020 12:45 Ghogha India  0.4
03 Jun 2020 09:45 Murud India  0.4
03 Jun 2020 16:15 New Kandla India  0.3
03 Jun 2020 16:15 Navlakhi India  0.3
04 Jun 2020 17:15 Bhagva India  0.3
04 Jun 2020 17:15 Olpad India  0.3
03 Jun 2020 06:00 Vijayadurg India  0.3
04 Jun 2020 17:00 Damka India  0.3
03 Jun 2020 15:45 Jodiya India  0.3
03 Jun 2020 15:30 Tuna India  0.3
04 Jun 2020 16:30 Surat India  0.3
03 Jun 2020 15:45 Jambura India  0.3
03 Jun 2020 06:00 Pural India  0.3
04 Jun 2020 16:15 Jalalpur India  0.3
04 Jun 2020 16:15 Mahuver India  0.3
04 Jun 2020 16:45 Nausari India  0.2
04 Jun 2020 16:45 Navsari India  0.2
04 Jun 2020 16:45 Dharasana India  0.2
04 Jun 2020 16:45 Bilimora India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 06:00 Devgarh India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 06:15 Anjuna India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 06:15 Marmagao India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 06:15 Vasco Da Gama India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 06:15 Panaji India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 06:15 Agacaim India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 06:15 Madgaon India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 10:30 Revadanda India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 11:30 Alibag India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 11:30 Mandve India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 12:15 Mumbai India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 12:15 Asumumbay India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 12:15 Uran India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 13:45 Trombay India  0.2
04 Jun 2020 17:00 Udvada India  0.2
04 Jun 2020 17:00 Valsad India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 06:00 Achra India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 06:00 Malvan India  0.2
04 Jun 2020 17:00 Daman India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 16:15 Mundra India  0.2
05 Jun 2020 14:30 Kotada India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 11:30 Kumta India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 11:30 Honavar India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 11:30 Manki India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 15:45 Sika India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 11:30 Belekeri India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 11:30 Ankola India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 11:30 Gokarn India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 15:00 Navinal India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 15:15 Jhankhar India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 14:00 Chudeswar India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 14:00 Salaya India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 11:30 Sadashivgarh India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 11:30 Karwar India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 11:30 Mavalli India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 11:30 Shirali India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 11:30 Bhatkal India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 06:15 Kundapura India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 06:15 Udipi India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 14:45 Bhadia India  0.2
05 Jun 2020 14:15 Mahuva India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 06:15 Advota India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 06:15 Chaudi India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 06:15 Majali India  0.2
04 Jun 2020 06:15 Gadechi India  0.2
04 Jun 2020 06:15 Okha India  0.2
04 Jun 2020 06:15 Aramda India  0.2
06 Jun 2020 06:00 Kathiwadar Bandar India  0.2
04 Jun 2020 16:30 Umbargam India  0.2
04 Jun 2020 16:30 Maroli India  0.2
03 Jun 2020 12:00 Malan Pakistan  0.2
03 Jun 2020 14:30 Mandvi India  0.2
06 Jun 2020 05:45 Jafarabad India  0.1
03 Jun 2020 10:00 Rumra Pakistan  0.1
03 Jun 2020 10:00 Miski Pakistan  0.1
03 Jun 2020 06:00 Ormara Pakistan  0.1
03 Jun 2020 06:00 Balaru Pakistan  0.1
03 Jun 2020 08:45 Ormara Raik Pakistan  0.1
03 Jun 2020 13:45 Bada Pakistan  0.1
03 Jun 2020 13:45 Cheru Pakistan  0.1
03 Jun 2020 13:45 Sonmiani Pakistan  0.1
06 Jun 2020 00:00 Ghuar Mota India  0.1
03 Jun 2020 06:30 Chittadi India  0.1
03 Jun 2020 06:45 Bainduru India  0.1
03 Jun 2020 12:30 Malad India  0.1
03 Jun 2020 06:00 Vengurla India  0.1
03 Jun 2020 06:00 Terekhol India  0.1
03 Jun 2020 06:15 Chopdem India  0.1
03 Jun 2020 09:45 Pasni Pakistan  0.1
05 Jun 2020 22:45 Akri India  0.1
05 Jun 2020 11:00 Palghar India  0.1
05 Jun 2020 11:00 Mahim India  0.1
05 Jun 2020 11:00 Nalasopara India  0.1
05 Jun 2020 11:00 Agashi India  0.1
05 Jun 2020 11:00 Vasai India  0.1
05 Jun 2020 11:00 Navghar India  0.1
03 Jun 2020 13:15 Naka Kharari Pakistan  0.1
04 Jun 2020 15:15 Bordi India  0.1
03 Jun 2020 10:30 Kalat Pakistan  0.1
03 Jun 2020 13:00 Isa Pakistan  0.1
03 Jun 2020 13:00 Gadani Pakistan  0.1
03 Jun 2020 13:00 Goth Lashkari Pakistan  0.1
06 Jun 2020 06:00 Gholvad India  0.1
03 Jun 2020 12:45 Suthri India  0.1
06 Jun 2020 06:00 Malyan India  0.1
06 Jun 2020 06:00 Dharabandar India  0.1
06 Jun 2020 06:00 Rohisa India  0.1
06 Jun 2020 03:00 Bambu Khan Pakistan  0.1
06 Jun 2020 03:00 Goth Jumo Pakistan  0.1
03 Jun 2020 13:00 Ras Muari Pakistan  0.1
03 Jun 2020 13:00 Goth Haji Muhammad Pakistan  0.1
06 Jun 2020 05:45 Tarapur India  0.1
06 Jun 2020 05:45 Sakhare India  0.1
03 Jun 2020 12:45 Brar Pakistan  0.1
06 Jun 2020 05:30 Boisar India  0.1
06 Jun 2020 05:30 Shirgaon India  0.1
06 Jun 2020 05:45 Dongri India  0.1
06 Jun 2020 05:45 Mira Bhayandar India  0.1
04 Jun 2020 03:15 Jhol Pakistan  0.1
04 Jun 2020 03:15 Keti Pakistan  0.1
03 Jun 2020 21:45 Nizampatam India  0.1
03 Jun 2020 21:45 Kottapalem India  0.1
03 Jun 2020 21:45 Lankavanidibba India  0.1
06 Jun 2020 05:30 Delvada India  0.1
06 Jun 2020 05:30 Nawabandar India  0.1
03 Jun 2020 06:15 Mulki India  0.1